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Much Of Europe ThatTitle:
Another Day, Another New Correction Low For EUR/USD
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Hunt for yield
- Following horrible French and German PMI readings, core bonds set new highs. The German 10-yr yield set an all time low at 1.35% and this initiated for the first time a “hunt for yield” trade into Belgian, Austrian and French bonds. The trade was most visible at the longer end of the curve, resulting in a bull flattening.
- Currencies: Another day, another new correction low for EUR/USD
- On Thursday, the decline of EUR/USD was extended. However, given the flood of negative news, the damage could have been worse. EUR/GBP struggles to hold above the 0.8000 barrier. Today, the calendar is thin. However, one can expect investors to stay cautious going into a long weekend. This is no help for the euro
The Sunrise ...
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Crude rebounds slightly after Iran-West talks failure
Crude oil managed to halt the sharp downside wave after Iran-West talks failed to reach an agreement over Iran’s nuclear program, which helped the commodity and pushed it to the upside despite the current circumstances in Europe.
Crude oil opened today’s session at $90.80 to reach so far a high of $91.28 and a low of $90.18, where it is currently trading around $91.17 a barrel.
The black gold gained bullish momentum after talks with Iran failed to reach an agreement after two days of negotiations which raised concerns over the country’s oil supplies as a military option remains on the table.
The U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said "significant differences" remain over Iran`s nuclear program following two days of talks in Baghdad. More talks will take place in Moscow June 18 ...
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Euro wallows at 2-year lows as EU worries rattle markets
(Reuters) - The euro wallowed at two-year lows against the dollar on Friday and was poised to end the week two percent weaker, weighed down by weak German manufacturing data and worries about a messy Greek exit from the euro zone.
The risk-sensitive Australian dollar dipped 0.2 percent to $0.9741, coming close to the six-month low of $0.9690 hit on Wednesday as a sell-off in emerging market currencies picked up steam.
Rattled by worries over lack of growth in the euro area, the fragile situation of the region's banking system and a potential messy Greek exit from the single currency bloc, the euro is poised to chalk up its biggest weekly loss since the first week of April.
Macro funds and real money investors have ramped up selling of the currency, which is now down more than 5 percent ...
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EU Data Deteriorates
The euro remained under pressure against most of the majors after disappointing economic data and as the EU summit concluded without giving markets any indication of significant progress. European leaders debated the topic of eurobonds and whether or not it would contribute to growth. Germany remaining firmly opposed to the joint bonds saying that it would give countries with already large deficits incentive to continue to spend.
Economic data out of Europe added to the deterioration in sentiment as German, French, and Eurozone May PMI figures printed below expectations. Manufacturing PMI's in Germany, France, and the EZ fell to 44.4 (cons. 47.0), 45.0 (cons. 46.8), and 45.0 (cons. 46.0) respectively. The below 50 readings indicated ongoing contractions in manufacturing. Furthermore, ...
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Gold prices rise 1 percent as dollar retreats
(Reuters) - Gold rose 1 percent on Thursday, snapping three days of losses to climb towards $1,580 an ounce, as the dollar swung back into negative territory versus the euro after a softer-than-expected U.S. manufacturing report.
Confidence in the single currency remains fragile after it earlier hit a near two-year low against the dollar. Dire German manufacturing and business climate data spooked investors already weighing up the risk of Greece leaving the euro zone.
But gold got a lift from International Monetary Fund data showing another rise in central bank gold holdings in April, after the largest purchase in over four years by the Philippines.
Spot gold rose as high as $1,577.50 an ounce and was up 0.8 percent to $1,573.11 an ounce by 9:50 a.m. EDT (1350 GMT), while U.S. gold ...
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Gold edges up as euro cuts losses
(Reuters) - Gold rose on Thursday, after three days of losses, although the drag of the euro near two-year lows tempered the bullion price and eclipsed data that showed another rise in central bank purchases of the metal last month.
The euro edged higher, having hit a near two-year low against the dollar earlier on Thursday after dire German economic data suggested no country in the region was immune from crisis, spooking investors already weighing the risk of Greece leaving the euro zone.
This offset a potentially bullish lift from International Monetary Fund data that showed another rise in central bank holdings in April, after the largest purchase in over four years by the Philippines and further additions by the likes of Mexico, Ukraine and Russia to their reserves.
Spot gold rose 0. ...
Title:
Kiwi Pauses Decline, Can It Keep Gains?
The New Zealand dollar stalled its declined and rebounded today on speculations that losses were excessive. Gains were limited, though, as the disagreement between European leaders hurt demand for higher-yielding assets.
Losses were indeed big as the kiwi (the nickname of New Zealand’s currency) was falling since the beginning of May against the greenback and since the beginning of March versus the yen. In fact, just yesterday the currency touched the lowest level this year. The NZ dollar had a bit of good news today as the traded balance surplus widened to NZ$355 million in April from NZ$186 million in March. Nevertheless, the adverse global economic environment caused by Europe’s woes is likely to keep the kiwi from running much higher.
NZD/USD was up from 0.7516 to 0.7546 as of 11:02 ...
Title:
Markets vs. Technocrats
Forex News and Events:
Over the past few days, the media has been relaying comments suggesting leaders are backing the stay of Greece in the EMU. For starters the G8 stressed the importance for Greece to remain in the monetary union regardless of the discord over how to best tackle the crisis. During an interview with CNBC on Tuesday, former Greek PM insisted that an exit would yield “catastrophic” consequences for the country itself and “far reaching” implications for the EU. During yesterday’s European session however, EU officials stated they have agreed over a teleconference call with Eurogroup Work Group (EWG) that each nation in the EMU must prepare an individual contingency plan in case of an exit. The EUR sank against the USD to its lowest level since July 2010 at 1.2544, down 5. ...
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Market Drivers - Currencies : 24/05/2012
Today's Comment
Yesterday we stated that a Chinese PMI figure below 49 would have a negative effect on the financial market. The Chinese PMI came out at 48.7, i.e. a fall from 49.3 last month … the effects of the fall is very evident in the FX market, particularly in respect of commodity-related currencies. This supports our scenario that the economy (global) is lagging a bit behind here in the second quarter, which can particularly be attributed to the renewed outbreak of the European debt crisis.
The PMI index has now been below 50 for seven months on end. This is very concerning, particularly because many investors maintain their positive investments as they expect that China will be in for a soft landing. If the landing is to be soft, the Chinese PMI figures will have to increase ...
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