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Opened On A BearishTitle:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 24/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Concern about Greece "is a big weight on the market and makes things uncertain"
- Emmanuel Soupre, a fund manager at Neuflize Private Assets
European stocks tumbled on Wednesday, after rising by the most in a month on Tuesday, on speculation Greece may exit the euro zone.
USD
"It’s very clear now that the housing market has turned a corner"
- Richard DeKaser, deputy chief economist at Parthenon Group LLC
Sales of new U.S. homes rose by more than expected in April, Commerce Department data showed on Wednesday. Purchases increased to an annual rate of 343,000, up by 3.3 per cent from a revised 332,000 in March.
GBP
" employment remains fragile and wage growth weak"
- Ross Walker, chief U.K. economist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group
U.K. retails sales declined by ...
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SunBirdFX Daily Market Analysis : 05/23/2012
www.sunbirdfx.com
Dramatic finishing in the US stock markets yesterday caused mixed closing by the main indices. The trading was on the green side most of the day but massive selling during the last half hour erased most of the bullish movement, but strong 10 minutes before the closing bell prevented sharper declines. The indices are now facing important test and if they slide under yesterday's low, the sharp declines from last week might return. On the other hand, if they cross above yesterday's high, it will be a strong bullish signal for the markets. On the fundamental aspect, the existing home sales data came out as analysts expected and today the investors will focus on the new home sales data.
EUR/GBP
All of the major pairs resumed weakening against the USD yesterday due to the ...
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SunBirdFX Daily Market Analysis : 05/22/2012
www.sunbirdfx.com
Wall Street opened the trading week with the expected short-squeeze that launched NASDAQ 2.4%, mainly because of Apple. The short-positions holders decided to realize their investments and take profits, as the buyers took advantage of that for gaining profits by opening long positions. This momentum might continue in the next few days, and in this point, it is important to remember that the previous bearish session ended with a sharp bullish day, and this might be the signal for this possible turnover. However, it is too soon to know whether the stocks have stopped falling or not and we need to wait few more days.
AUD/USD
The recovery of the US stock markets weakened the USD against most of the currencies, which might start a correcting session against the USD. The ...
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SunBirdFX Daily Market Analysis : 05/21/2012
www.sunbirdfx.com
The bearish momentum in Wall Street continued last week as indices shed 4%-5% during the week. The sharp declines were expected from the technical analysis point of view, since the main indices broke significant support in their daily charts, which we have analyzed and marked as key levels. The S&P 500 broke the support at 1350 points and reached the target we set at 1300 points, mainly because of the collapse of the financial sector. The volumes are increasing, which means that the sellers are gaining power, in spite improving economic data and the optimism that spread with Facebook trading on Friday. The three main indices are close to the annual opening levels as NASDAQ's next support is at 2400 points.
EUR/USD
We have been mentioning the support at 1.30 as a ...
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Technical analysis of the NZD/USD pair on May 21th, 2012
Commentary of the NZD/USD pair :
The pair NZD/USD has opened on a small bullish gap but continues to move just above the support at 0.7550.
The pair is still moving below the lower band of its bearish channel (dotted purple lines).
The bearish movement seems to be lead by a bearish slant (purple line).
All indicators are bearish.
We continue to advise short positions as far as 0.77 is resistance.
The breakout of 0.7550 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 0.75 and 0.7450
In case of return above 0.77, we will be neutral between this level and 0.78.
The breakout of 0.78 will give a buy signal.
See the previous analysis of the NZD/USD pair of May 18th, 2012
NZD/USD Analysis
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Euro comes off 4-month low but worries remain
The euro rose from a four-month low against the dollar on Friday as investors pared bets against the single currency after a 4 percent drop this month but concerns about Greece and Spain were likely to keep it under pressure.
Technical support also helped, traders said, as the euro approached its January low of $1.2623. A break beneath that would opened the door to a slide toward the 2010 lows around $1.1875.
Despite Friday's gains, investors preferred the relative safety of the U.S. dollar and the Japanese yen as worries about Europe persisted after Moody's cut the credit ratings of 16 Spanish banks on Thursday.
Some traders had earlier said the euro's recent decline could slow, given investors may be wary of holding positions over the weekend when leaders of the G8 major industrial ...
Title:
SunBirdFX Daily Market Analysis : 05/18/2012
www.sunbirdfx.com
The US stock markets keep falling as NASDAQ shed 2.1% yesterday and Dow is close to erase everything it gained since the beginning of the year. The investors will focus on Facebook, which will start trading today for the first time.
GBP/USD
The collapse of the stocks makes the investors to move their investments to the USD, as many believe that the American economy is the more stable than the European economies. Therefore, the USD is strengthening against most of the major currencies, which fall sharply because of that. The pound reached the target we set for the current bearish session at 1.58 and stochastic low levels indicate for a possible correction that might hit 1.59. Nevertheless, if the stocks continue falling, we will probably see additional break-down by the ...
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Crude oil resumes the selloff as the outlook continues to worsen
Crude oil resumes the strong decline and heading to the third consecutive weekly decline as the outlook for global growth and stability in Europe continues to worsen. Oil ended again with losses in NY yesterday for the sixth consecutive session and futures this morning and trading to the downside attempting to breach $92 areas.
The selloff across the board is surely fueled by the fears over the relapse in the global recovery and inevitably influenced by resurfacing debt problems in Europe, where Greece is on the verge of being forced to declare bankruptcy and drop the euro which might pull the footing under wobbling Spain.
Haven demand is keeping the dollar strong and that is further pressure on commodities. The GSCI ended yesterday with losses and was led by energy that dropped 1.10% ...
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European Nations Observe Ascension Day; So Do the USD and JPY
European Nations Observe Ascension Day; So Do the USD and JPY
5/17 - Banks are closed for European nations observing Day of Ascension, a Catholic holiday that commemorates the rise of Jesus into heaven after being crucified. US banks however are open.
During the European session, there was certainly a continuing ascension of the safe haven currencies - USD and JPY as the market continues to unwind risk.
EUR/USD saw another corrective rally attempt before that stalled in the 5/17 Asian session, and then fell sharply again in the European session. Gearing up for the US session, the market is trading it at about 1.2680. The 1.2625 support is still in sight .
EUR/JPY broke down new lows and continues its March at least toward the 100 psychological level.
The sterling (GBP), which was ...
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