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U.S. again shies from calling China FX manipulator
(Reuters) - The United States on Friday declined to name China a currency manipulator but vowed to press the Asian economic power to allow its yuan currency to appreciate more against the dollar.
Some U.S. politicians have argued China has gained an unfair competitive edge in global markets by keeping the yuan artificially low to boost exports. American manufacturers say imports from China cost the United States jobs.
"Available evidence suggests the RMB (yuan) remains significantly undervalued," the U.S. Treasury said in a statement, saying it would "press for policy changes that yield greater exchange rate flexibility."
However, the Treasury again shied away from taking the more serious step of labeling China a currency manipulator, saying the statutes covering such a designation " ...
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Euro falls to near two-year low as Greece, Spain weigh
(Reuters) - The euro tumbled to nearly two-year lows against the dollar on Friday, and remained on track for its worst weekly showing in five months, rattled by fears of a possible Greek exit from the euro zone and the risk other debt-plagued countries could also leave the regional bloc.
A plea from Spain's wealthiest autonomous region, Catalonia, for help from the central government to refinance its debt this year became the latest headline to hit the euro.
Catalonia's appeal affected almost all asset classes as Spanish and Italian bonds sold off, equities fell, and U.S. crude futures turned negative.
"The Catalonia news was a big deal because it implies that the Spanish government may have to take on more debt and it cannot afford to do so," said Richard Franulovich, senior currency ...
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Consumer Confidence Of Michigan Rallies To Highest of Recovery
The Thompson Reuters/University of Michigan survey of consumer sentiment was released this morning to show that the final gauge of consumer sentiment reached the highest of the recovery, at 79.3 from 77.8 in early-May. Analysts` median estimate was unchanged from the prior estimate as well.
Furthermore, the survey showed that economic conditions index eased slightly to 78.2 from 78.3 in May, while economic outlook bounced up to 74.3 from 71.7. Moreover, 1-year inflation expectations declined to 3.0 percent from 3.1 percent this month, and 5-Year inflation expectations fell to 2.7 percent from 3.0 percent.
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XAU/USD (Gold) Daily technical analysis - May 2012
The pair XAU/USD (Gold) is currently moving below the lower band of its long term bullish channel (purple lines).
Resistance 2 : 1900 points
Resistance 1 : 1800 points
Key level : 1700 points
Support 1 : 1600 points
Support 2 : 1500 points
On the long term:
The trend is neutral since the exit of its bullish channel.
We will wait an exit of the range 1500/1600 to see a clear trend :
- Bullish if 1600 points is broken
- Bearish if 1500 points is broken.
On the short term:
The pair has validated in May the breakout of 1600 points, offering a sell signal.
The trend is bearish as far as 1650 points is resistance.
The breakout of 1500 points and 1500 points will both give a new sell signal.
In case of return above 1650 points, we will wait the breakout of 1700 points to see the return of ...
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AUD/USD Daily technical analysis - May 2012
The pair AUD/USD has validated in May a return below 1.0 and also an exit of its long term bullish channel (purple lines).
Resistance 2 : 1.15
Resistance 1 : 1.10
Key point ; 1.05
Support 1 : 1.00
Support 2 : 0.95
On the long term:
The trend is now neutral with the exit of its bullish channel.
We will wait an exit of the range 0.95/10 to see a clear trend on the pair:
- Bullish if 1.0 is broken
- Bearish if 0.95 is broken
On the short term:
The trend is bearish as far as 1.0250 is resistance.
The breakout of 0.95 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 0.90.
In case of return above 1.0250, we will wait the breakout of 1.05 to see the return of the bullish trend.
Previous AUD/USD Daily Analysis - April 2012
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EUR/CHF Daily technical analysis - May 2012
The pair EUR/CHF is still moving below its bearish slant (purple line) since 2008.
The bearish slant is not unique and could be change a little if you want to take into account some highs/lows.
The pair lost all its volatility and is moving around the major support at 1.20.
Resistance 1 : 1.20
Resistance 2 : 1.25
Key point : 1.15
Support 1 : 1.10
Support 2 : 1.05
On the long term:
The long term trend is neutral between 1.20 and 1.25.
If 1.25 is broken, the trend will become bullish and is 1.20 is broken, the will be bearish.
On the short term:
The trend is bullish as far as 1.20 is support.
The breakout of 1.2250 and 1.25 will both give a new buy signal.
If 1.20 is broken, the trend will become bearish. The breakout of 1.15 will give a new sell signal.
Previous EUR/CHF Daily ...
Title:
EUR/USD Daily technical analysis - May 2012
The pair EUR/USD has validated the breakout of its long term bullish slant (green line) and is currently testing the support at 1.25.
Resistance 1 : 1.50
Resistance 1 : 1.45
Resistance 2 :1.40
The key point of the pair is at 1.35
Support 1: 1.30
Support 2 : 1.25
Support 3 : 1.20
The breakout of 1.30 gave us a sell signal and the pair is currently testing the support at 1.25.
The bullish slant (green line) could still be considered as tested given the fact that the breakout just occured.
Short and long term trend a bearish.
The breakout of 1.25 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 1.20. A pullback on 1.30 stay possible.
If the pair get back above 1.30, the trend will become neutral. However, if 1.35 is broken, the trend will be bullish.
Previous EUR/USD Daily ...
Title:
USD Softer ahead of Holiday Weekend
The dollar is giving back some of its recent gains as traders cover positions ahead of the holiday weekend and after the market failed to break the 1.25 downside barrier in EUR/USD. Sentiment is relatively stable with global equities trading flat to slightly softer, EU sovereign yield spreads have eased somewhat, and the dollar index is lower and testing the 82.00 figure after making new highs for the current rally. Uncertainty remains high as markets lack clarity on key European issues and barring any new headlines, today's price action may be driven by position squaring ahead of the long weekend.
The Swiss franc was on the move earlier with EUR/CHF rising sharply on speculation of possible fees on SNB deposits. Swiss officials declined to comment and the franc regained ground after the ...
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Euro off near two-year lows, outlook still bleak
(Reuters) - The euro inched up from two-year lows against the dollar on Friday as bearish investors took a breather from a sharp sell-off this week, but worries about a possible Greek exit from the euro zone and the risk of contagion could make gains fleeting.
The euro traded 0.4 percent higher on the day at $1.2581, pulling away from $1.25155, the lowest level since July 2010 that was hit the day before. Traders cited a reported option barrier at $1.2500 that could check losses with offers around $1.2600 and stop-loss orders above $1.2620.
Despite the bounce, the common currency has lost more than 5 percent against the dollar so far this month and is on track for its fourth straight week of losses, raising the possibility of a test of the 2010 low of $1.1875.
Macro funds and ...
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