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Only Caused The CurrencyTitle:
Spike of EUR/USD Leads to Speculation About SNB Intervention
The Swiss franc fell after a spike of the EUR/USD currency pair lead to speculations that the Swiss National Bank may take additional measures to erode the role of the franc as a safe haven.
Yesterday, for a short time, EUR/USD climbed to the highest level since March. The currency pair quickly pulled back, but that was enough to spur talks about another intervention by the SNB. There were rumors that the central bank plans to introduce a tax on deposit. Government and the bank’s officials refused to comment the speculations. Some economists say that the spike was likely caused just by some bank selling euros.
The SNB introduced the 1.20 cap on the franc against the euro in September last year. Since then, the Swiss currency was steadily appreciating, but stopped near the ceiling, ...
Title:
SunBirdFX Daily Market Analysis : 05/24/2012
www.sunbirdfx.com
Another day of battle between the sellers and the buyers in Wall Street has passed by, as the sellers are still on the upper hand. In fact, the continuation of the bearish momentum was expected after the indices made bearish reversal patterns on Tuesday. The new home sales data came out better than expected but this did not help the stock to rise, as today's main data is the continuing jobless claims.
The declines of the stocks caused sharp weakening of most of the major currencies, except the USD. Therefore, we see many oversold/overbought pairs and we see less accurate patterns in the daily chart. What you should do in these kinds of situations is to wait for corrections or trade in the intraday charts and look for quick trades, although it can be more dangerous.
EUR/ ...
Title:
Greek Debt Crisis: Answers to Frequently Asked Questions
Highlights
- An acceleration in deposit withdrawals, combined with the prospect of an anti-austerity party winning the next election, has brought to the fore concerns about a potential Greek exit from the euro zone.
- Our base case assumption is that under the most likely scenario, the Greek election will lead to a government that sticks to an EU/IMF program, even if the terms are renegotiated.
- However, we do believe that Greece needs a further restructuring of its debt and we do think the country will ultimately exit the euro - we're just not convinced that Europe is ready for this to happen at the moment.
- If an accident does occur and Greece does leave the euro in the near term, it would have global financial ramifications that could range from severe to catastrophic. ...
Title:
Global shares, euro hit as political risks pile up
Uncertainty over the impact of a potential Greek exit from the euro on the debt-laden 17-nation currency bloc drove a rush to safety by investors on Monday, sending the single currency to near four month lows and European shares down 1.5 percent.
Problematic negotiations on forming a new Greek government have increased the chances it will be unable to meet the conditions of its bailout deal, and a worsening fiscal position in Spain has added to the sense of crisis facing the region.
The list of political risks facing the euro area grew on Sunday when German Chancellor Angela Merkel's conservatives suffered a crushing defeat in an election in Germany's most populous state.
"Selling rallies in risk assets seems the best way to make money in most asset classes given the event risk is still ...
Title:
Will EURUSD Fall Below 1.30?
This is the key question for currency traders right now. The fundamental back-drop looks challenging for the euro. Although the Merkel/ Hollande rift seems overdone to us, Greece is the real problem. The leader of the New Democracy party announced late last night that he had failed to form a coalition government. The baton is now passed to the leader of the radical left wing Syrizia party, which now has three days to form a government. If this fails then another round of elections is on the cards for June. However, these elections could coincide with Greece running out of money, which makes them a much riskier prospect than the elections held last weekend.
Election deadlock
However, why has the euro not fallen through the floor? Back in 2010 the mere mention of the word bailout caused ...
Title:
Anti-austerity ballot backlash rattles euro zone
(Reuters) - An anti-austerity backlash by voters in Greece and France shook the euro zone on Monday, causing jitters for the euro currency and stock markets amid deepening doubts about whether Greece has a future in the single currency.
Greece, where Europe's sovereign debt crisis began in 2009, slid into turmoil after an election on Sunday boosted left and right-wing fringe parties, stripping the two mainstream parties that backed a painful EU/IMF bailout of their parliamentary majority.
Uncertainty over whether the country could avert bankruptcy and stay in the euro deepened on Monday when Antonis Samaras, leader of the conservative New Democracy party which won the biggest share of the vote, failed within hours to cobble together a government.
Samaras had had three days to form a ...
Title:
When Will Volatility Pick Up
The Week Ahead
Highlights
When will volatility pick up
Digesting payrolls
Will there be more QE for the UK?
Data Watch
When will volatility pick up?
Volatility in US Treasuries is at its lowest level since 2007, so too is volatility in the FX options market for short-term EURUSD products and the Vix has fallen sharply since peaking in autumn 2011. Yet Europe's sovereign stresses remain as strong as ever, Spain and Italy are struggling to sell their sovereign debt to anyone bar their domestic banking sectors and election risks are enormous as Greece and France go to the polls on Sunday.
So why is volatility so low? The answer lies with central banks and fairly tight FX ranges. When central banks come in and pledge that interest rates will remain extremely low until 2014, ...
Title:
Major Currency Cross Rates Little Changed Ahead Of The Payrolls
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income ECB can't move global bonds
- Global core bonds ended the session unchanged, as initial disappointment that the ECB wasn't more dovish dissipated fast. Today's payrolls are key and might decide whether the 6-week rally is over or has one more leg.
Currencies: Major currency cross rates little changed ahead of the payrolls
- EUR/USD gained temporarily during the ECB press conference as Draghi was less dovish than some in the market had expected. However, the move was technically insignificant as sentiment on risk remained fragile. Today, the payrolls are the key factor for (currency) trading. Investors might stay cautions on the euro to avoid this weekend's political event risk.
The Sunrise Headlines
- US Equities dropped for a ...
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Fed's reassurance, earnings optimism lift shares
(Reuters) - Asian shares rose on Thursday, retaining positive momentum as the Federal Reserve reassured markets it would keep its very accommodative stance to support growth, while optimism grew over strong quarterly corporate earnings.
Investor confidence was also boosted by a rally in Apple Inc shares as it reported quarterly profits nearly doubling on the back of soaring iPhone sales in China, lifting tech-heavy Asian markets such as Taiwan and South Korea earlier in the day.
There was skepticism Asian markets would climb as much as their global counterparts did overnight, however, as concerns remain over European banks, with Spain's Santander reporting its first-quarter results later in the session.
European shares were likely to start mixed, with financial spreadbetters predicting ...
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