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Risk Of Testing All TimeTitle:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 25/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"The euro zone is being buffeted by major headwinds."
- Howard Archer, chief European economist at IHS Global Insight
European manufacturing and services industries contracted in May. A composite index based on a survey of purchasing managers in manufacturing and services sectors declined to 45.9 from 46.7 in April, said the Markit Economics on Thursday.
USD
"It looks more and more like businesses are hesitating to invest in the face of worsening uncertainties in the and global economy."
- Pierre Ellis, a senior economist at Decision Economics
The number of Americans claiming for unemployment benefits declined slightly by 2,000 to a seasonally adjusted 370,000 in the week ended May 19 from the week before, said the Department of Labor on Thursday.
GBP
" ...
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Negative outlook in EU sends EUR/USD to new 2012 lows
MORNING BRIEFING: Negative outlook in EU sends EUR/USD to new 2012 lows
What’s new:
Asia: Japanese CPI in line with expectations. Risk mixed overnight. EUR/JPY consolidates below 100.
United States: Soft core durables send GDP forecasts down. USD gaining against most peers
Europe: Decent indices, but Euro selling off. Still focus on Greece and the lack of progress.
Rates in Asia and Indices:
EUR/USD 1.2519 1.2561 0.21 %
USD/CHF 0.9567 0.9606 0.16 %
GBP/USD 1.5648 1.5676 -0.00 %
USD/JPY 79.54 79.82 -0.06 %
EUR/CHF 1.2012 1.20375 -0.03 %
EUR/JPY 99.73 100.06 -0.25 %
Dow Jones 12419.63 12539.59 0.26 %
Nasdaq 2512.35 2554.2 ...
Title:
Euro stuck near 22-month low on Greek exit worry
(Reuters) - The euro hovered just above its 22-month low against the dollar on Thursday and remained vulnerable to further declines as the prospect of a Greek exit from the euro zone kept investors on tenterhooks.
The euro eased 0.1 percent to $1.2575. It fell to about $1.2545 the previous day, its lowest level since July 2010. That level should provide initial support, followed by $1.2500.
The euro drew little comfort from an informal summit of European Union leaders that shed no new light on how the euro zone nations intend to tackle its debt crisis, including the threat of Greece's exit from euro.
"It's still hard to see what the endgame will be like," said a trader at a Japanese bank in Tokyo.
European Union leaders urged Greece to stay the course on austerity and complete the ...
Title:
European Market Update : 23/05/2012
Euro hits fresh 2012 lows ahead of informal summit; More reports of an ECB contingency plan in the works
Economic Data
(GR) Greece Mar Current Account: -€2.1B v €1.1B prior
(NL) Netherlands Mar Consumer Spending Y/Y: % v -1.3% prior
(SE) Sweden Apr Unemployment Rate: % v 7.8%e
(EU) Euro Zone Apr Current Account: +€7.5B v -€5.6B prior; Current Account Seasonally Adj: +€7.5B v -€1.2B prior
(IT) Italy May Consumer Confidence: 86.5 v 89.5e (lowest reading on record after series began in 1996))
(ZA) South Africa Apr CPI (all items) M/M: 0.4% v 0.5%e; Y/Y: % v 6.2%e
(TW) Taiwan Apr Industrial Production Y/Y: -2.3% v -1.7%e; Commercial Sales Y/Y: -2.4% v -0.9% prior
(UK) Apr Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel M/M: -1.0% v -0.7%e; Y/Y: -0.3% v +0.7%e
(UK) Apr Retail Sales with Auto Fuel M/M: -0.8% ...
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Safe-Haven Dollar
Forex News and Events:
Friday’s trading session was mostly uneventful with all the focus shifted to Facebook’s IPO. Many markets that had been freefalling these last two weeks caught a breather, with gold, silver, and the EUR gaining 1.12%, 2.57% and 0.63% respectively against the USD. The reversal has been attributed to a weak Philly Fed reading on economic activity in a sign that the world’s reserve currency is riskier than panicked markets are pricing. The weak number raised speculation over a new round of interventions from the part of the Fed in order to boost its economy. WTI however, was not able to profit from this reversal as it dropped to a six-month low before closing at 91.33. A 22-year high in inventory levels for the US could explain the decoupling of oil from the rest of ...
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Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)
EUR/USD
Extends the near-term recovery above initial barriers at 1.2750 zone, after temporary footstep was found at 1.2640, last Friday. Bounce from here briefly broke above 1.2800 barrier, also Fib 23.6%, where descending trendline, connecting 1.3282/1.3177 tops, limited gains at 1.2811, with corrective easing on overbought hourly studies under way. Dips need to be contained at 1.2760/40 zone, to maintain positive near-term tone for possible fresh attack at upper barriers. Lift above 1.2800, to face significant resistances at 1.2886, Fib 38.2% and 1.2900 zone, clearance of which to confirm near-term base and open way for stronger retracement of 1.3282/1.2641 downleg, with 1.2950/80 seen next. On the downside, loss f 1.2740 and psychological support at 1.2700, would turn focus lowercase ...
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Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 21/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"Fears of a Greek exit from the euro zone and the negative consequences from that are prevailing"
- Ben Kwong, KGI Asia
European stocks edged lower after Fitch downgraded Greece’s credit rating to ‘CCC’, implying that the country is vulnerable and highly dependent on favourable economic conditions to fulfill its financial obligations.
USD
"If there were scope to do another twist of some type it would be prudent to consider it, especially in the scenario where things are worse and the Fed feels like it needs to move"
- Nathan Sheets, Citigroup Inc.
Fed policymakers might potentially launch another round of Operation Twist rather than a direct asset purchases in case of increased risks or further weakening of the US economy.
GBP
"We must work together to give ...
Title:
Majors climb to session highs against greenback
With the lack of market thrillers, risky assets rebound on a normal pullback after the recent savage selloff looking with an eye of hope towards the world’s leaders meeting (G8) today.
Markets woke up on sharp selloff with the start of the trading session, where majors printed new lows against the greenback before rebounding. The EUR/USD reached 1.2640 just above 2012 low at 1.2621, currently baring earlier losses trading around 1.2713. Stochastic has provided an early sign of recovery in the form of a bullish divergence and currently regaining the bullish momentum. However the upside remains limited as markets jitters are far from over. Thus 1.2660 should form an intraday ceiling today, as trading ranges will get thinner approaching the weekend.
The British pounds rebounded sharply ...
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Signs that Bearish Sentiment May be Wearing a Bit Thin
Signs that Bearish Sentiment May be Wearing a Bit Thin
The Facebook IPO today has temporarily knocked Europe from the headlines as the world's eyes are focused on the Nasdaq at 1430 GMT/ 0930 ET when Facebook will start trading for the first time. CNBC anchors have been wearing honorary hoodies to mark the occasion so it must be big. I still find it hard to reconcile how FB is worth $140 billion when the site is used by both advertisers and cyber bullies, but perhaps I'm missing the point. The point today is that it is the third largest IPO in the US ever, Zuckerberg will be a gaszillionaire and U2's Bono is likely to earn $1.5bn from his initial $90 million investment. Facebook might not change the trading world, but it could change the Forbes rich list quite dramatically.
Could ...
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