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Might Slow The RecoveryTitle:
Markets Ignore Pessimistic Data after China Commits to Boost Growth
After the huge selloff seen through the week, markets returned once again to correct some of the losses incurred supported by the Chinese commitment to support growth and revive the recovery, where investors ignore the heavy load of pessimistic data as Greece still the highlight in markets amid the disappointing informal European Summit yesterday.
Surely, the sentiment is still negative and markets are to resume the bearish wave, but currently markets react to the positive Chinese announcement as the nation pledged to implement more and more measures to boost growth and revive the slowing pace of recovery, noting that China used to lead the pace of recovery worldwide.
Another bullish fact for markets today is the durable goods report from the world`s largest economy, where the critical ...
Title:
U.K. GDP expected unrevised as recession keeps weight on BoE
The United Kingdom today continues to release more important fundamentals that only reassure the lingering hurdles ahead of policy makers` next decision. The second reading for the first quarter GDP is expected unrevised today as the economy contracts with slowing capital investment and exports that were hit by weak global growth.
The ONS is expected to report the unrevised quarterly contraction of 0.2% in the first three months of the year and hold flat on the year as the BoE suffers to support growth. With the deterioration in the jobs market and high inflation Britons remain under pressure and so far policy makers.
As the MPC said it, we are against a tough task, especially after they raised short term inflation expectations and revised lower growth estimates in the May inflation ...
Title:
Greek Debt Crisis: Answers to Frequently Asked Questions
Highlights
- An acceleration in deposit withdrawals, combined with the prospect of an anti-austerity party winning the next election, has brought to the fore concerns about a potential Greek exit from the euro zone.
- Our base case assumption is that under the most likely scenario, the Greek election will lead to a government that sticks to an EU/IMF program, even if the terms are renegotiated.
- However, we do believe that Greece needs a further restructuring of its debt and we do think the country will ultimately exit the euro - we're just not convinced that Europe is ready for this to happen at the moment.
- If an accident does occur and Greece does leave the euro in the near term, it would have global financial ramifications that could range from severe to catastrophic. ...
Title:
New home sales, prices rise in April
(Reuters) - New single-family home sales rose solidly in April and prices pushed higher, offering further evidence the housing market was turning the corner.
The Commerce Department said on Wednesday sales increased 3.3 percent to a seasonally adjusted 343,000-unit annual rate after a 332,000-unit pace in March.
The report, whose details were fairly bullish, came on the heels of news on Tuesday that home resales hit a two-year high in April and suggested the housing market recovery was gaining traction.
It also highlighted the economy's underlying strength, even though job growth has slowed in recent months. The weak housing market had been the Achilles heel of the economy's recovery from the 2007-09 recession.
"It's encouraging. These are signs that we might be forming a bottom in ...
Title:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 23/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
German bunds rose on worries that European leaders will struggle to resolve the euro zone debt crisis during tonight's European summit. David Schnautz of Commerzbank AG in London thinks that Europe is unlikely to solve key topics and will probably disappoint the market. The 5-year bund lost 5 bp to 0.47 percent at 10:49 GMT after tumbling to 0.461 percent, the lowest since 1990, when Bloomberg began gathering data.
USD
Crude oil futures declined in Asian session on Wednesday as Iran is ready to invite nuclear inspectors, the move that may ease oil import sanctions. Light, sweet crude oil futures for July delivery traded at 91.27 US Dollars per barrel, retreating by 0.63% from the last session's high of 91.72 US Dollars per barrel.
GBP
Today the minutes of the ...
Title:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 22/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Gold extended previous gains in Asian session on Tuesday as concerns over Greek exit from the single currency union eased. At G8 summit leaders of eighth largest economies stated that they would do everything possible to retain Greece in the Euro Zone. COMEX gold June contract traded at 1,592.35 US Dollars per troy ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange, advancing by 0.23%.
USD
The US Senate has passed a bill aimed at tightening sanctions imposed on Iran to force the country to cease its nuclear program. The new sanctions imply investigation of role of Iran's Revolutionary Guard in oil exports as well as obliging the US companies to disclose any business activities with Iranian partners. The move came ahead of negotiations between Iran and six major ...
Title:
Home resales rise, boding well for economy
(Reuters) - Home resales rose in April to their highest annual rate in nearly two years and a falloff in foreclosures pushed prices higher, hopeful signs for the country's economic recovery.
The National Association of Realtors said on Tuesday that existing home sales increased 3.4 percent to an annual rate of 4.62 million units last month, the highest since May 2010.
"The housing market is showing some signs of life," said Gary Thayer, a macro strategist at Wells Fargo Advisors in St. Louis.
Nationwide, the median price for a home resale jumped to $177,400 in April, up 10.1 percent from a year earlier. That was the biggest year-over-year increase since January 2006.
Prices rose in large part because a drop in foreclosures led to fewer distressed sales, said NAR economist Lawrence Yun.
...
Title:
Eyes on U.K. inflation as slowing pressures support QE expectations
The tension remains across the board and the focus shifted to leaders and central bankers to end the uncertainty over the outlook from slowing growth to a Greek exit. The U.K. is one of the biggest economies in harm’s way and Cameron expressed this fear in the G8 and the BoE is stuck between a rock and a hard place amid a frail recovery and elevated inflation.
Since April conditions took a strong turn in the UK progress. One of the arch MPC doves Adam Posen shifted stance and stopped the calls for more QE amid the general view that inflation might be more persistent; the economy unexpectedly entered recession, and the debt crisis in the euro area resurfaced with a vengeance.
The latest May Inflation Report reflected the tough task ahead of the policy makers to balance to risk between ...
Title:
Fed's Lockhart says circumstances not ripe for QE3
(Reuters) - The U.S. economy needs "measured" efforts to bolster growth, but the central bank should focus on improving its communications because circumstances do not warrant further bond buying at this time, a top Federal Reserve official said on Monday.
Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Dennis Lockhart said the central bank's policy panel should push forward with efforts to give the public and financial markets a better understanding of how it would react to incoming information on the economy.
"Circumstances today in the United States call for continued measured efforts to quicken the pace of recovery and shrink unemployment, while keeping inflation controlled," Lockhart said in a speech prepared for delivery to the Institute of Regulation and Risk, North Asia, in Tokyo.
The ...
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