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LongTitle:
Fitch Fires Another Round
Forex News and Events:
Fitch downgraded Japan by two notches yesterday afternoon from AA to A+ with outlook negative. The agency justified the credit rating cuts by saying that the Japanese government isn’t reactive enough in tackling its “high and rising public debt ratios”. The move came in a few hours after the OECD urged Japan to prioritize the implementation of a fiscal consolidation plan, as debt-to-GDP ratio exceeds 200 percent, and budget deficits are forecast at 10 percent of GDP for the current year. PM Yoshihiko Noda has staked his political career on a law to increase sales tax to 10% with the goal of offsetting rising social security costs mainly due to the fast ageing of the population. But the opposition that controls the upper house is refusing to negotiate and is ...
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IMF says Greece has to do more to remain in the euro area
International Monetary Fund (IMF) managing director Christine Lagarde said on Wednesday Greece has to do more to remain in the euro area, revealing that "It had a long way to go, it has made efforts but they have more to do, more structural reforms to do."
They still need bailout installments to trim the huge budget shortfall so they have to confront with their strict spending cuts in return, Lagarde said.
Also, she highlighted that Greek people must pay the price to remain in the euro area as Greeks are showing their strong belonging to the euro bloc while rejecting austerity measures in the last elections; the thing described by Lagarde as "inconsistency."
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European Market Update : 23/05/2012
Euro hits fresh 2012 lows ahead of informal summit; More reports of an ECB contingency plan in the works
Economic Data
(GR) Greece Mar Current Account: -€2.1B v €1.1B prior
(NL) Netherlands Mar Consumer Spending Y/Y: % v -1.3% prior
(SE) Sweden Apr Unemployment Rate: % v 7.8%e
(EU) Euro Zone Apr Current Account: +€7.5B v -€5.6B prior; Current Account Seasonally Adj: +€7.5B v -€1.2B prior
(IT) Italy May Consumer Confidence: 86.5 v 89.5e (lowest reading on record after series began in 1996))
(ZA) South Africa Apr CPI (all items) M/M: 0.4% v 0.5%e; Y/Y: % v 6.2%e
(TW) Taiwan Apr Industrial Production Y/Y: -2.3% v -1.7%e; Commercial Sales Y/Y: -2.4% v -0.9% prior
(UK) Apr Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel M/M: -1.0% v -0.7%e; Y/Y: -0.3% v +0.7%e
(UK) Apr Retail Sales with Auto Fuel M/M: -0.8% ...
Title:
Euro Rebound Short-Lived
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Profit taking continued, but now concluded?
- The profit taking on global core bond markets continued in the run-up to tonight's informal EU-Summit. Spanish and Italian spreads decreased significantly but yields remain at elevated levels. Today, the eco calendar is again thin and trading will again be driven by sentiment.
- Currencies: Euro rebound short-lived On
- Tuesday, the euro came again under pressure even as the global context was not that negative. Sentiment on risk was constructive and intra-EMU spreads narrowed, but all this didn't prevent investors to use any upticks in the single currency to further reduce exposure. The key 1.2642/24 support is again coming within reach.
The Sunrise Headlines
- In the final hour of ...
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Gold slips in line with euro ahead of EU meeting
(Reuters) - Gold fell towards $1,550 an ounce in Europe, pressured by concerns that a European Union meeting later on Wednesday would fail to significantly ease worries over the euro zone debt crisis which lifted the dollar to a 21-month high against the euro.
The dollar, along with German bond futures, benefited from a flight from riskier assets, including stocks and commodities such as copper and oil.
Spot gold was down 0.1 percent at $1,555.50 an ounce at 0930 GMT while U.S. gold futures for June delivery were down $20.60 an ounce at $1,556.00.
"Gold is acting more as a risky asset, and everything is tumbling this morning ahead of this informal finance ministers meeting, where nothing good is really expected," Societe Generale analyst Robin Bhar said.
"It is not inconceivable that ...
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Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)
EUR/USD
The pair comes under increased pressure after recovery attempt stalled just above 1.2800 and renewed risk-off sentiment pushed the price lower to fully retrace recent 1.2641/1.2823 corrective leg. Negative studies keep our short-term target at 1.2622 in focus, with consolidative/corrective action above 1.2641, seen on overextended hourly studies. Immediate resistance lies at 1.2680/1.2900 zone, while only lift above 1.2730/50 would provide near-term relief.
Res: 1.2780, 1.2800, 1.2811, 1.2823
Sup: 1.2657, 1.2641, 1.2622, 1.2622
GBP/USD
Cable flirts with recent low at 1.5731, as mild corrective attempt didn’t show much of action and gains being capped at 1.5840. Reversal to the lows, along with negative short and longer-term studies and yesterday’s close below 200 day MA, ...
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Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 23/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"The rally is mostly technically driven after we became quite oversold last week."
- Raimund Saxinger, a fund manager at Trust Investment GmbH
European stocks rose by the most in a month on Tuesday. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index gained 1.91 per cent to 244.76. Germany’s DAX Index edged higher 1.65 per cent and France’s CAC 40 Index added 1.88 per cent. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index rose 1.86 per cent to 5,403.28
USD
"People are becoming more confident about job prospects and about taking on mortgages."
- Millan Mulraine, a senior U.S. strategist at TD Securities Inc.
U.S. existing home sales rose in April to an annual rate of 4.62 million from 4.47 million in March, said the National Association of Realtors.
GBP
"These figures give the Monetary Policy Committee ...
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Technical analysis of the XAU/USD (Gold) pair on May 23th, 2012
Commentary of the XAU/USD (Gold) pair:
The pair XAU/USD has validated yesterday a return below 1580 points, offering a sell signal and is currently testing the next support at 1560 points.
The pair is moving below the lower band of its bearish channel (purple lines).
All indicators are bearish.
We continue to advise short positions as far as 1580 is resistance.
The breakout of 1560 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 1540 points.
In case of return above 1580 points, we will wait the breakout of 1600 to advise long positions.
See the previous analysis of the XAU/USD pair of May 22th, 2012
XAU/USD Analysis
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Technical analysis of the AUD/USD parity on May 23th, 2012
Commentary of the AUD/USD parity:
The pair AUD/USD has faked yesterday a return above 0.99 and then felt and broke the support at 0.98, offering a new sell signal.
The pair is moving below the lower band of its bearish channel (purple lines).
All indicators are bearish.
We continue to advise short positions as far as 0.99 is resistance.
The breakout of 0.9750 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 0.97.
In case of return above 0.99, we will wait the breakout of 1.0 to advise long positons.
See the previous analysis of the AUD/USD parity of May 22th, 2012
AUD/USD Analysis
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