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Trading Range For The WeekTitle:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 25/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Trading in the shares of Bankia has been suspended in Madrid. Market regulator announced that this was done due to circumstances which might influence normal trading. Bankia is said to be forced to ask EUR 15b government bailout. Fourth largest Spanish bank was formed in 2010 after uniting seven troubled regional banks and currently holds EUR 32b worth of troubled assets.
USD
Natural gas futures declined during late US trade on Thursday after IEA reported that US inventories increased by 101 billion cubic feet on an annual basis last week, being higher than five-year average change of 97 billion cubic feet. Natural gas futures for June delivery traded at 2.707 US Dollars per million Btu on the New York Mercantile Exchange, tumbling by 3.20%.
GBP
David Cameron ...
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Oil edges up on Iran, but posts fourth weekly loss
(Reuters) - Oil prices rose for a second day on Friday on the lack of progress in negotiations with Iran over its disputed nuclear program, but crude futures posted a fourth straight weekly loss as Europe's debt problems threatened economic growth and petroleum demand.
Euro-zone political turmoil and economic uncertainty pressured the euro against the dollar, and along with recent signs of slowing Chinese economic growth and rising U.S. crude oil inventories, helped limit gains of Brent and U.S. crude futures.
This week's negotiations on Iran's nuclear program yielded little progress, though the six major powers and Tehran agreed to meet again in June, keeping the threat of conflict and supply disruptions in play for investors.
News that Iran has enhanced its ability to enrich uranium ...
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Majors back-off as the day progresses
With the lack of economic releases; markets held pretty well near major intraday resistance levels befo re losing the strength as the day progressed.
The EUR/USD was trading near 1.2600 this morning, before getting sold off sharply to resume the expected downside direction and printed new low at 1.2495. Stochastic is providing strong exhaustion signs, thus as we approach the weekend it’s preferred to be neutral on the pair for the rest of the day. The main expected next support level at 1.2475, while to the upside 1.2600-1.2640 is the key area to watch.
The GBP/USD tested 1.5630 support, after breaking the latest low at 1.5730 to continue the bearish trend. A strong support is expected among 1.5630-1.5600 area, as further downside below shall extend the bearish trend dramatically. ...
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USD Softer ahead of Holiday Weekend
The dollar is giving back some of its recent gains as traders cover positions ahead of the holiday weekend and after the market failed to break the 1.25 downside barrier in EUR/USD. Sentiment is relatively stable with global equities trading flat to slightly softer, EU sovereign yield spreads have eased somewhat, and the dollar index is lower and testing the 82.00 figure after making new highs for the current rally. Uncertainty remains high as markets lack clarity on key European issues and barring any new headlines, today's price action may be driven by position squaring ahead of the long weekend.
The Swiss franc was on the move earlier with EUR/CHF rising sharply on speculation of possible fees on SNB deposits. Swiss officials declined to comment and the franc regained ground after the ...
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EURCHF Move Provides Temporary Excitement
Forex News and Events:
Risk appetite has recovery marginally in the Asian session as the lack of Europe-negative headlines allowed risk seekers to pick up bargains. EURUSD was able to rally off the 1.2519 lows trading up to 1.2579. One of the more tangible drivers of today’s renewed positive sentiment has been the optimistic tone out of the Iran nuclear talks. A spokesman for EU foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton, stated "there is a positive atmosphere.” Oil went bid in the European session as WTI traded swiftly to $91.31. Yesterday’s move of the day was in the EURCHF where speculation on exactly what happened is still dominating conversation. After a month of inactivity around the 1.2010 level (vols compressed to nothing), EURCHF jumped suddenly over 60 pips during the European ...
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Another Day, Another New Correction Low For EUR/USD
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Hunt for yield
- Following horrible French and German PMI readings, core bonds set new highs. The German 10-yr yield set an all time low at 1.35% and this initiated for the first time a “hunt for yield” trade into Belgian, Austrian and French bonds. The trade was most visible at the longer end of the curve, resulting in a bull flattening.
- Currencies: Another day, another new correction low for EUR/USD
- On Thursday, the decline of EUR/USD was extended. However, given the flood of negative news, the damage could have been worse. EUR/GBP struggles to hold above the 0.8000 barrier. Today, the calendar is thin. However, one can expect investors to stay cautious going into a long weekend. This is no help for the euro
The Sunrise ...
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German Data Leads to Additional Euro Losses
Disappointing German data sent the euro to fresh lows against the USD during European trading yesterday. In a sign that even the euro-zone's biggest economy was not immune from the region's debt crisis, the German Flash Manufacturing PMI and Ifo Business Climate both came in significantly below expectations. As a result, the EUR/USD dropped as low as 1.2515, close to a two-year low. As we close out the week, traders will want to continue monitoring any developments out of the euro-zone. Any new negative developments could send the common currency below $1.2500 before markets close for the week.
Economic News
USD - Safe-Haven USD Sees Additional Gains
The US dollar was able to extend its gains against the euro yesterday, following the release of several disappointing economic indicators ...
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European equities fluctuate with the start of the session European equities are mixed
European equities fluctuate with the start of the sessionEuropean equities are mixed on fear that Greece might be leaving the euro area despite the fact that the decision makers from the euro area con
European equities are mixed on fear that Greece might be leaving the euro area despite the fact that the decision makers from the euro area confirmed that they will not let Greece leave. Markets will be fluctuating between slight gains and losses ahead of the opening today.
The market mainly started to fluctuate after the Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti said yesterday night that most of the European leaders support the issuing of the European bonds.
But things stay uncertain especially after the china`s remarks witnessed in yesterday`s trading showed a possible failure of the largest ...
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Asian Market Update : 25/05/2012
Monti thinks Greece will remain in the EU; China slowdown fears return to front and center
Economic Data
(JP) JAPAN APR NATIONAL CPI Y/Y: 0.4% V 0.4%E; NATIONAL CORE CPI Y/Y: 0.2% V 0.1%E; TOKYO MAY CPI Y/Y: -0.5% V -0.3%E; TOKYO CORE CPI Y/Y: -0.8% V -0.5%E (20-month low)
(KR) SOUTH KOREA MAY CONSUMER CONFIDENCE: 105 V 104 PRIOR (15-month high)
(SG) SINGAPORE APR INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION M/M: -3.5% V +0.6%E; Y/Y: -0.3% V +4.1%E
(TH) THAILAND APR CUSTOMS TRADE BALANCE: -$2.9B V -$2.9BE
(PH) PHILIPPINES MAR TRADE BALANCE: -$1.05B V -$562M PRIOR; TOTAL IMPORTS: $5.4B V $4.99B PRIOR
Markets Snapshot (as of 05:00GMT)
Nikkei225 +0.1%
S&P/ASX -0.4%
Kospi +0.6%
Singapore Straits Times Index -0.3%
Shanghai Composite -0.4%
Hang Seng -0.3%
June S&P Futures -0.2% at 1,320
June gold -0.3% $ ...
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