ForexTribe is a french website mainly created to share graphic analysis and trade ideas on the Forex Forum.
MovementTitle:
USD/JPY Daily technical analysis - May 2012
The pair USD/JPY has broken at the end of April the support at 80, showing a return of the bearish trend. During May, the bearish movement has continued. Currently, the fibonacci retracement 61.80ù at 79.13 is acting as support.
The trend will remain bearish as far as 81.60 is resistance. The breakout of 79.13 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards the major support at 78.30. Next supports are at 77.50 and 76.63.
In case of return above 81.60, the trend will be neutral between this level and 83 (level of the long term bearish slant). Only the breakout of this last level will show a return of the bullish trend.
Previous USD/JPY Daily Analysis - April 2012
Title:
Gold rebounds on the dollar’s drop, yet still faces pressure
Gold managed to rebound after the release of softer than expected U.S. durable goods report which pushed the dollar down and gave an advantage to dollar-denominated commodities.
The report showed that durable goods advanced 0.2% in April from a revised of -3.7%.
Accordingly, the U.S. dollar reversed its earlier gains to drop against a basket of major currencies. The dollar index fell to a low of 81.84 after touching a high of 82.36.
Recently, the inverse relation is becoming stronger and mainly the shiny metal’s direction is relying on the dollar’s movements.
However, gold may once again track the losses in the euro which remains under pressure amid worries the debt crisis is intensifying.
Yesterday, the informal EU summit showed disagreement over introducing Eurobonds as German ...
Title:
Gold prices rise 1 percent as dollar retreats
(Reuters) - Gold rose 1 percent on Thursday, snapping three days of losses to climb towards $1,580 an ounce, as the dollar swung back into negative territory versus the euro after a softer-than-expected U.S. manufacturing report.
Confidence in the single currency remains fragile after it earlier hit a near two-year low against the dollar. Dire German manufacturing and business climate data spooked investors already weighing up the risk of Greece leaving the euro zone.
But gold got a lift from International Monetary Fund data showing another rise in central bank gold holdings in April, after the largest purchase in over four years by the Philippines.
Spot gold rose as high as $1,577.50 an ounce and was up 0.8 percent to $1,573.11 an ounce by 9:50 a.m. EDT (1350 GMT), while U.S. gold ...
Title:
Gold edges up as euro cuts losses
(Reuters) - Gold rose on Thursday, after three days of losses, although the drag of the euro near two-year lows tempered the bullion price and eclipsed data that showed another rise in central bank purchases of the metal last month.
The euro edged higher, having hit a near two-year low against the dollar earlier on Thursday after dire German economic data suggested no country in the region was immune from crisis, spooking investors already weighing the risk of Greece leaving the euro zone.
This offset a potentially bullish lift from International Monetary Fund data that showed another rise in central bank holdings in April, after the largest purchase in over four years by the Philippines and further additions by the likes of Mexico, Ukraine and Russia to their reserves.
Spot gold rose 0. ...
Title:
European Market Update : 24/05/2012
Major European PMI Manufacturing data misses expectations; German IFO Business Confidence falls for the first time in 7 months
Economic Data
(RU) Russia Gold & Forex Reserve w/e May 18th: $514.3B v $518.8B prior
(DE) Germany Q1 Final GDP Q/Q: 0.5% v 0.5%e; Y/Y: 1.7% v 1.7%e; GDP WDA Y/Y: 1.2% v 1.2%e
(DE) Germany Q1 Private Consumption: 0.4% v 0.2%e; Government Spending: 0.2% v 0.3%e; Domestic Demand: -0.3% v 0.0%e; Capital Investment: -1.1% v -0.3%e; Construction Investment: -1.3% v -0.4%e; Exports: 1.7% v 0.9%e; Imports: 0.0% v 0.3%e
(CH) Swiss Apr Trade Balance (CHG): 1.3B v 1.9Be; Real Exports M/M: -0.9% v +0.2%e; Real Imports M/M: 2.6% v 5.9% prior
(FI) Finland Apr PPI M/M: -0.1% v +0.4% prior; Y/Y: 1.4% v 1.4% prior
(FI) Finland Apr Preliminary Retail Sales Volume Y/Y: -2.0% v ...
Title:
Market Drivers - Currencies : 24/05/2012
Today's Comment
Yesterday we stated that a Chinese PMI figure below 49 would have a negative effect on the financial market. The Chinese PMI came out at 48.7, i.e. a fall from 49.3 last month … the effects of the fall is very evident in the FX market, particularly in respect of commodity-related currencies. This supports our scenario that the economy (global) is lagging a bit behind here in the second quarter, which can particularly be attributed to the renewed outbreak of the European debt crisis.
The PMI index has now been below 50 for seven months on end. This is very concerning, particularly because many investors maintain their positive investments as they expect that China will be in for a soft landing. If the landing is to be soft, the Chinese PMI figures will have to increase ...
Title:
YouTradeFX Daily Market Analysis : 24/05/2012
Fundamental News
Today’s highlights:
- German GDP (QoQ) (GER, 07:00 GMT)
- French Manufacturing PMI (FRA, 07:00 GMT)
- German Manufacturing PMI (GER, 08:00 GMT)
- German Ifo Business Climate Index (GER, 09:00 GMT)
- GDP (QoQ) + Business Investment (QoQ) + BBA Mortgage Approvals (GB, 09:30 GMT)
- Initial Jobless Claims + Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (U.S, 13:30 GMT)
- ECB President Draghi Speaks (EUR, 14:00 GMT)
- Treasury Secretary Geithner Speaks (U.S., 19:00 GMT)
Demand for new U.S. homes rose more than forecast in April, indicating residential real estate may contribute to economic growth for the first time in seven years. Purchases rose to a 343,000 annual rate, up 3.3 percent from a revised 332,000 in March, the Commerce Department reported today in ...
Title:
EUR/USD Falls to 21-Month Low
The EUR/USD fell as low as 1.2614 yesterday, a 21-month low, after investors grew increasingly concerned regarding Greece's fate in the euro-zone and shifted their funds to safe-haven assets. The currency pair staged a mild upward correction later in the day, eventually stabilizing around the 1.2655 level. Turning to today, euro traders will want to pay attention to several potentially significant news events. Specifically, the German Manufacturing PMI and Ifo Business Climate may help the euro recoup some of yesterday's losses if they come in above expectations.
Economic News
USD - Dollar Sees Significant Gains amid Risk Aversion
The US dollar moved up against several of its main currency rivals yesterday, as ongoing fears regarding Greece's future in the euro-zone have led to risk ...
Title:
Technical analysis of the GBP/JPY pair on May 24th, 2012
Commentary of the GBP/JPY pair :
The pair GBP/JPY has continued its bearish movement and the breakout of 125 gave us a new sell signal.
All indicators are bearish.
The pair continues to move below the slants of its falling wedge (purple line).
All indicators are bearish.
We continue to advise short positions as far as 126.50 is resistance.
The breakout of 124 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 123.
In case of return above 126.50, we will be neutral between this level and 127.
The breakout of 127 will give a new buy signal.
See the previous analysis of the GBP/JPY pair of May 23th, 2012
GBP/JPY Analysis
|