ForexTribe is a french website mainly created to share graphic analysis and trade ideas on the Forex Forum.
LowerTitle:
XAU/USD (Gold) Daily technical analysis - May 2012
The pair XAU/USD (Gold) is currently moving below the lower band of its long term bullish channel (purple lines).
Resistance 2 : 1900 points
Resistance 1 : 1800 points
Key level : 1700 points
Support 1 : 1600 points
Support 2 : 1500 points
On the long term:
The trend is neutral since the exit of its bullish channel.
We will wait an exit of the range 1500/1600 to see a clear trend :
- Bullish if 1600 points is broken
- Bearish if 1500 points is broken.
On the short term:
The pair has validated in May the breakout of 1600 points, offering a sell signal.
The trend is bearish as far as 1650 points is resistance.
The breakout of 1500 points and 1500 points will both give a new sell signal.
In case of return above 1650 points, we will wait the breakout of 1700 points to see the return of ...
Title:
EUR/GBP Daily technical analysis - May 2012
The pair EUR/GBP continues its bearish rally below the lower band of its symmetrical Triangle Top.
On the long term:
The breakout of the lower band of the symmetrical triangle gave us a sell signal allowing the long term trend to become bearish.
The breakout of 0.81 just gave us a new sell signal.
The trend will remain bearish as far as 0.84 is resistance.
The breakout of 0.77 will give a new sell signal.
In case of return above 0.84, we will wait the breakout of 0.86 to see the return of the bullish trend.
On the short term:
The trend is clearly bearish as far as 0.83 is resistance.
The breakout of 0.78 and 0.77 will both give a new sell signal.
In case of return above 0.83, we will wait the breakout of 0.84 to see the return of the bullish trend.
Previous EUR/GBP Daily Analysis - ...
Title:
USD Softer ahead of Holiday Weekend
The dollar is giving back some of its recent gains as traders cover positions ahead of the holiday weekend and after the market failed to break the 1.25 downside barrier in EUR/USD. Sentiment is relatively stable with global equities trading flat to slightly softer, EU sovereign yield spreads have eased somewhat, and the dollar index is lower and testing the 82.00 figure after making new highs for the current rally. Uncertainty remains high as markets lack clarity on key European issues and barring any new headlines, today's price action may be driven by position squaring ahead of the long weekend.
The Swiss franc was on the move earlier with EUR/CHF rising sharply on speculation of possible fees on SNB deposits. Swiss officials declined to comment and the franc regained ground after the ...
Title:
EURCHF Move Provides Temporary Excitement
Forex News and Events:
Risk appetite has recovery marginally in the Asian session as the lack of Europe-negative headlines allowed risk seekers to pick up bargains. EURUSD was able to rally off the 1.2519 lows trading up to 1.2579. One of the more tangible drivers of today’s renewed positive sentiment has been the optimistic tone out of the Iran nuclear talks. A spokesman for EU foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton, stated "there is a positive atmosphere.” Oil went bid in the European session as WTI traded swiftly to $91.31. Yesterday’s move of the day was in the EURCHF where speculation on exactly what happened is still dominating conversation. After a month of inactivity around the 1.2010 level (vols compressed to nothing), EURCHF jumped suddenly over 60 pips during the European ...
Title:
European Market Update : 25/05/2012
Germany said to be working on growth plan for euro zone
Economic Data
(EU) ECB: €3.8B borrowed in overnight loan facility vs. €3.8B prior; €760.9B parked in deposit facility v €765.9B prior
(RU) Russia Narrow Money Supply w/e May 21st (RUB): 7.00T v 6.93T prior
(SG) Singapore Apr Industrial Production M/M: -3.5% v +06%e; Y/Y: -0.3% v +4.1% prior
(DE) Germany Jun GfK Consumer Confidence: 5.7 v 5.6e
(FR) France May Consumer Confidence: 90 v 88e
(ES) Spain Apr Producer Prices M/M: -0.8% v 0.0%e; Y/Y: 3.1% v 2.7%e
(AT) Austria Mar Industrial Production M/M: +1.6% v -1.4% prior; Y/Y: +0.8% v -0.9% prior
(CH) Swiss Q1 Non-Farm payrolls: 4.049M v 4.044M prior
(DE) Germany May CPI Saxony M/M: -0.2%% v +0.1% prior; Y/Y: 1.9% v 2.0% prior
(IT) Italy Mar Retail Sales M/M: -0.2% V -0.2%e; Y/ ...
Title:
Analysis: Deeper metals price falls needed to spark closures
(Reuters) - A rout in commodity markets has pushed prices of aluminum, zinc and nickel down to levels where many high-cost producers are starting to suffer, although the pain threshold may have to increase before widespread closures help balance markets.
High cash premiums in aluminum and zinc along with recent weakening in commodity currencies are providing a cushion to some producers, who otherwise might be forced to halt loss-making output in markets burdened with surpluses.
"It becomes a question of how long you can hold your breath under water, if you can hold breath just a moment longer, then it may be your rival who makes the cuts," said Nick Moore, head of commodity research at RBS in London.
"If they don't cut, then prices will be the grim reaper. They will go down to a level ...
Title:
Brent steady at $106 as economy worry lingers
(Reuters) - Brent crude futures held steady at $106 a barrel on Friday, but was on track for a fourth weekly loss and the longest losing streak since early 2010, as investors were jittery over signs of slowing global economic growth blunting oil demand.
Asian shares and the euro took a hit on Friday on a grim global economic outlook after weak data from the United States, China and Europe, and on the uncertain fate of Greece.
But losses were limited by fears of a supply disruption from the Middle East, as talks on Iran's nuclear program reached a stalemate, with Western countries insisting Iran must cease uranium enrichment before sanctions against it can be eased.
Brent crude inched up 2 cents to $106.57 a barrel by 0629 GMT after touching a session high of $106.98. U.S. crude dropped ...
Title:
Another Day, Another New Correction Low For EUR/USD
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Hunt for yield
- Following horrible French and German PMI readings, core bonds set new highs. The German 10-yr yield set an all time low at 1.35% and this initiated for the first time a “hunt for yield” trade into Belgian, Austrian and French bonds. The trade was most visible at the longer end of the curve, resulting in a bull flattening.
- Currencies: Another day, another new correction low for EUR/USD
- On Thursday, the decline of EUR/USD was extended. However, given the flood of negative news, the damage could have been worse. EUR/GBP struggles to hold above the 0.8000 barrier. Today, the calendar is thin. However, one can expect investors to stay cautious going into a long weekend. This is no help for the euro
The Sunrise ...
Title:
Market Drivers - Currencies : 25/05/2012
Market Drivers - Currencies
Today's Comment
As there are no major items on today's agenda, the markedly weaker-than-expected PMI data from Europe and China (as well as lower-than-expected IFO figures from Germany) published yesterday will undoubtedly show repercussions in Friday's market. Ironically, the equity market and commodity market did not show any considerable negative reactions to the news yesterday. The reason for this is most likely a fairly simple one – the weak economic indicators will increase the likelihood of a central bank intervention – lower interest rates – more QE, fiscal stimuli from China, etc. – and that will be to the liking of risky assets as they have become almost dependent on such measures to maintain the current levels. The poor PMI data signal that the ...
|