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Markets Were FlatTitle:
Euro slumps vs. dollar on Greek, Spain worries
(Reuters) - The euro tumbled to nearly two-year lows against the dollar on Friday, rattled by fears of a possible Greek exit from the euro zone and the risk other debt-plagued countries could also leave the bloc.
A plea from Spain's wealthiest autonomous region, Catalonia, for help from the central government to refinance its debt this year was the latest news to hit the euro, which was on track for its worst weekly showing in five months.
Catalonia's appeal reverberated across financial markets. Spanish and Italian bonds sold off, equities fell, and U.S. crude futures turned negative.
"The Catalonia news was a big deal because it implies that the Spanish government may have to take on more debt and it cannot afford to do so," said Richard Franulovich, senior currency strategist at ...
Title:
Euro falls to near two-year low as Greece, Spain weigh
(Reuters) - The euro tumbled to nearly two-year lows against the dollar on Friday, and remained on track for its worst weekly showing in five months, rattled by fears of a possible Greek exit from the euro zone and the risk other debt-plagued countries could also leave the regional bloc.
A plea from Spain's wealthiest autonomous region, Catalonia, for help from the central government to refinance its debt this year became the latest headline to hit the euro.
Catalonia's appeal affected almost all asset classes as Spanish and Italian bonds sold off, equities fell, and U.S. crude futures turned negative.
"The Catalonia news was a big deal because it implies that the Spanish government may have to take on more debt and it cannot afford to do so," said Richard Franulovich, senior currency ...
Title:
USD Softer ahead of Holiday Weekend
The dollar is giving back some of its recent gains as traders cover positions ahead of the holiday weekend and after the market failed to break the 1.25 downside barrier in EUR/USD. Sentiment is relatively stable with global equities trading flat to slightly softer, EU sovereign yield spreads have eased somewhat, and the dollar index is lower and testing the 82.00 figure after making new highs for the current rally. Uncertainty remains high as markets lack clarity on key European issues and barring any new headlines, today's price action may be driven by position squaring ahead of the long weekend.
The Swiss franc was on the move earlier with EUR/CHF rising sharply on speculation of possible fees on SNB deposits. Swiss officials declined to comment and the franc regained ground after the ...
Title:
Euro off near two-year lows, outlook still bleak
(Reuters) - The euro inched up from two-year lows against the dollar on Friday as bearish investors took a breather from a sharp sell-off this week, but worries about a possible Greek exit from the euro zone and the risk of contagion could make gains fleeting.
The euro traded 0.4 percent higher on the day at $1.2581, pulling away from $1.25155, the lowest level since July 2010 that was hit the day before. Traders cited a reported option barrier at $1.2500 that could check losses with offers around $1.2600 and stop-loss orders above $1.2620.
Despite the bounce, the common currency has lost more than 5 percent against the dollar so far this month and is on track for its fourth straight week of losses, raising the possibility of a test of the 2010 low of $1.1875.
Macro funds and ...
Title:
European Market Update : 25/05/2012
Germany said to be working on growth plan for euro zone
Economic Data
(EU) ECB: €3.8B borrowed in overnight loan facility vs. €3.8B prior; €760.9B parked in deposit facility v €765.9B prior
(RU) Russia Narrow Money Supply w/e May 21st (RUB): 7.00T v 6.93T prior
(SG) Singapore Apr Industrial Production M/M: -3.5% v +06%e; Y/Y: -0.3% v +4.1% prior
(DE) Germany Jun GfK Consumer Confidence: 5.7 v 5.6e
(FR) France May Consumer Confidence: 90 v 88e
(ES) Spain Apr Producer Prices M/M: -0.8% v 0.0%e; Y/Y: 3.1% v 2.7%e
(AT) Austria Mar Industrial Production M/M: +1.6% v -1.4% prior; Y/Y: +0.8% v -0.9% prior
(CH) Swiss Q1 Non-Farm payrolls: 4.049M v 4.044M prior
(DE) Germany May CPI Saxony M/M: -0.2%% v +0.1% prior; Y/Y: 1.9% v 2.0% prior
(IT) Italy Mar Retail Sales M/M: -0.2% V -0.2%e; Y/ ...
Title:
Another Day, Another New Correction Low For EUR/USD
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Hunt for yield
- Following horrible French and German PMI readings, core bonds set new highs. The German 10-yr yield set an all time low at 1.35% and this initiated for the first time a “hunt for yield” trade into Belgian, Austrian and French bonds. The trade was most visible at the longer end of the curve, resulting in a bull flattening.
- Currencies: Another day, another new correction low for EUR/USD
- On Thursday, the decline of EUR/USD was extended. However, given the flood of negative news, the damage could have been worse. EUR/GBP struggles to hold above the 0.8000 barrier. Today, the calendar is thin. However, one can expect investors to stay cautious going into a long weekend. This is no help for the euro
The Sunrise ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 25/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"The euro zone is being buffeted by major headwinds."
- Howard Archer, chief European economist at IHS Global Insight
European manufacturing and services industries contracted in May. A composite index based on a survey of purchasing managers in manufacturing and services sectors declined to 45.9 from 46.7 in April, said the Markit Economics on Thursday.
USD
"It looks more and more like businesses are hesitating to invest in the face of worsening uncertainties in the and global economy."
- Pierre Ellis, a senior economist at Decision Economics
The number of Americans claiming for unemployment benefits declined slightly by 2,000 to a seasonally adjusted 370,000 in the week ended May 19 from the week before, said the Department of Labor on Thursday.
GBP
" ...
Title:
Germany May Have No Choice But To Play Ball
Investors in Asia were not as confident as those in the US and Europe, with most equity markets in Asia trading in negative territory or flat. A lot of investors are likely choosing to stay on the sidelines with so much of their focus on the uncertainty in Europe.
Overnight, Italy’s Monti attempted to reassure the market by stating Eurobonds gained a lot of support at Wednesday’s EU summit, with the obvious exception of Germany.
Monti appears to be suggesting Germany will give in to other EU leaders. Looking at Germany’s alternatives we are inclined to agree with this assumption. The balance of power may be shifting, and Germany may have no other option than to bow to pressure from its fellow EU nations, especially when faced with the prospect of Greece leaving the Eurozone which puts ...
Title:
Asian Market Update : 25/05/2012
Monti thinks Greece will remain in the EU; China slowdown fears return to front and center
Economic Data
(JP) JAPAN APR NATIONAL CPI Y/Y: 0.4% V 0.4%E; NATIONAL CORE CPI Y/Y: 0.2% V 0.1%E; TOKYO MAY CPI Y/Y: -0.5% V -0.3%E; TOKYO CORE CPI Y/Y: -0.8% V -0.5%E (20-month low)
(KR) SOUTH KOREA MAY CONSUMER CONFIDENCE: 105 V 104 PRIOR (15-month high)
(SG) SINGAPORE APR INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION M/M: -3.5% V +0.6%E; Y/Y: -0.3% V +4.1%E
(TH) THAILAND APR CUSTOMS TRADE BALANCE: -$2.9B V -$2.9BE
(PH) PHILIPPINES MAR TRADE BALANCE: -$1.05B V -$562M PRIOR; TOTAL IMPORTS: $5.4B V $4.99B PRIOR
Markets Snapshot (as of 05:00GMT)
Nikkei225 +0.1%
S&P/ASX -0.4%
Kospi +0.6%
Singapore Straits Times Index -0.3%
Shanghai Composite -0.4%
Hang Seng -0.3%
June S&P Futures -0.2% at 1,320
June gold -0.3% $ ...
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