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Market Expectation The EuroTitle:
Another Day, Another New Correction Low For EUR/USD
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Hunt for yield
- Following horrible French and German PMI readings, core bonds set new highs. The German 10-yr yield set an all time low at 1.35% and this initiated for the first time a “hunt for yield” trade into Belgian, Austrian and French bonds. The trade was most visible at the longer end of the curve, resulting in a bull flattening.
- Currencies: Another day, another new correction low for EUR/USD
- On Thursday, the decline of EUR/USD was extended. However, given the flood of negative news, the damage could have been worse. EUR/GBP struggles to hold above the 0.8000 barrier. Today, the calendar is thin. However, one can expect investors to stay cautious going into a long weekend. This is no help for the euro
The Sunrise ...
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Market Drivers - Currencies : 25/05/2012
Market Drivers - Currencies
Today's Comment
As there are no major items on today's agenda, the markedly weaker-than-expected PMI data from Europe and China (as well as lower-than-expected IFO figures from Germany) published yesterday will undoubtedly show repercussions in Friday's market. Ironically, the equity market and commodity market did not show any considerable negative reactions to the news yesterday. The reason for this is most likely a fairly simple one – the weak economic indicators will increase the likelihood of a central bank intervention – lower interest rates – more QE, fiscal stimuli from China, etc. – and that will be to the liking of risky assets as they have become almost dependent on such measures to maintain the current levels. The poor PMI data signal that the ...
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Negative outlook in EU sends EUR/USD to new 2012 lows
MORNING BRIEFING: Negative outlook in EU sends EUR/USD to new 2012 lows
What’s new:
Asia: Japanese CPI in line with expectations. Risk mixed overnight. EUR/JPY consolidates below 100.
United States: Soft core durables send GDP forecasts down. USD gaining against most peers
Europe: Decent indices, but Euro selling off. Still focus on Greece and the lack of progress.
Rates in Asia and Indices:
EUR/USD 1.2519 1.2561 0.21 %
USD/CHF 0.9567 0.9606 0.16 %
GBP/USD 1.5648 1.5676 -0.00 %
USD/JPY 79.54 79.82 -0.06 %
EUR/CHF 1.2012 1.20375 -0.03 %
EUR/JPY 99.73 100.06 -0.25 %
Dow Jones 12419.63 12539.59 0.26 %
Nasdaq 2512.35 2554.2 ...
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SunBirdFX Daily Market Analysis : 05/25/2012
www.sunbirdfx.com
The US indices closed yesterday on mixed territory, as NASDAQ appears to be the weakest index among the three majors. Nevertheless, the daily charts of the indices show that we might see a bullish correction, as Wednesday low were higher than the previous low, which indicates for a strong supports. The real test for the stock markets is whether they will be able to break-through the weekly high or not, and we will find it out today.
USD/CAD
Yesterday we mentioned that many pairs were oversold or overbought and that the correction was getting close in most of them. The USD completed over 220 pips since it broke-up the 200 SMA two weeks ago and reached the resistance at 1.03. Those who implemented the trade-idea that we brought before the break-up can now take profits ...
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German Data Leads to Additional Euro Losses
Disappointing German data sent the euro to fresh lows against the USD during European trading yesterday. In a sign that even the euro-zone's biggest economy was not immune from the region's debt crisis, the German Flash Manufacturing PMI and Ifo Business Climate both came in significantly below expectations. As a result, the EUR/USD dropped as low as 1.2515, close to a two-year low. As we close out the week, traders will want to continue monitoring any developments out of the euro-zone. Any new negative developments could send the common currency below $1.2500 before markets close for the week.
Economic News
USD - Safe-Haven USD Sees Additional Gains
The US dollar was able to extend its gains against the euro yesterday, following the release of several disappointing economic indicators ...
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Euro Remains Under Pressure
The euro (EUR) dropped to a two year low falling to 1.2515 from 1.2619 against the US dollar as uncertainty in the market grows. The single currency is under pressure as investors are worried about a problematic banking sector in the eurozone and a messy Greek exit from the euro. Economic figures from Germany further weighed on sentiment after German manufacturing data was weaker than expected. Failure by EU leaders to take decisive steps to tackle the eurozone debt crisis has curbed risk appetite, while growth in the region appears to be deteriorating. Against the Swiss franc, the single currency spiked higher to 1.2075 on rumors that the Swiss National Bank will impose a tax on deposits.
The US dollar (USD) strengthened against a basket of currencies as heightened risk aversion in the ...
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Stocks eke out gains, euro falls
(Reuters) - Global stocks eked out gains on Thursday while the euro fell as data suggested Europe's debt woes were spreading and worsening a global economic slowdown, adding to investor concerns about Greece's possible exit from the euro zone.
In a volatile session, investors looking for bargains initially bought equities, oil and gold, which have been beaten down this week by worries a Greece exit would deepen the euro zone debt crisis.
The appetite for growth-oriented assets faded as fears about the euro zone's drag on the world economy returned. Then for a second straight day, a wave of buying emerged shortly before Wall Street's close.
"The market has pulled back far enough that people are trying to assess if we've priced the worst of what's known. But with the problems in Europe ...
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Global stocks, euro slip on weakening growth
(Reuters) - U.S. stocks and the euro edged lower on Thursday as data suggested Europe's debt woes were spreading and worsening a global economic slowdown.
In a volatile session, investors looking for bargains earlier bought equities, oil and gold which have been battered this week by worries Greece would leave the euro zone. But the buying of growth-oriented assets faded as worries about the euro zone's drag on the world economy returned.
Stocks and other riskier assets turned negative as disappointing data from Europe, China and the United States compounded concerns about the economic contraction moving across Europe.
Amid speculation of more coordinated efforts from major central banks to stem further deterioration of the euro zone debt crisis, bond yields of Spanish, Italian and ...
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EU Data Deteriorates
The euro remained under pressure against most of the majors after disappointing economic data and as the EU summit concluded without giving markets any indication of significant progress. European leaders debated the topic of eurobonds and whether or not it would contribute to growth. Germany remaining firmly opposed to the joint bonds saying that it would give countries with already large deficits incentive to continue to spend.
Economic data out of Europe added to the deterioration in sentiment as German, French, and Eurozone May PMI figures printed below expectations. Manufacturing PMI's in Germany, France, and the EZ fell to 44.4 (cons. 47.0), 45.0 (cons. 46.8), and 45.0 (cons. 46.0) respectively. The below 50 readings indicated ongoing contractions in manufacturing. Furthermore, ...
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