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Would Have Been LowerTitle:
EURCHF Move Provides Temporary Excitement
Forex News and Events:
Risk appetite has recovery marginally in the Asian session as the lack of Europe-negative headlines allowed risk seekers to pick up bargains. EURUSD was able to rally off the 1.2519 lows trading up to 1.2579. One of the more tangible drivers of today’s renewed positive sentiment has been the optimistic tone out of the Iran nuclear talks. A spokesman for EU foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton, stated "there is a positive atmosphere.” Oil went bid in the European session as WTI traded swiftly to $91.31. Yesterday’s move of the day was in the EURCHF where speculation on exactly what happened is still dominating conversation. After a month of inactivity around the 1.2010 level (vols compressed to nothing), EURCHF jumped suddenly over 60 pips during the European ...
Title:
European Market Update : 25/05/2012
Germany said to be working on growth plan for euro zone
Economic Data
(EU) ECB: €3.8B borrowed in overnight loan facility vs. €3.8B prior; €760.9B parked in deposit facility v €765.9B prior
(RU) Russia Narrow Money Supply w/e May 21st (RUB): 7.00T v 6.93T prior
(SG) Singapore Apr Industrial Production M/M: -3.5% v +06%e; Y/Y: -0.3% v +4.1% prior
(DE) Germany Jun GfK Consumer Confidence: 5.7 v 5.6e
(FR) France May Consumer Confidence: 90 v 88e
(ES) Spain Apr Producer Prices M/M: -0.8% v 0.0%e; Y/Y: 3.1% v 2.7%e
(AT) Austria Mar Industrial Production M/M: +1.6% v -1.4% prior; Y/Y: +0.8% v -0.9% prior
(CH) Swiss Q1 Non-Farm payrolls: 4.049M v 4.044M prior
(DE) Germany May CPI Saxony M/M: -0.2%% v +0.1% prior; Y/Y: 1.9% v 2.0% prior
(IT) Italy Mar Retail Sales M/M: -0.2% V -0.2%e; Y/ ...
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Analysis: Deeper metals price falls needed to spark closures
(Reuters) - A rout in commodity markets has pushed prices of aluminum, zinc and nickel down to levels where many high-cost producers are starting to suffer, although the pain threshold may have to increase before widespread closures help balance markets.
High cash premiums in aluminum and zinc along with recent weakening in commodity currencies are providing a cushion to some producers, who otherwise might be forced to halt loss-making output in markets burdened with surpluses.
"It becomes a question of how long you can hold your breath under water, if you can hold breath just a moment longer, then it may be your rival who makes the cuts," said Nick Moore, head of commodity research at RBS in London.
"If they don't cut, then prices will be the grim reaper. They will go down to a level ...
Title:
Another Day, Another New Correction Low For EUR/USD
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Hunt for yield
- Following horrible French and German PMI readings, core bonds set new highs. The German 10-yr yield set an all time low at 1.35% and this initiated for the first time a “hunt for yield” trade into Belgian, Austrian and French bonds. The trade was most visible at the longer end of the curve, resulting in a bull flattening.
- Currencies: Another day, another new correction low for EUR/USD
- On Thursday, the decline of EUR/USD was extended. However, given the flood of negative news, the damage could have been worse. EUR/GBP struggles to hold above the 0.8000 barrier. Today, the calendar is thin. However, one can expect investors to stay cautious going into a long weekend. This is no help for the euro
The Sunrise ...
Title:
Negative outlook in EU sends EUR/USD to new 2012 lows
MORNING BRIEFING: Negative outlook in EU sends EUR/USD to new 2012 lows
What’s new:
Asia: Japanese CPI in line with expectations. Risk mixed overnight. EUR/JPY consolidates below 100.
United States: Soft core durables send GDP forecasts down. USD gaining against most peers
Europe: Decent indices, but Euro selling off. Still focus on Greece and the lack of progress.
Rates in Asia and Indices:
EUR/USD 1.2519 1.2561 0.21 %
USD/CHF 0.9567 0.9606 0.16 %
GBP/USD 1.5648 1.5676 -0.00 %
USD/JPY 79.54 79.82 -0.06 %
EUR/CHF 1.2012 1.20375 -0.03 %
EUR/JPY 99.73 100.06 -0.25 %
Dow Jones 12419.63 12539.59 0.26 %
Nasdaq 2512.35 2554.2 ...
Title:
Asian Market Update : 25/05/2012
Monti thinks Greece will remain in the EU; China slowdown fears return to front and center
Economic Data
(JP) JAPAN APR NATIONAL CPI Y/Y: 0.4% V 0.4%E; NATIONAL CORE CPI Y/Y: 0.2% V 0.1%E; TOKYO MAY CPI Y/Y: -0.5% V -0.3%E; TOKYO CORE CPI Y/Y: -0.8% V -0.5%E (20-month low)
(KR) SOUTH KOREA MAY CONSUMER CONFIDENCE: 105 V 104 PRIOR (15-month high)
(SG) SINGAPORE APR INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION M/M: -3.5% V +0.6%E; Y/Y: -0.3% V +4.1%E
(TH) THAILAND APR CUSTOMS TRADE BALANCE: -$2.9B V -$2.9BE
(PH) PHILIPPINES MAR TRADE BALANCE: -$1.05B V -$562M PRIOR; TOTAL IMPORTS: $5.4B V $4.99B PRIOR
Markets Snapshot (as of 05:00GMT)
Nikkei225 +0.1%
S&P/ASX -0.4%
Kospi +0.6%
Singapore Straits Times Index -0.3%
Shanghai Composite -0.4%
Hang Seng -0.3%
June S&P Futures -0.2% at 1,320
June gold -0.3% $ ...
Title:
Euro wallows at 2-year lows as EU worries rattle markets
(Reuters) - The euro wallowed at two-year lows against the dollar on Friday and was poised to end the week two percent weaker, weighed down by weak German manufacturing data and worries about a messy Greek exit from the euro zone.
The risk-sensitive Australian dollar dipped 0.2 percent to $0.9741, coming close to the six-month low of $0.9690 hit on Wednesday as a sell-off in emerging market currencies picked up steam.
Rattled by worries over lack of growth in the euro area, the fragile situation of the region's banking system and a potential messy Greek exit from the single currency bloc, the euro is poised to chalk up its biggest weekly loss since the first week of April.
Macro funds and real money investors have ramped up selling of the currency, which is now down more than 5 percent ...
Title:
Global stocks, euro slip on weakening growth
(Reuters) - U.S. stocks and the euro edged lower on Thursday as data suggested Europe's debt woes were spreading and worsening a global economic slowdown.
In a volatile session, investors looking for bargains earlier bought equities, oil and gold which have been battered this week by worries Greece would leave the euro zone. But the buying of growth-oriented assets faded as worries about the euro zone's drag on the world economy returned.
Stocks and other riskier assets turned negative as disappointing data from Europe, China and the United States compounded concerns about the economic contraction moving across Europe.
Amid speculation of more coordinated efforts from major central banks to stem further deterioration of the euro zone debt crisis, bond yields of Spanish, Italian and ...
Title:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 24/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
European stocks returned to growth, despite services and manufacturing purchasing managers indices across Europe and German business confidence shrank more than expected. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index added 1.0 percent to 241.81. Cable & Wireless Communications Plc soared 19 percent. Sonova Holding AG gained 2.5 percent. Bayer AG declined 1.1 percent. U.S. futures and Asian stock little changed. S&P 500 futures gained 0.3 percent, MSCI Asia Pacific index added 0.1 percent.
USD
The US Dollar followed bullish trend on Thursday as Germany disapproves issuance of Eurobonds that may help to ease Greek debt burden. Traders are also cautions ahead of Euro Zone's manufacturing data release due later today. The US Dollar index, which tracks the greenback's performance ...
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