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Sector In Europe LooksTitle:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 05/15/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Investors battered European stocks, dumped the bonds of Spain and Italy, and bid the euro down against the dollar Monday after the collapse of weekend coalition talks in Greece edged that country closer to an exit from the euro zone.
USD
Retail sales in the U.S. rose in April at the slowest pace of the year, showing unseasonably mild weather and pre-Easter shopping may have pulled consumers to stores the prior month.
GBP
Governor Mervyn King looks set to leave the door open to more support for the struggling economy when he presents the Bank of England's new economic outlook on Wednesday, which is likely to show a tricky mix of lower growth and higher inflation ahead.
CHF
Swiss stocks lost ground on Monday on concern Greece will exit the Eurozone.
...
Title:
Germany: The Savior Of Europe?
Germany: The Savior Of Europe?
Germany: The Savior Of Europe?
It's official, the German economy is single handed propping up the Eurozone after its economy grew five times more than forecast in the first quarter. Growth expanded by 0.5% on the quarter, pushing the annual growth rate to 1.2%, which is fairly healthy considering how dire the growth outlook is elsewhere in the currency bloc. We know that some large German companies like BMW had their best ever quarter in the first three months of the year, thus there were signs that Germany could do better than expected. But what is surprising is that even though Italy contracted more than expected at 0.8% in the first quarter, the Eurozone managed to avoid a recession and registered flat growth overall between January and March.
Germany ...
Title:
The Bank of England's Next Move
The Week Ahead
■The Bank of England's next move
■Is this the beginning of the end for the Eurozone?
■Fed officials reluctant to signal more easing
■Broader risk environment outweighs Japanese rhetoric
The Bank of England's next move
The BOE kept rates on hold when it concluded its May meeting last week; it also allowed the asset purchase program to come to an end. Since the UK slipped back into recession in Q1 2012 and the growth figures at the start of the second quarter have continued to look weak, the decision to hold interest rates was mostly down to the sticky outlook for inflation. The attention now turns to Wednesday's Inflation Report.
The focus will be on the Bank's growth and inflation forecasts. The growth forecasts are likely to be revised lower. Even ...
Title:
Wall Street rises at the end of a soft week
Stocks rose on Friday after a strong outlook from chipmaker Nvidia and surprisingly robust consumer confidence offset a slide in bank shares after disclosures of huge trading losses at JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPMorgan (JPM.N) said it lost at least $2 billion from a failed hedging strategy. The Dow component was down 7.3 percent at $37.77 and weighed on the entire sector.
Nvidia Corp (NVDA.O) rose 8.4 percent to $13.46 after reporting adjusted first-quarter earnings that beat expectations. The stock boosted the Nasdaq and was the S&P 500's top percentage gainer.
U.S. consumer sentiment rose to its highest in more than four years in early May as Americans remained upbeat about the job market. The survey was a welcome sign amid worries that the economic recovery may be slowing down.
"It sort ...
Title:
Germany To The Rescue?
This is the fifth day without a firm government in place for Greece; if a coalition is not found soon then we could be heading back to the polls, which open up the possibility of a prolonged period of Greek political instability. There was some hope this morning of the Conservatives forming a coalition with the Socialists and other moderate pro-bailout parties that would have a mandate to govern until 2014. This helped to lift the euro from its daily lows; however for a sustained rally in risk we need to get a firm commitment that a 'moderate' pro-European government will take the reins of power in Athens. Unless that happens then the markets are likely to remain jittery.
Mixed signals
The markets are particularly cloudy today. Some bullish reversal patterns that formed yesterday were ...
Title:
Euro Extends Its Trip South As Speculation On Greek Exit Is Growing
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Core bonds higher at first, but gave back gains in US session
- Fears about Greece and Spain continued to boost core bonds, but a rumours, later confirmed, that the EFSF would today disburse a tranche of the Greek bail-out loan triggered some correction and erased part of the German bond gains and almost all of the US ones. Today, the BoE decision on QE may affect overall bond markets.
- Currencies: euro extends its trip South as speculation on Greek exit is growing
- On Wednesday, trading on global markets was still dominated by negative headlines on Europe. This weighed on the euro. After all, the decline of EUR/USD developed in an orderly way even as several EMU policymakers pondered the option of a Greek exit. Today, the BoE holds ...
Title:
Gold hits four-month low as crisis knocks euro
(Reuters) - Gold fell for a third day on Wednesday, touching a four-month low and all but wiping out its gains for the year as the escalation in the euro zone debt crisis prompted investors to favor dollars and German government bonds as safe-havens.
Political disarray in Greece, a change in the French presidency and renewed concern about the resilience of the Spanish banking sector sent the euro to a 15-week low against the dollar and propelled German bond futures to record highs.
Spot gold was down 1.2 percent on the day at $1,585.01 an ounce at 0940 GMT, having lost more than 3 percent so far this week in its largest weekly slide since mid-March.
"It's not as though the escalation of the political risk in Europe is doing anything positive for gold prices at all and this is totally ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 09/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"The debt crisis damps demand for German products in Europe but Russia, China, India, Brazil and South Africa should generally be able to compensate declining sales."
- Gerd Hassel, an economist at BHF Bank AG
German industrial production unexpectedly soared in March, adding to signs the euro zone’s largest economy is weathering debt crisis. Production jumped 2.8 per cent from February, when it declined 0.2 per cent, said the Economy Ministry on Tuesday.
USD
"People are preparing for a shock that may or may not occur."
- Michael Holland, chairman and founder of New York-based Holland & Co.
U.S. stocks fell on Tuesday as Greece’s bailout pledge came into question.
GBP
"The health of the housing market is a reverberation of consumer confidence and credit ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 08/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
" show that despite the crisis in the euro area, Germany is growing and benefiting from a revival in international trade."
- Klaus Baader, senior economist at Societe Generale SA
German factory orders rose by more than forecast in March, a sign Europe’s largest economy is weathering the debt crisis.
USD
"From where we sit right now, we think the economy looks fundamentally stronger."
- Marisa Di Natale, an economist at Moody’s Analytics in West Chester
U.S. stocks closed mixed on Monday after Francois Hollande was elected as a French president and Greek voters turned to antibailout parties.
GBP
"… the challenging economic backdrop suggests that a significant acceleration in prices or activity is unlikely in the near term."
- Robert Gardner, Nationwide’s ...
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