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MoveTitle:
Market Drivers - Currencies : 21/05/2012
Today's Comment
Over the past couple of weeks, we have seen a couple of important measures in respect of the financial turmoil – measures that we have called for here in the second quarter. We expect that the situation is far from being resolved yet, but in the very short term many cross rates are oversold and overbought at the current levels. Therefore we recommend that investors remain on the sidelines in this period and begin to put STOP/ENTRY positions in the order books to catch the next risk-off phase. (This may come very soon).
Later in the week, we will see Ifo and the important PMI data from the euro zone.
EURUSD (from Sell to NEUTRAL): S/P was reached. We recommend a new STOP / ENTRY order at 125.95 so we can catch EURUSD in the event of further negative news that will cause ...
Title:
Euro Succeeds Short Squeeze
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Global core bonds take a breather
- Investors remained mostly sidelined in an uneventful session on Friday. The G-8 meeting stressed the need for growth, besides fiscal consolidation and sees Greece staying inside EMU. This shouldn’t surprise markets today. With a razor thin calendar, trading might start the week in a lackluster mode.
- Currencies: Euro succeeds short squeeze
- On Friday, the decline of the euro halted and EUR/USD succeeded a cautious rebound, even as uncertainty on the EMU debt crisis persisted. Technical considerations will also dominate trading today as the G8 meeting provided no high profile measures to address the debt crisis.
The Sunrise Headlines
- US Equities rose for a second consecutive session on ...
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Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 21/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"Fears of a Greek exit from the euro zone and the negative consequences from that are prevailing"
- Ben Kwong, KGI Asia
European stocks edged lower after Fitch downgraded Greece’s credit rating to ‘CCC’, implying that the country is vulnerable and highly dependent on favourable economic conditions to fulfill its financial obligations.
USD
"If there were scope to do another twist of some type it would be prudent to consider it, especially in the scenario where things are worse and the Fed feels like it needs to move"
- Nathan Sheets, Citigroup Inc.
Fed policymakers might potentially launch another round of Operation Twist rather than a direct asset purchases in case of increased risks or further weakening of the US economy.
GBP
"We must work together to give ...
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SunBirdFX Daily Market Analysis : 05/21/2012
www.sunbirdfx.com
The bearish momentum in Wall Street continued last week as indices shed 4%-5% during the week. The sharp declines were expected from the technical analysis point of view, since the main indices broke significant support in their daily charts, which we have analyzed and marked as key levels. The S&P 500 broke the support at 1350 points and reached the target we set at 1300 points, mainly because of the collapse of the financial sector. The volumes are increasing, which means that the sellers are gaining power, in spite improving economic data and the optimism that spread with Facebook trading on Friday. The three main indices are close to the annual opening levels as NASDAQ's next support is at 2400 points.
EUR/USD
We have been mentioning the support at 1.30 as a ...
Title:
No News is good News, or?
MORNING BRIEFING: No News is good News, or?
What’s new:
Asia: Awaiting news from Greece and potential spill-over effects. JPY offered on speculation that BoJ will add stimulus to boost growth.
United States: Risk aversion moved flow from stocks to treasuries. 10yr generic fixed income futures in all-time highs at 133-27. USD weak on Friday.
G8: Another round of talk, but no action on Greece.
Europe: Slightly negative across the board in stocks. Only Spain managed to recover some of the losses, closing up 0.4%. EUR/USD re-visiting 1.28+ this morning.
Rates in Asia and Indices:
EUR/USD 1.2742 1.2813 -0.04 %
USD/CHF 0.9375 0.9422 -0.07 %
GBP/USD 1.5795 1.5839 -0.02 %
USD/JPY 79.03 79.31 -0.34 %
EUR/CHF 1.2010 ...
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Facebook IPO Fails to Make a Dent in the Marketplace
Following weeks of speculation regarding how Facebook's debut on the New York Stock Exchange would turn out, investors were mildly disappointed with the social media site's performance on Friday night. Facebook closed out the week at 37.96, slightly below its opening price. What direction Facebook takes from here is a hotly debated topic among market analysts. Some are warning that the site may be overvalued already, and Friday's disappointing performance could be a sign of things to come. That being said, any moves by Facebook to expand its already massive subscribership could generate excitement in the marketplace which could help boost the value of this site.
Economic News
USD - Dollar Comes off 4-Month High vs. Euro
The US dollar turned bearish against most of its main currency ...
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Technical analysis of the AUD/USD parity on May 21th, 2012
Commentary of the AUD/USD parity:
The pair AUD/USD found support on 0.98 last friday.
The pair continues to move on the lower band of its bearish channel (purple lines).
All indicators are bearish.
We continue to advise short positions as far as 0.9950 is resistance.
The breakout of 0.98 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 0.97.
In case of return above 0.9950, we will wait the breakout of 1.0 to advise long positons.
See the previous analysis of the AUD/USD parity of May 18th, 2012
AUD/USD Analysis
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Technical analysis of the EUR/CHF pair on May 21th, 2012
Commentary of the EUR/CHF pair:
The pair EUR/CHF continues to move below the minor resistance at 1.2030 without volatility.
All indicators are neutral.
The pair seems to move below a bearish slant (purple line).
We continue to advise short positions as far as 1.2030 is resistance.
The breakout of 1.2010 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 1.20.
In case of return below 1.2030, we will wait the breakout of 1.2050 to advise long positions.
See the previous analysis of the EUR/CHF pair of May 18th, 2012
EUR/CHF Analysis
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Technical analysis of the NZD/USD pair on May 21th, 2012
Commentary of the NZD/USD pair :
The pair NZD/USD has opened on a small bullish gap but continues to move just above the support at 0.7550.
The pair is still moving below the lower band of its bearish channel (dotted purple lines).
The bearish movement seems to be lead by a bearish slant (purple line).
All indicators are bearish.
We continue to advise short positions as far as 0.77 is resistance.
The breakout of 0.7550 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 0.75 and 0.7450
In case of return above 0.77, we will be neutral between this level and 0.78.
The breakout of 0.78 will give a buy signal.
See the previous analysis of the NZD/USD pair of May 18th, 2012
NZD/USD Analysis
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