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RecoveryTitle:
Consumer Confidence Of Michigan Rallies To Highest of Recovery
The Thompson Reuters/University of Michigan survey of consumer sentiment was released this morning to show that the final gauge of consumer sentiment reached the highest of the recovery, at 79.3 from 77.8 in early-May. Analysts` median estimate was unchanged from the prior estimate as well.
Furthermore, the survey showed that economic conditions index eased slightly to 78.2 from 78.3 in May, while economic outlook bounced up to 74.3 from 71.7. Moreover, 1-year inflation expectations declined to 3.0 percent from 3.1 percent this month, and 5-Year inflation expectations fell to 2.7 percent from 3.0 percent.
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An unchanged confidence is projected for the U.S
The present recovery of the superpower remains moderate and on track with mixed sentiments so far spread this week on a local and global scale regarding the companies` orders, housing activities and Greece, yet no true change has been witnessed and therefore most probably later on the day we will watch an unchanged confidence for this month.
In fact later on the day we will watch the University of Michigan Confidence final reading of this month released and highly projected by the market to come in unchanged at 77.8, indicating clearly that consumer confidence regarding personal finances, business conditions and purchasing power.
No wonder that yesterday we had the Commerce Department showing us that the demand for business equipment in the U.S plunged in April as companies across the U. ...
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Euro Continues the Upside Correctional Move
As the last session approaches the end this week, markets are still rebounding to the upside supported by investors position squaring, where due to the high level of uncertainty in the market investors tend to terminate any open trade ahead of the coming week in order to protect their wealth against any surprise that might hit markets with the opening on Monday. After heavy losses it is only normal for the correction as bears lock in their profits!
The comments from the Italian Premier added to the uncertainty in markets, where Monti called on Germany to respond to mounting pressures and approve the issuance of joint Eurobonds, a thing that was weighed positively by markets as investors believe that if European nations acted in unity, Spain and Italy might skip falling into the debt trap ...
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EURCHF Move Provides Temporary Excitement
Forex News and Events:
Risk appetite has recovery marginally in the Asian session as the lack of Europe-negative headlines allowed risk seekers to pick up bargains. EURUSD was able to rally off the 1.2519 lows trading up to 1.2579. One of the more tangible drivers of today’s renewed positive sentiment has been the optimistic tone out of the Iran nuclear talks. A spokesman for EU foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton, stated "there is a positive atmosphere.” Oil went bid in the European session as WTI traded swiftly to $91.31. Yesterday’s move of the day was in the EURCHF where speculation on exactly what happened is still dominating conversation. After a month of inactivity around the 1.2010 level (vols compressed to nothing), EURCHF jumped suddenly over 60 pips during the European ...
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German Data Leads to Additional Euro Losses
Disappointing German data sent the euro to fresh lows against the USD during European trading yesterday. In a sign that even the euro-zone's biggest economy was not immune from the region's debt crisis, the German Flash Manufacturing PMI and Ifo Business Climate both came in significantly below expectations. As a result, the EUR/USD dropped as low as 1.2515, close to a two-year low. As we close out the week, traders will want to continue monitoring any developments out of the euro-zone. Any new negative developments could send the common currency below $1.2500 before markets close for the week.
Economic News
USD - Safe-Haven USD Sees Additional Gains
The US dollar was able to extend its gains against the euro yesterday, following the release of several disappointing economic indicators ...
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What would Greek exit mean for the U.S. economy?
(Reuters) - Uncertainty over the fate of the euro currency is already dampening U.S. economic growth and any significant worsening of the crisis would deal a blow to a recovery that is gradually gathering steam.
Economists estimate that volatile markets and business uncertainty over the fate of Greece and the policy course in Europe is already shaving anywhere from one tenth to one half a percentage point from U.S. 2012 gross domestic product growth.
In a Reuters poll last week, U.S. GDP was forecast on average at 2.3 percent for 2012 and 2.4 percent for 2013.
The direct hit to growth comes through trade. U.S. exports to the European Union account for 19 percent of total exports, and those to the euro zone represent 13 percent of the total. But when calculated in terms of GDP, the share ...
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Fed's Dudley: New policy actions unlikely: CNBC
(Reuters) - The Federal Reserve likely will not need to ease monetary policy further but it cannot rule it out if the economy were to take a turn for the worse, New York Federal Reserve Bank President William Dudley said on Thursday.
"My view is that, if we continue to see improvement in the economy, in terms of using up the slack in available resources, then I think it's hard to argue that we absolutely must do something more in terms of the monetary policy front," he said in an interview on CNBC.
However, Dudley, a voting member of the U.S. central bank's monetary policy committee, said if Europe's debt crisis or a potentially sharp tightening of U.S. fiscal policy at the end of the year began to threaten the recovery, the Fed might need to act.
"If employment gains were to falter, if ...
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Oil climbs above $106 as Iran talks stall
(Reuters) - Brent crude oil rose above $106 a barrel on Thursday as reports of a hiccup in talks with Iran over its nuclear program balanced weak economic data from China and Europe.
Iran accused world powers on Thursday of creating "a difficult atmosphere" that hindered negotiations on its atomic energy program, signaling a snag in diplomacy to defuse fears of an Iranian attempt to develop nuclear bombs.
Brent futures rose 90 cents to trade at $106.46 by 1336 GMT after earlier touching a high of $106.90 before weak Chinese and European economic data sparked a bout of selling.
U.S. crude for July rose $1.44 to a high of $91.34 after settling at $89.90 a barrel on Wednesday, its lowest close for front-month U.S. crude since October 21.
Investors are worried that failure to agree a deal ...
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A dead cat bounce?
After a bunch of creepy economic figures starting from the euro zone manufacturing and services numbers which showed the sectors extended contraction last month and confidence among business within germany dropped to 106.9 from 109.4, that was followed by the GDP figure from the U.K which confirmed further contraction as the country’s economy contracted more than expected. While from the U.S; core durable goods orders dropped by 0.6% while markets were expecting a 1.1% expansion.
Although the overall picture remains clearly uncertain, however markets were well supported after being extensively oversold today, rebounding slightly this morning, and currently extending the recovery after the Greek central bank chief said that Greece’s four largest banks are to be recapitalized by an 18 ...
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