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Title: Euro slumps vs. dollar on Greek, Spain worries
(Reuters) - The euro tumbled to nearly two-year lows against the dollar on Friday, rattled by fears of a possible Greek exit from the euro zone and the risk other debt-plagued countries could also leave the bloc. A plea from Spain's wealthiest autonomous region, Catalonia, for help from the central government to refinance its debt this year was the latest news to hit the euro, which was on track for its worst weekly showing in five months. Catalonia's appeal reverberated across financial markets. Spanish and Italian bonds sold off, equities fell, and U.S. crude futures turned negative. "The Catalonia news was a big deal because it implies that the Spanish government may have to take on more debt and it cannot afford to do so," said Richard Franulovich, senior currency strategist at ...

Title: Weekly Focus: Weak Data Expected to Trigger Policy Response
Weekly Focus: Weak Data Expected to Trigger Policy Response Market Movers ahead - US non-farm payrolls are expected to rebound to 170K. - We expect the manufacturing ISM index for May to weaken somewhat. - The result of the Irish referendum on fiscal compact will most likely be a 'Yes'. - In China focus will be on the release of the NBS manufacturing PMI. Global Update - Deteriorating PMIs and IFO signal that core Europe is in recession as well. - EU summit produced few new details. Growth compact set to be endorsed in June. - Greek polls suggest close run between Syriza and New Democracy. - First release of US flash PMI showed a deterioration of economic conditions. - The US housing market is a source of good news. - Weak Chinese data are expected to ...

Title: Euro falls to near two-year low as Greece, Spain weigh
(Reuters) - The euro tumbled to nearly two-year lows against the dollar on Friday, and remained on track for its worst weekly showing in five months, rattled by fears of a possible Greek exit from the euro zone and the risk other debt-plagued countries could also leave the regional bloc. A plea from Spain's wealthiest autonomous region, Catalonia, for help from the central government to refinance its debt this year became the latest headline to hit the euro. Catalonia's appeal affected almost all asset classes as Spanish and Italian bonds sold off, equities fell, and U.S. crude futures turned negative. "The Catalonia news was a big deal because it implies that the Spanish government may have to take on more debt and it cannot afford to do so," said Richard Franulovich, senior currency ...

Title: Majors back-off as the day progresses
With the lack of economic releases; markets held pretty well near major intraday resistance levels befo re losing the strength as the day progressed. The EUR/USD was trading near 1.2600 this morning, before getting sold off sharply to resume the expected downside direction and printed new low at 1.2495. Stochastic is providing strong exhaustion signs, thus as we approach the weekend it’s preferred to be neutral on the pair for the rest of the day. The main expected next support level at 1.2475, while to the upside 1.2600-1.2640 is the key area to watch. The GBP/USD tested 1.5630 support, after breaking the latest low at 1.5730 to continue the bearish trend. A strong support is expected among 1.5630-1.5600 area, as further downside below shall extend the bearish trend dramatically. ...

Title: EUR/JPY Daily technical analysis - May 2012
The pair EUR/JPY continues to move into its falling wedge. The pair has validated in May a return below 105 and is currently testing the next support at 100. Resistance 2 :120 Resistance 1 : 115 Key level : 110 Support 1 : 105 Support 2 : 100 Support 3 : 95 Support 4 : 90 On the long term: The trend is clearly bearish as far as the pair is moving into its falling wedge. The breakout of 100/95/90 will all give a new sell signal. We will wait the breakout of 115 to see the trend become bullish. On the short term: The trend is now bearish due to the return below 105. As far as this level is resistance, the trend will remain bearish. The breakouts of 100/95/90 will all give a new sell signal. In case of return above 105, we will wait the breakout of 110 to see the return of the bullish ...

Title: USD Softer ahead of Holiday Weekend
The dollar is giving back some of its recent gains as traders cover positions ahead of the holiday weekend and after the market failed to break the 1.25 downside barrier in EUR/USD. Sentiment is relatively stable with global equities trading flat to slightly softer, EU sovereign yield spreads have eased somewhat, and the dollar index is lower and testing the 82.00 figure after making new highs for the current rally. Uncertainty remains high as markets lack clarity on key European issues and barring any new headlines, today's price action may be driven by position squaring ahead of the long weekend. The Swiss franc was on the move earlier with EUR/CHF rising sharply on speculation of possible fees on SNB deposits. Swiss officials declined to comment and the franc regained ground after the ...

Title: Euro off near two-year lows, outlook still bleak
(Reuters) - The euro inched up from two-year lows against the dollar on Friday as bearish investors took a breather from a sharp sell-off this week, but worries about a possible Greek exit from the euro zone and the risk of contagion could make gains fleeting. The euro traded 0.4 percent higher on the day at $1.2581, pulling away from $1.25155, the lowest level since July 2010 that was hit the day before. Traders cited a reported option barrier at $1.2500 that could check losses with offers around $1.2600 and stop-loss orders above $1.2620. Despite the bounce, the common currency has lost more than 5 percent against the dollar so far this month and is on track for its fourth straight week of losses, raising the possibility of a test of the 2010 low of $1.1875. Macro funds and ...

Title: Euro Continues the Upside Correctional Move
As the last session approaches the end this week, markets are still rebounding to the upside supported by investors position squaring, where due to the high level of uncertainty in the market investors tend to terminate any open trade ahead of the coming week in order to protect their wealth against any surprise that might hit markets with the opening on Monday. After heavy losses it is only normal for the correction as bears lock in their profits! The comments from the Italian Premier added to the uncertainty in markets, where Monti called on Germany to respond to mounting pressures and approve the issuance of joint Eurobonds, a thing that was weighed positively by markets as investors believe that if European nations acted in unity, Spain and Italy might skip falling into the debt trap ...

Title: EURCHF Move Provides Temporary Excitement
Forex News and Events: Risk appetite has recovery marginally in the Asian session as the lack of Europe-negative headlines allowed risk seekers to pick up bargains. EURUSD was able to rally off the 1.2519 lows trading up to 1.2579. One of the more tangible drivers of today’s renewed positive sentiment has been the optimistic tone out of the Iran nuclear talks. A spokesman for EU foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton, stated "there is a positive atmosphere.” Oil went bid in the European session as WTI traded swiftly to $91.31. Yesterday’s move of the day was in the EURCHF where speculation on exactly what happened is still dominating conversation. After a month of inactivity around the 1.2010 level (vols compressed to nothing), EURCHF jumped suddenly over 60 pips during the European ...



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