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Long Term AnalysisTitle:
XAU/USD (Gold) Daily technical analysis - May 2012
The pair XAU/USD (Gold) is currently moving below the lower band of its long term bullish channel (purple lines).
Resistance 2 : 1900 points
Resistance 1 : 1800 points
Key level : 1700 points
Support 1 : 1600 points
Support 2 : 1500 points
On the long term:
The trend is neutral since the exit of its bullish channel.
We will wait an exit of the range 1500/1600 to see a clear trend :
- Bullish if 1600 points is broken
- Bearish if 1500 points is broken.
On the short term:
The pair has validated in May the breakout of 1600 points, offering a sell signal.
The trend is bearish as far as 1650 points is resistance.
The breakout of 1500 points and 1500 points will both give a new sell signal.
In case of return above 1650 points, we will wait the breakout of 1700 points to see the return of ...
Title:
AUD/USD Daily technical analysis - May 2012
The pair AUD/USD has validated in May a return below 1.0 and also an exit of its long term bullish channel (purple lines).
Resistance 2 : 1.15
Resistance 1 : 1.10
Key point ; 1.05
Support 1 : 1.00
Support 2 : 0.95
On the long term:
The trend is now neutral with the exit of its bullish channel.
We will wait an exit of the range 0.95/10 to see a clear trend on the pair:
- Bullish if 1.0 is broken
- Bearish if 0.95 is broken
On the short term:
The trend is bearish as far as 1.0250 is resistance.
The breakout of 0.95 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 0.90.
In case of return above 1.0250, we will wait the breakout of 1.05 to see the return of the bullish trend.
Previous AUD/USD Daily Analysis - April 2012
Title:
EUR/CHF Daily technical analysis - May 2012
The pair EUR/CHF is still moving below its bearish slant (purple line) since 2008.
The bearish slant is not unique and could be change a little if you want to take into account some highs/lows.
The pair lost all its volatility and is moving around the major support at 1.20.
Resistance 1 : 1.20
Resistance 2 : 1.25
Key point : 1.15
Support 1 : 1.10
Support 2 : 1.05
On the long term:
The long term trend is neutral between 1.20 and 1.25.
If 1.25 is broken, the trend will become bullish and is 1.20 is broken, the will be bearish.
On the short term:
The trend is bullish as far as 1.20 is support.
The breakout of 1.2250 and 1.25 will both give a new buy signal.
If 1.20 is broken, the trend will become bearish. The breakout of 1.15 will give a new sell signal.
Previous EUR/CHF Daily ...
Title:
EUR/GBP Daily technical analysis - May 2012
The pair EUR/GBP continues its bearish rally below the lower band of its symmetrical Triangle Top.
On the long term:
The breakout of the lower band of the symmetrical triangle gave us a sell signal allowing the long term trend to become bearish.
The breakout of 0.81 just gave us a new sell signal.
The trend will remain bearish as far as 0.84 is resistance.
The breakout of 0.77 will give a new sell signal.
In case of return above 0.84, we will wait the breakout of 0.86 to see the return of the bullish trend.
On the short term:
The trend is clearly bearish as far as 0.83 is resistance.
The breakout of 0.78 and 0.77 will both give a new sell signal.
In case of return above 0.83, we will wait the breakout of 0.84 to see the return of the bullish trend.
Previous EUR/GBP Daily Analysis - ...
Title:
EUR/JPY Daily technical analysis - May 2012
The pair EUR/JPY continues to move into its falling wedge. The pair has validated in May a return below 105 and is currently testing the next support at 100.
Resistance 2 :120
Resistance 1 : 115
Key level : 110
Support 1 : 105
Support 2 : 100
Support 3 : 95
Support 4 : 90
On the long term:
The trend is clearly bearish as far as the pair is moving into its falling wedge.
The breakout of 100/95/90 will all give a new sell signal.
We will wait the breakout of 115 to see the trend become bullish.
On the short term:
The trend is now bearish due to the return below 105.
As far as this level is resistance, the trend will remain bearish.
The breakouts of 100/95/90 will all give a new sell signal.
In case of return above 105, we will wait the breakout of 110 to see the return of the bullish ...
Title:
EUR/USD Daily technical analysis - May 2012
The pair EUR/USD has validated the breakout of its long term bullish slant (green line) and is currently testing the support at 1.25.
Resistance 1 : 1.50
Resistance 1 : 1.45
Resistance 2 :1.40
The key point of the pair is at 1.35
Support 1: 1.30
Support 2 : 1.25
Support 3 : 1.20
The breakout of 1.30 gave us a sell signal and the pair is currently testing the support at 1.25.
The bullish slant (green line) could still be considered as tested given the fact that the breakout just occured.
Short and long term trend a bearish.
The breakout of 1.25 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 1.20. A pullback on 1.30 stay possible.
If the pair get back above 1.30, the trend will become neutral. However, if 1.35 is broken, the trend will be bullish.
Previous EUR/USD Daily ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 25/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"The euro zone is being buffeted by major headwinds."
- Howard Archer, chief European economist at IHS Global Insight
European manufacturing and services industries contracted in May. A composite index based on a survey of purchasing managers in manufacturing and services sectors declined to 45.9 from 46.7 in April, said the Markit Economics on Thursday.
USD
"It looks more and more like businesses are hesitating to invest in the face of worsening uncertainties in the and global economy."
- Pierre Ellis, a senior economist at Decision Economics
The number of Americans claiming for unemployment benefits declined slightly by 2,000 to a seasonally adjusted 370,000 in the week ended May 19 from the week before, said the Department of Labor on Thursday.
GBP
" ...
Title:
GBP/JPY Daily technical analysis - May 2012
The pair GBP/JPY has broken during May the support at 128.43 (level 50% of fibonacci retracements) leading to a bearish acceleration. The breakout of 125.69 (level 38.20%) just indicated a return of the bearish trend.
The trend will remain bearish as far as 128.43 is resistance. The breakout of 122.31 (level 23.60) will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 120. The next support is at 116.83 (level 0%).
In case of return above 128.43, the trend will be neutral between this level and 131.17 (level 61.80%). This last level match roughly with the level of the long term bearish slant. The breakout of this level will indicate a return of the bullish trend. We will then target the resistance at 134.28.
Previous GBP/JPY Daily Analysis - April 2012
Title:
GBP/USD Daily technical analysis - May 2012
The pair GBP/USD has broken in the middle of April the resistance at 1.60 and has then tested the next one at 1.6260. The test of this level lead to a strong bearish rally and a return on 1.5650.
The trend will remain bullish as far 1.5650 is support. A return above 1.58 will comfort the bullish trend and the breakout of 1.60 will give a new buy signal. The next resistance at 1.6260.
In case of breakout of 1.5650, the trend will be neutral between this level and 1.5450 (level of the long term bullish slant - black line). Only the breakout of this level will indicate a return of the bearish trend. We could then expect a test of the major support at 1.5345. The next support is at 1.52.
Previous GBP/USD Daily Analysis - April 2012
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