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Parity The Parity FoundTitle:
Technical analysis of the AUD/USD parity on May 24th, 2012
Commentary of the AUD/USD parity:
The pair AUD/USD found support yesterday on 0.97 and is currently moving towards a pullback on 0.98 as resistance.
The pair is still moving below the lower band of its bearish channel (purple lines).
All indicators are bearish.
We continue to advise short positions as far as 0.9875 is resistance.
The breakout of 0.97 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 0.96.
In case of return above 0.9875, we will wait the breakout of 0.9950 to advise long positons.
See the previous analysis of the AUD/USD parity of May 23th, 2012
AUD/USD Analysis
Title:
Technical analysis of the AUD/USD parity on May 21th, 2012
Commentary of the AUD/USD parity:
The pair AUD/USD found support on 0.98 last friday.
The pair continues to move on the lower band of its bearish channel (purple lines).
All indicators are bearish.
We continue to advise short positions as far as 0.9950 is resistance.
The breakout of 0.98 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 0.97.
In case of return above 0.9950, we will wait the breakout of 1.0 to advise long positons.
See the previous analysis of the AUD/USD parity of May 18th, 2012
AUD/USD Analysis
Title:
Germany To The Rescue?
This is the fifth day without a firm government in place for Greece; if a coalition is not found soon then we could be heading back to the polls, which open up the possibility of a prolonged period of Greek political instability. There was some hope this morning of the Conservatives forming a coalition with the Socialists and other moderate pro-bailout parties that would have a mandate to govern until 2014. This helped to lift the euro from its daily lows; however for a sustained rally in risk we need to get a firm commitment that a 'moderate' pro-European government will take the reins of power in Athens. Unless that happens then the markets are likely to remain jittery.
Mixed signals
The markets are particularly cloudy today. Some bullish reversal patterns that formed yesterday were ...
Title:
Technical analysis of the AUD/USD parity on May 10th, 2012
Commentary of the AUD/USD parity:
The pair AUD/USD found support yesterday on 1.0050 and just made a pullback on the upper band of its bearish channel (purple lines).
The pair is currently trying to make a return above 1.01.
All indicators are still bearish.
We continue to advise short positions as far as 1.0150 is resistance.
A return below 1.01 will comfort our bearish feeling.
The breakout of 1.0050 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 1.0.
In case of return above 1.0150, we will wait the breakout of 1.02 to advise long positons.
See the previous analysis of the AUD/USD parity of May 9th, 2012
AUD/USD Analysis
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 30/04/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"Once we hit the 6.5 per cent mark , the alarm bells will go off loudly in Brussels and more rhetoric will be coming from the European Central Bank"
- Adrian Miller, a global markets strategist at GMP
The rating agency Standard & Poor’s has downgraded Spain’s credit rating by two notches to BBB-plus with a negative outlook from A, citing expectations the government finances will deteriorate.
USD
"While the economy continued to grow in the first quarter, the expansion remains modest in pace and subpar from a historical perspective"
- Jim Baird, chief investment strategist at Plante Moran Financial Advisors
The U.S. economy grew at a slower pace than forecast in the first quarter as businesses cut on investment. Gross domestic product increased at a 2.2 per cent ...
Title:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 27/04/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Spain's credit rating was lowered by Standard & Poor's for a second time in 2012 on enduring worries the nation will have to apply additional fiscal backing to lenders as the economy shrinks. S&P cut its long term grade for Spain from A to BBB+ adding a negative outlook. Country's short term rating was lowered from A-1 to A-2, S&P agency reported on Thursday.
USD
Crude oil price declined from almost 4-week high in New York trade after S&P ratings agency cut Spain's sovereign credit rating, boosting concerns that further recession in Europe may halt demand for crude. Oil to be delivered in June lost USD 0.61, reaching USD 103.94 a barrel. June Brent oil gave up USD 0.49 and traded at USD 119.43 a barrel.
GBP
Today the Great Britain Pound extended its gains ...
Title:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 26/04/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Deutsche Bank, the German biggest lender posted a 33% drop in its first quarter profit, citing debt crisis as a negative force that curbed trading. Net income declined to EUR 1.38 billion (USD 1.82 billion) compared to EUR 2.06 billion in the same period last year. Economists questioned by Bloomberg expected the profit to decrease less to EUR 1.56 billion. Deutsche Bank shares have added 16% this year.
USD
Crude oil fluctuated close to a one-week record high as Fed claimed they expect the economic growth to advance, encouraging the speculation that fuel demand will increase. Moreover Iran announced it may stop its nuclear expansion. June crude traded at USD 104.07 a barrel after climbing USD 0.57 yesterday. Brent oil to be delivered in June traded at USD 119 a ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 26/04/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"There’s a bit of risk back on after some positive company numbers helped stocks and improved the tone of the markets"
- Eric Wand, a fixed-income strategist at Lloyds Banking Group Plc
Demand for Spanish and Italian debt rose, pushing Spanish and Italian bonds higher, as investors turned to higher-yielding assets after companies from Apple to Swedbank reported better than forecast earnings.
USD
"The committee expects economic growth to remain moderate over coming quarters and then to pick up gradually"
- Federal Open Market Committee
U.S. durable goods orders tumbled below forecast in March, a sign the manufacturing sector may be losing momentum. Bookings for long lasting goods dropped 4.2 percent, said the Commerce Department on Wednesday.
GBP
" could be ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 25/04/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"Equities are stronger than in the fall, as central banks have moved to support the market with liquidity and removing the structural risks to banks"
- Hans Peterson, the chief investment officer of SEB Private Bank
Industrial new orders in the euro zone declined by more than forecast in February, Eurostat data showed on Tuesday. Orders decreased by a seasonally adjusted 1.3 per cent, after declining 2.9 per cent in January.
USD
"Overall, consumers are more upbeat about the state of the economy, but they remain cautiously optimistic"
- Lynn Franco, director of the Conference Board Consumer Research Center
U.S. consumer confidence declined in April as consumers became slightly less optimistic on the outlook of the country’s economy, the Conference Board Inc. ...
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