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Technical analysis of the USD/JPY pair on May 18th, 2012
Commentary of the USD/JPY pair :
A strong bearish movement occured yesterday on the pair USD/JPY who got out of the range 80.09/80.41 from the bottom, giving us a sell signal.
All indicators are bearish.
Currently, the pair is testing the support at 79.26.
The pair is moving just above the upper band of its bearish channel (black lines) and seems to take support on a bearish slant (purple line).
We continue to advise short positions as far as 80.09 is resistance.
The breakout of 76.26 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 78.50.
In case of return above 80.09, we will be neutral between this level and 80.41.
See the previous analysis of the USD/JPY pair of May 17th, 2012
USD/JPY Analysis
Title:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 05/17/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Mario Draghi, the ECB President, insisted on Greece to stay in the Euro bloc during his public speech on Wednesday regarding the possibility of Greece withdrawal from the Eurozone. Nevertheless, according to him, the ECB will stick to its anti-inflation mandate. The ECB President's comments came after Irish and Belgian central banks reported that Greek exit would not be disastrous for the Eurozone.
USD
Jobless claims in the U.S. didn't live up to the expectations that it will decrease by 5K and remained unchanged, at 370K level, in the week from 6th to 12th of May. Amount of people on rolling unemployment claims increased by around 18K while the number of people on prolonged payments decreased by around 45K. 31 out of 52 states or territory's reported ...
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Greece + Spain
Majors resumed the bearish tone against the greenback after a slight recovery with the start of the trading session, where the U.S dollar headed to new highs and continues to bag meaty gains against its major counterparts. The overall scene is clearly derived by Greek jitters, while a care-taker government leads the country until June’s fresh elections. It seems that markets have already started the pricing process of a Greece exit; if that is true, the selloff we have seen is just the beginning.
Spain weighed on markets as well, the country dipped technicaly into recession as the economy contracted by 0.3% in the first quarter which is the second consecutive contraction. while Moody`s rating agency plans an immenent yp to 21 Spanish banks downgrades according to Spanish newspaper ...
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Dollar Approaching 2012 Highs
Dollar Approaching 2012 Highs
USD continues to trade mostly firmer against the major currencies as risk sentiment remains negative. European equities are trading in the red after the ECB paused lending to some Greek banks until they recapitalize and US stock futures are marginally lower at time of writing. The dollar index is nearing the highs of the year around 81.78 which occurred in mid-Jan and we would expect to see this level act as near term resistance as dollar longs may look to take profit. FOMC minutes released yesterday indicated that members expect the recovery to "gradually gain strength" however if it falters, easing may be needed. The UST yield curve is relatively flat today with 10-year yields currently unchanged. Weekly jobless claims were stable at 370k which was the same ...
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Euro slides on Greece, banking sector worries
The euro slid to a four-month low against the dollar on Thursday and was expected to remain under pressure as concerns grow about problems facing some periphery euro zone banks and the prospect of contagion if Greece exits the euro.
Growing aversion to risk drove investors towards the safety of the U.S. dollar, which rose to a four-month high against a basket of currencies, while the euro also dropped to a three-month low versus the yen.
Talk of possible Spanish bank downgrades pushed European equities .FTEU3 sharply lower. Shares in Spanish lender Bankia fell more than 20 percent following a report in the El Mundo newspaper that its customers had withdrawn more than 1 billion euros from their accounts over the past week.
This followed news on Wednesday that the European Central Bank ...
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Markets Hold Ground, Awaiting Central Banks to Move
Taking a general look at markets before the end of this week, we can see that the bearishness started to lose momentum as traders are speculating now what tools Central Banks might provide to revive the slowing pace of recovery, especially the European Central Bank amid the current political instability in Greece, the confirmed recession in Spain and Italy and the deepening debt crisis.
Moreover, investors are still worried and concerned regarding the general trend in markets, where after the Federal Reserve reassured that a slowing recovery in the U.S. might trigger another round of quantitative easing, volatility dominated markets as predicting the coming moves became highly uncertain as Politicians failed to calm markets and the fueled debt crisis, leaving policymakers with a difficult ...
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Higher Yielding Currencies Maintain Bearish Trend
Higher Yielding Currencies Maintain Bearish Trend
Higher yielding currencies, namely the EUR and AUD, remained bearish during European trading yesterday, as fears that Greece will have to leave the euro-zone led to risk aversion in the marketplace. Investors are now worried about what the possible effects of a Greek exit from the euro-zone would be for other indebted countries, including Spain and Italy. Today, traders will want to note that there is a bank holiday in France, Germany and Switzerland. That being said, news out of the US may lead to market volatility. The Unemployment Claims figure and Philly Fed Manufacturing Index are both forecasted to show US economic growth. If true, the USD could see gains during the afternoon session.
Economic News
USD - Manufacturing Data Could ...
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Technical analysis of the USD/JPY pair on May 17th, 2012
Commentary of the USD/JPY pair :
The pair USD/JPY has tested yesterday the resistance at 80.41.
All indicators are bullish.
The pair is still moving above the upper band of its former bearish channel.
We are neutral on the pair between 80.09 and 80.41.
We advise to wait an exit of this range to take position:
- Long above 80.41. The breakout of 80.76 will give a new buy signal
- Short below 80.09. The breakout of 79.64 will give a new sell signal.
See the previous analysis of the USD/JPY pair of May 16th, 2012
USD/JPY Analysis
Title:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 05/16/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Stoxx Europe 600 index have dropped for third consecutive day and reached the lowest level since the start of this year as specialists speculate that elections in Greece could take place as early as 10 of June. The index lost 0.5% of its value by noon in London and around 10% from its peak this year in mid-March.
USD
Facebook increases the share offering by 25% to 421.2M shares to collect near $16B. At the offering's price of $34-$38 per share Facebook is rushing towards the largest technology IPO in the history. Production of utilities, mines and factory's in the U.S. surpassed expected 0.6% level and increased by 1.1% in April.
GBP
The number of unemployed people for January-March decreased to 2.63 million, 45,000 down on the quarter, the Office for ...
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