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Usd/jpy Rose SignificantlyTitle:
Dollar continues on gaining power
Today throughout the U.S session mixed sentiments; fears and hopes, were spread on a local scale with on one hand orders for business equipment dropped for a second month and on the other hand Hewlett-Packard Co. gained significantly.
Plus today`s German manufacturing data came out gloomy and showed weakened industry and production conditions while that China attested out that some of its biggest banks may fall short of loan targets.
Accordingly on a daily scale we watched the euro fall to its weakest level against the dollar since July 2010 and the Dollar index which measures the performance of the U.S. dollar against a basket of currencies including the Euro, the Pound, and the Yen, rose on multiple time charts to currently trade at 82.28 recording its highest level at 82.36 and its ...
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Risky trade getting hammered
Higher yielders remained under pressure as uncertainty continues to surround markets. The lack of assurance of an Imperative action on Greece from the euro leaders in their informal summit today makes things further vague for the destiny of the risky trade. While markets lack a conclusive expectation for the outcome of the summit majors look skeptical around key support levels.
During a teleconference earlier today, the Eurogroup Working Group (EWG); which consists of the officials preparing the meetings of finance minister, and form the board of the ESF as well, agreed that euro zone countries must consider and prepare for the consequences of a Greece exit. The move could have further negative impact on the common currency.
While Later today, the finance ministers are expected to unveil ...
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European Market Update : 21/05/2012
Spain's banking sector said to be calling on market regulator for renewed ban on short-selling
Economic Data
(EU) ECB: €809M borrowed in overnight loan facility €839M prior; €762.4B parked in deposit facility v €785.1B prior
(JP) Japan Apr Nationwide Dept. Sales Y/Y: 1.3% v 14.1% prior; Tokyo Dept. Store Sales Y/Y: 6.7% v 26.7% prior
(IN) India Apr CPI Y/Y: 10.4% v 9.4% prior
(DE) Germany Apr Producer Prices M/M: 0.2% v 0.3%e; Y/Y: 2.4% v 2.5%e
(HU) Hungary Mar Avg Gross Wages Y/Y: 2.7% v 6.5%e v 6.9% prior
(RU) Russia Narrow Money Supply w/e May 14th (RUB): 6.93T v 6.88T prior
(ES) Spain Central Bank (BOS): Mar Bad Loan Ratio at 8.37% v 8.16% prior; - Lending -3.1% y/ym, Deposits -4.2% y/y
(IT) Italy Mar Industrial Orders M/M: 3.5% v 1.0%e; Y/Y: -14.3% v -13.2% prior
(IT) Italy ...
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EUR/GBP Testing 80.00 Barrier, As BoE Stops Printing Press
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Largely uneventful session for core bonds
- Core bonds had an insignificant, technical and sentiment-driven session that left bond yields slightly higher in the close. Overnight, negative headline news on JP Morgan and Greece triggered a moderately strong opening of the Bund. Europe will be in the focus today with the publication of the Spanish banking plan and the EU spring forecasts.
- Currencies: EUR/GBP testing 80.00 barrier, as BoE stops printing press
- On Thursday, sentiment on risk turned slightly less negative, even without progress in the Greek debt/election crisis. Nevertheless, the decline in EUR/USD slowed. EUR/GBP reached a minor low just below 0.8000 as the BoE halted its program of asset purchases. For now, we see no ...
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US Data Set to Impact Markets Today
The euro spent most of the day slightly above recent three-month lows hit against the US dollar and Japanese yen. Greece's inability to form a new government has raised the prospects that a new election will be held in the coming weeks, which has resulted in additional risk aversion in the marketplace. Turning to today, traders will want to pay attention to a batch of US data, including the PPI figure and the Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment. Both indicators are considered valid indicators of overall economic health and have the potential to create market volatility before markets close for the week. Should any of the data come in above expectations, the USD may be able to see some upward movement against the yen today.
Economic News
USD - Dollar Turns Bearish vs. GBP
The dollar turned ...
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Major Currency Cross Rates Little Changed Ahead Of The Payrolls
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income ECB can't move global bonds
- Global core bonds ended the session unchanged, as initial disappointment that the ECB wasn't more dovish dissipated fast. Today's payrolls are key and might decide whether the 6-week rally is over or has one more leg.
Currencies: Major currency cross rates little changed ahead of the payrolls
- EUR/USD gained temporarily during the ECB press conference as Draghi was less dovish than some in the market had expected. However, the move was technically insignificant as sentiment on risk remained fragile. Today, the payrolls are the key factor for (currency) trading. Investors might stay cautions on the euro to avoid this weekend's political event risk.
The Sunrise Headlines
- US Equities dropped for a ...
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High Yielding Currencies Slip on European-Recession Concerns
High yielding currencies dropped sharply today after the flow of downbeat fundamentals from Europe, where the euro, the sterling pound and the Australian dollar all slumped significantly on fears Europe will slip into deep recession, the thing that supported the low yielding U.S. dollar and Japanese yen to gain strength as more investors hold the currencies to avert risk.
The euro reversed sharply to the downside, pulling other high yielding currencies, where after the downbeat fundamentals from the old continent, pessimism spread widely leaving investors with no appetite for risk, the thing that led them to leave high yielding currencies for wealth protection, leading a sell-off wave across the forex market.
The Manufacturing sector deteriorated sharply in April, led by the largest ...
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European Market Update : 02/05/2012
Major European PMI Manufacturing data disappoints; Weak German jobs data blamed on Easter holiday
Economic Data
(EU) ECB: €606M borrowed in overnight loan facility v €619M prior; €789.3B parked in deposit facility v €794.0B prior (Monday)
(IN) India Apr Markit Manufacturing PMI: 54.9 v 54.7 prior
(DE) Germany Mar ILO Employment (Seasonally Adj): 41.459 v 41.406M prior; Unemployment Rate: 5.6% v 5.6% prior
(SE) Sweden Apr Swedbank PMI Survey: 50.2 v 50.5e
(PL) Poland Apr Manufacturing PMI: 49.2 v 49.5e
(HU) Hungary Mar Producer Prices M/M: +0.2% v -1.3% prior; Y/Y: 6.4% v 6.7%e
(NO) Norway Apr PMI: 53.7 v 57.0e
(TR) Turkey Apr Manufacturing PMI: 52.3 v 49.6 prior
(ES) Spain Apr Manufacturing PMI: 43.5 v 43.6e (three-year low)
(TH) Thailand Central Bank leaves Benchmark Interest Rate ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 02/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"The likelihood of inflation falling below 2 percent in the short run remains low, putting the ECB in a difficult situation."
- Peter Vanden Houte, an economist at ING
Inflation in the euro zone rose by more than expected in April, mounting pressure on the European Central Bank to take action against price pressures.
USD
"Manufacturing is still in pretty good shape."
- Scott Brown, chief economist at Raymond James & Associates Inc.
Manufacturing in the U.S. expanded in April at the fastest pace in 10 months, showed Institute for Supply Management data on Tuesday.
GBP
"The good news is that manufacturing clocked up a fifth straight rise, whilst cost pressures have eased a little and some firms are still recruiting."
- Lee Hopley, chief economist at EEF
U.K. ...
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