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Who Lost ConfidenceTitle:
European Market Update : 24/05/2012
Major European PMI Manufacturing data misses expectations; German IFO Business Confidence falls for the first time in 7 months
Economic Data
(RU) Russia Gold & Forex Reserve w/e May 18th: $514.3B v $518.8B prior
(DE) Germany Q1 Final GDP Q/Q: 0.5% v 0.5%e; Y/Y: 1.7% v 1.7%e; GDP WDA Y/Y: 1.2% v 1.2%e
(DE) Germany Q1 Private Consumption: 0.4% v 0.2%e; Government Spending: 0.2% v 0.3%e; Domestic Demand: -0.3% v 0.0%e; Capital Investment: -1.1% v -0.3%e; Construction Investment: -1.3% v -0.4%e; Exports: 1.7% v 0.9%e; Imports: 0.0% v 0.3%e
(CH) Swiss Apr Trade Balance (CHG): 1.3B v 1.9Be; Real Exports M/M: -0.9% v +0.2%e; Real Imports M/M: 2.6% v 5.9% prior
(FI) Finland Apr PPI M/M: -0.1% v +0.4% prior; Y/Y: 1.4% v 1.4% prior
(FI) Finland Apr Preliminary Retail Sales Volume Y/Y: -2.0% v ...
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Asian stocks returned to losses on collective downgrades including Spanish banks, Greece and China
As Europe’s debt crisis is threatening the global recovery, market participants limited their risk exposure while some inventors locked on to their profits ahead of the weekend, driving the Asian stocks lower where the MSCI Asia Pacific Index dropped 2.2% at 11.28 in Tokyo, and is down 0.8% this year.
Global equity markets lost almost $4 trillion dollars this month as Europe’s debt crisis is worsening threatening the global economic stability. Moody’s downgraded 16 Spanish banks on Thursday after the nation fell into recession during the first quarter while loan losses are mounting.
Meanwhile Fitch Ratings downgraded Greece by one notch to CCC from B- since its political deadlock is pushing the country out of the euro zone, as attempts to form a new government failed, leading to new ...
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Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 15/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"Industrial producion is a imely reminder that firstquarter GDP will likely show a contracion."
- Marin van Vliet, an economist at ING
Industrial producion in the Eurozone contracted unexpectedly in March, Eurostat data showed on Monday. Producion fell 0.3 per cent from February, when it rose 0.8 per cent.
USD
"The fear factor is definitely higher."
- Madelynn Matlock, a fund manager at Hunington Asset Advisor
U.S. stocks retreated on Monday on a poliical impasse in Greece.
GBP
"I can’t see even after the next Greek election a government appearing that will be able to do anything else than perhaps manage the Greek exit."
- Simon Sole, chief execuive officer of Exclusive Analysis Ltd.
U.K. stocks tumbled on Monday. The benchmark FTSE 100 Index fell 1.97%, or ...
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PRECIOUS-Gold dips to 4-month low on Greece uncertainty
(Reuters) - Gold dropped to a four-month low on Wednesday, pressured by a weaker euro as investors fretted about the political upheavals in Greece that threaten to sink the country into chaos and endanger the euro zone's efforts to end the debt crisis.
Spot gold lost more than 1 percent to a four-month low of $1,586.74 an ounce, extending a 2-percent slide from the previous session. It stood at $1,588.64 by 00:13 EDT (0413 GMT).
U.S. gold also dropped to a four-month trough, at $1,589.50.
The leftwing leader who was mandated to form a government in Greece has so far failed to do so after Sunday's election, as his opposition to a bailout deal seen crucial for the economy alienated mainstream parties and shook market confidence that the euro zone will pull itself out of the debt crisis.
...
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Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 04/07/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
EUR
France has elected new president, Francois Hollande who polled about 52% of the votes. Mr Hollande said that he is proud to return hope to people again. He also announced that he would attempt to rework deal regarding sovereign debt in the Euro Zone countries to promote economic expansion.
USD
The smalest payroll increase in last 6 months has not influenced the investors who still do not forecast another wave of recession in the US. Better housing and employment data has encouraged experts to believe that from the fundamental perspective the world's largest economy is on the path to recovery.
GBP
May 7 was a bank holiday in Great Britain.
CHF
The official SNB exchange rate for EUR/CHF is 1.2013 today; yield on 10-year Swiss Confederation bonds ...
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Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 07/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"The U.S. labor-market report will further erode investor confidence"
- Markus Allenspach, head of bond research at Julius Baer Group Ltd.
European stocks extended weekly losses, after a report showed U.S. companies added fewer jobs than expected in April. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index erased 1.76 per cent to 253.00. Germany’s DAX Index tumbled 1.99 per cent and France’s CAC 40 Index contracted 1.90 per cent. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index lost 1.93 per cent to 5,655.06.
USD
"We’re still very much on the recovery path, but we’ve got a huge amount of ground to make up in the labor market"
- Scott Brown, chief economist at Raymond James & Associates Inc.
The number of Americans, who have found a job in the private sector in April, tumbled to 115,000 from 154,000 the ...
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A gloomy rather than cheerful jobs report for the U.S
Today's long awaited jobs report of the month of April came in surprisingly mixed but along with more sentiments of pessimism rather than hopefulness as on one hand we see that employers throughout the superpower added fewer jobs than projected by the market, indicating clearly a slowdown in hiring, while that the jobless rate of the country declined faintly to 8.1 percent; confirming that unemployment is healing only slowly.
In fact the current jobless rate of April plunged to 8.1 percent, which was unexpected by the market whom projected unchanged unemployment levels of 8.2 percent, showing clearly that companies gained confidence but also remain worried regarding the local and global economic conditions of this year, sentiments that can this time actually corrode President Barack ...
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METALS-Copper highest in more than 2 weeks, demand eyed
(Reuters) - Copper prices rose on Thursday to their highest levels in more than two weeks, overlooking a slight retreat in the euro versus the dollar and climbing with global equities on the back of the U.S. Federal Reserve's commitment to support growth.
Copper extended gains from the previous session during which the U.S. Federal Reserve forecast U.S. growth to "remain moderate over coming quarters and then pick up gradually," and said it was ready to launch another round of bond buying if the U.S. economy weakens.
Disappointing U.S. jobless claims data seemed to muddy the Fed's bullish growth outlook, but traders said the central bank's more accommodative tone will likely help to keep a floor under prices of copper and other risk assets.
"The data has been a little bit softer lately, ...
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Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 26/04/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Deutsche Bank, the German biggest lender posted a 33% drop in its first quarter profit, citing debt crisis as a negative force that curbed trading. Net income declined to EUR 1.38 billion (USD 1.82 billion) compared to EUR 2.06 billion in the same period last year. Economists questioned by Bloomberg expected the profit to decrease less to EUR 1.56 billion. Deutsche Bank shares have added 16% this year.
USD
Crude oil fluctuated close to a one-week record high as Fed claimed they expect the economic growth to advance, encouraging the speculation that fuel demand will increase. Moreover Iran announced it may stop its nuclear expansion. June crude traded at USD 104.07 a barrel after climbing USD 0.57 yesterday. Brent oil to be delivered in June traded at USD 119 a ...
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