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European Market Update : 25/05/2012
Germany said to be working on growth plan for euro zone
Economic Data
(EU) ECB: €3.8B borrowed in overnight loan facility vs. €3.8B prior; €760.9B parked in deposit facility v €765.9B prior
(RU) Russia Narrow Money Supply w/e May 21st (RUB): 7.00T v 6.93T prior
(SG) Singapore Apr Industrial Production M/M: -3.5% v +06%e; Y/Y: -0.3% v +4.1% prior
(DE) Germany Jun GfK Consumer Confidence: 5.7 v 5.6e
(FR) France May Consumer Confidence: 90 v 88e
(ES) Spain Apr Producer Prices M/M: -0.8% v 0.0%e; Y/Y: 3.1% v 2.7%e
(AT) Austria Mar Industrial Production M/M: +1.6% v -1.4% prior; Y/Y: +0.8% v -0.9% prior
(CH) Swiss Q1 Non-Farm payrolls: 4.049M v 4.044M prior
(DE) Germany May CPI Saxony M/M: -0.2%% v +0.1% prior; Y/Y: 1.9% v 2.0% prior
(IT) Italy Mar Retail Sales M/M: -0.2% V -0.2%e; Y/ ...
Title:
Greek Debt Crisis: Answers to Frequently Asked Questions
Highlights
- An acceleration in deposit withdrawals, combined with the prospect of an anti-austerity party winning the next election, has brought to the fore concerns about a potential Greek exit from the euro zone.
- Our base case assumption is that under the most likely scenario, the Greek election will lead to a government that sticks to an EU/IMF program, even if the terms are renegotiated.
- However, we do believe that Greece needs a further restructuring of its debt and we do think the country will ultimately exit the euro - we're just not convinced that Europe is ready for this to happen at the moment.
- If an accident does occur and Greece does leave the euro in the near term, it would have global financial ramifications that could range from severe to catastrophic. ...
Title:
Gold sinks over 2 percent; close to technical support
(Reuters) - Gold fell more than 2 percent on Wednesday as a wave of selling triggered by better-than-expected home sales and heightened by despair surrounding the euro zone sent prices toward key technical support levels and wiped out year-to-date gains.
Spot prices dropped as low as $1,534.25 an ounce, down 2.15 percent, by 12:08 p.m. EDT (1608 GMT), flirting with a bear market with a drop of 20 percent from September record highs.
Market players are watching whether gold can hold key technical support at $1,525 an ounce.
The sell-off took bullion back to December lows hit in last week's rampant selling and reignited concerns that a recovery in recent days was a "dead-cat bounce", slang used to describe a small, temporary rally that follows a significant decline.
U.S. gold futures for ...
Title:
European Market Update : 23/05/2012
Euro hits fresh 2012 lows ahead of informal summit; More reports of an ECB contingency plan in the works
Economic Data
(GR) Greece Mar Current Account: -€2.1B v €1.1B prior
(NL) Netherlands Mar Consumer Spending Y/Y: % v -1.3% prior
(SE) Sweden Apr Unemployment Rate: % v 7.8%e
(EU) Euro Zone Apr Current Account: +€7.5B v -€5.6B prior; Current Account Seasonally Adj: +€7.5B v -€1.2B prior
(IT) Italy May Consumer Confidence: 86.5 v 89.5e (lowest reading on record after series began in 1996))
(ZA) South Africa Apr CPI (all items) M/M: 0.4% v 0.5%e; Y/Y: % v 6.2%e
(TW) Taiwan Apr Industrial Production Y/Y: -2.3% v -1.7%e; Commercial Sales Y/Y: -2.4% v -0.9% prior
(UK) Apr Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel M/M: -1.0% v -0.7%e; Y/Y: -0.3% v +0.7%e
(UK) Apr Retail Sales with Auto Fuel M/M: -0.8% ...
Title:
Euro Rebound Short-Lived
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Profit taking continued, but now concluded?
- The profit taking on global core bond markets continued in the run-up to tonight's informal EU-Summit. Spanish and Italian spreads decreased significantly but yields remain at elevated levels. Today, the eco calendar is again thin and trading will again be driven by sentiment.
- Currencies: Euro rebound short-lived On
- Tuesday, the euro came again under pressure even as the global context was not that negative. Sentiment on risk was constructive and intra-EMU spreads narrowed, but all this didn't prevent investors to use any upticks in the single currency to further reduce exposure. The key 1.2642/24 support is again coming within reach.
The Sunrise Headlines
- In the final hour of ...
Title:
Gold slips in line with euro ahead of EU meeting
(Reuters) - Gold fell towards $1,550 an ounce in Europe, pressured by concerns that a European Union meeting later on Wednesday would fail to significantly ease worries over the euro zone debt crisis which lifted the dollar to a 21-month high against the euro.
The dollar, along with German bond futures, benefited from a flight from riskier assets, including stocks and commodities such as copper and oil.
Spot gold was down 0.1 percent at $1,555.50 an ounce at 0930 GMT while U.S. gold futures for June delivery were down $20.60 an ounce at $1,556.00.
"Gold is acting more as a risky asset, and everything is tumbling this morning ahead of this informal finance ministers meeting, where nothing good is really expected," Societe Generale analyst Robin Bhar said.
"It is not inconceivable that ...
Title:
Asian Market Update : 22/05/2012
Short-covering momentum builds on China infrastructure spending hopes
Economic Data
(NZ) NEW ZEALAND Q2 RBNZ 2-YR INFLATION EXPECTATIONS: 2.4% V 2.5% PRIOR (11-quarter low and 4th consecutive quarter of decline)
(CN) CHINA APR CONFERENCE BOARD LEADING ECONOMIC INDEX M/M: 0.8% V 0.8% PRIOR
(TW) TAIWAN APR UNEMPLOYMENT RATE: 4.2% V 4.1%E
(KR) SOUTH KOREA Q1 EXTERNAL SHORT TERM DEBT: $136.3B V $136.1B PRIOR
Markets Snapshot (as of 04:15GMT)
Nikkei225 +1.0%
S&P/ASX +0.8%
Kospi +1.2%
Shanghai Composite +0.5%
Hang Seng +0.8%
June S&P Futures flat at 1,315
June gold flat at $1,589/oz
July Crude +0.1% at $92.96
Overview/Top Headlines
Asian equity markets have extended the overnight rally with another session of moderate gains, as hopes for progress in European talks took a back- ...
Title:
Exclusive: U.S. lets China bypass Wall Street for Treasury orders
(Reuters) - China can now bypass Wall Street when buying U.S. government debt and go straight to the U.S. Treasury, in what is the Treasury's first-ever direct relationship with a foreign government, according to documents viewed by Reuters.
The relationship means the People's Bank of China buys U.S. debt using a different method than any other central bank in the world.
The other central banks, including the Bank of Japan, which has a large appetite for Treasuries, place orders for U.S. debt with major Wall Street banks designated by the government as primary dealers. Those dealers then bid on their behalf at Treasury auctions.
China, which holds $1.17 trillion in U.S. Treasuries, still buys some Treasuries through primary dealers, but since June 2011, that route hasn't been necessary.
...
Title:
Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)
EUR/USD
Extends the near-term recovery above initial barriers at 1.2750 zone, after temporary footstep was found at 1.2640, last Friday. Bounce from here briefly broke above 1.2800 barrier, also Fib 23.6%, where descending trendline, connecting 1.3282/1.3177 tops, limited gains at 1.2811, with corrective easing on overbought hourly studies under way. Dips need to be contained at 1.2760/40 zone, to maintain positive near-term tone for possible fresh attack at upper barriers. Lift above 1.2800, to face significant resistances at 1.2886, Fib 38.2% and 1.2900 zone, clearance of which to confirm near-term base and open way for stronger retracement of 1.3282/1.2641 downleg, with 1.2950/80 seen next. On the downside, loss f 1.2740 and psychological support at 1.2700, would turn focus lowercase ...
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