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Greek Debt Crisis: Answers to Frequently Asked Questions
Highlights
- An acceleration in deposit withdrawals, combined with the prospect of an anti-austerity party winning the next election, has brought to the fore concerns about a potential Greek exit from the euro zone.
- Our base case assumption is that under the most likely scenario, the Greek election will lead to a government that sticks to an EU/IMF program, even if the terms are renegotiated.
- However, we do believe that Greece needs a further restructuring of its debt and we do think the country will ultimately exit the euro - we're just not convinced that Europe is ready for this to happen at the moment.
- If an accident does occur and Greece does leave the euro in the near term, it would have global financial ramifications that could range from severe to catastrophic. ...
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Vale sees iron ore price rising in second half of 2012
Brazilian mining company Vale SA (VALE5.SA) remains confident the price of iron-ore, its main product, will rise in the second half of 2012, relieving environmental and economic pressures on the company which have hurt growth and delayed new projects.
Iron ore .IO62-CNI=SI fell to its lowest level in nearly six months on Friday, slipping 1.7 percent to $131.30 a metric ton (1.1023 tons). The medium- to long-term price, though, should be in the range of $120 to $180 a metric ton, Jose Carlos Martins, Vale's head of ferrous metals and strategy, said at a lunchtime gathering with reporters in Rio de Janeiro.
Demand for steel remains strong in China, thanks to housing, Vale Chief Financial Officer Tito Martins added. At the same time, declines in prices push higher-cost Chinese producers out ...
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Global stocks, oil drop on latest euro zone fears
World stocks and oil prices fell on Thursday on concerns about the health of Spain's banks and the prospect of Greece leaving the euro zone.
Adding to pressure on Wall Street stocks was a U.S. government report showing manufacturing in the mid-Atlantic states unexpectedly contracted in May.
The data helped lift safe-haven U.S. Treasuries prices, and pushed the 10-year note yield to just 5 basis points from its lowest level in at least 50 years, while gold prices rallied 2.6 percent.
Worries about Spanish banks resurfaced after a media report said customers of Bankia (BKIA.MC) had withdrawn more than 1 billion euros from their accounts in the past week. The Spanish government said there had been no such exit of deposits.
Shares of the partly nationalized Bankia fell 13.5 percent but ...
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Gold jumps 2.6 percent after slump; dead-cat bounce?
Gold rallied more than 2.6 percent on Thursday, its largest one-day gain since late January, as technical buy signals and new signs of a sluggish U.S. economy more than offset deepening despair over the euro zone.
After flirting with a bear market on Wednesday, down more than 20 percent from its September record, bullion rallied early after Philadelphia Federal Reserve data showed a contraction in factory activity in the U.S. mid-Atlantic region that rekindled some hope the Fed would plough more money into the system to stimulate the economy, traders said.
Technical buying also fueled gains after gold had nearly hit a key December low, trading just shy of key technical long-term support at the 100-week moving average of $1,515 per oz.
But with the euro and U.S. stocks in decline and ...
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Euro near 3-1/2-month low vs dollar as Greece churns
The euro edged higher against the dollar on Friday but hovered near a 3-1/2-month low as political uncertainty in Greece and hefty losses unveiled by U.S. bank JPMorgan Chase kept investors wary of placing bets in favor of the currency.
The euro rose for a second day after falling for eight straight sessions, with investors squarely focused on Greece, where inconclusive election results last Sunday threw the country into political disarray and raised the risk of it exiting the euro zone.
"The recent decline in the euro/dollar is clearly a direct response to the decline in global equity markets," said Gareth Sylvester, senior currency strategist at Klarity FX in San Francisco.
"These declines have been driven by the shifting political landscape in Europe, most notably in Greece and ...
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Wall Street flat, but on track for weekly loss
Stocks were little changed on Friday but remained on track for a second week of declines after JPMorgan Chase & Co revealed a trading loss of at least $2 billion from a failed hedging strategy.
The news weighed on bank shares, sending the Dow component down 8.9 percent to $37.11, but indexes rebounded off their early lows, continuing a trend this week of investors using dips as an occasion to buy.
Stocks were also buoyed by upbeat consumer sentiment data and an earnings beat by Nvidia Corp.
JPMorgan (JPM.N) estimates the business unit involved in the trading loss will lose $800 million in the current quarter, excluding private equity results and litigation expenses. The bank had previously expected the unit to earn a profit of about $200 million.
Jamie Dimon, the chief executive of the ...
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Gold hits 4-month low as dollar rises, stocks slide
Gold prices fell to a four-month low on Friday as worries over the financial health of Greece and Spain and huge trading losses for JPMorgan hurt stock markets and the euro, prompting investors to seek refuge in the dollar.
Investors liquidated gold holdings to cover losses on other markets, analysts said, as a rise in risk aversion sparked selling across assets seen as higher risk, while lifting the U.S. currency and safe-haven German Bunds.
Spot gold slid to $1,573.29 an ounce, its weakest since January 3, after support gave way at $1,579, and was down 0.7 percent at $1,582.19 an ounce at 1145 GMT.
Prices pared the worst of their losses as hopes that a Greek government may be formed soon lifted the euro from lows, but spot prices were still down nearly 4 percent so far this week, ...
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European Market Update : 10/05/2012
Markets eye whether BOE extends its Asset Purchase Program later today; Greece continues to struggle to form new gov't
Economic Data
(RU) Russia Central Bank (CBR) left Refinancing Rate unchanged at 8.00%, as expected
(ID) Indonesia Central Bank left Reference Rate unchanged at 5.75%, as expected
(FI) Finland Mar Industrial Production M/M: -1.5% v -0.2%e; Y/Y: -5.7% v -2.2%e
(FR) Bank of France Apr Business Sentiment: 95 v 95e
(FR) France Mar Industrial Production M/M: -0.9% v -0.6%e; Y/Y: -0.9% v -1.3%e
(FR) France Mar Manufacturing Production M/M:+1.4% v -0.2%e; Y/Y: -0.3% v -2.8%e
(FR) France Mar Central Govt. Balance: -€29.4B v -€24.2B prior
(ES) Spain Mar House transactions Y/Y: -22.7% v -31.8% prior
(CZ) Czech Apr CPI M/M: 0.0% v 0.1%e; Y/Y: 3.5% v 3.6%e
(CZ) Czech Mar ...
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Gold hits four-month low as crisis knocks euro
(Reuters) - Gold fell for a third day on Wednesday, touching a four-month low and all but wiping out its gains for the year as the escalation in the euro zone debt crisis prompted investors to favor dollars and German government bonds as safe-havens.
Political disarray in Greece, a change in the French presidency and renewed concern about the resilience of the Spanish banking sector sent the euro to a 15-week low against the dollar and propelled German bond futures to record highs.
Spot gold was down 1.2 percent on the day at $1,585.01 an ounce at 0940 GMT, having lost more than 3 percent so far this week in its largest weekly slide since mid-March.
"It's not as though the escalation of the political risk in Europe is doing anything positive for gold prices at all and this is totally ...
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