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LikelyTitle:
Euro at four month low against dollar as crisis spins
The euro hit a four-month low against the dollar and 3-1/2 month trough versus the yen on Friday as concerns about a chaotic Greek exit from the euro zone and instability in the Spanish banking system fuelled demand for safer currencies.
Investors were reluctant to buy riskier assets after Moody's cut the credit ratings of 16 Spanish banks on Thursday. Fellow ratings agency Fitch downgraded Greece deeper into junk territory.
The euro tumbled to $1.2642, within sight its 2012 low of $1.2624. It has shed 4.1 percent against the dollar so far in May, while demand for the highly liquid dollar pushed it up 0.3 percent against a basket of currency .DXY on the day to a four-month peak of 81.758.
Against the yen, the euro fell to 100.219 yen, its lowest level since early February.
Many ...
Title:
Gold erases early gains as euro weakens
Gold reversed course and edged down on Friday after posting its biggest daily rise in more than three months the previous session, as the euro weakened on mounting worries over the euro zone debt crisis.
The single currency dropped to a four-month low against the dollar as investors fretted about the possibility of Greece's exit from the euro zone and about Spain's banking sector after Moody's downgraded 16 Spanish banks.
Gold eased $1.45 to $1,571.80 an ounce by 0653 GMT, on course for a weekly fall of 0.6 percent - its third losing week in a row.
Gold rallied more than 2 percent on Thursday, its biggest one-day rise since January, supported by a decline in regional U.S. factory activity that fueled hope for more monetary stimulus.
U.S. gold for June delivery edged down 0.2 percent to ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 05/18/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"Spain, once again, is where the confidence game is played"
- Sebastian Paris Horvitz, strategist at HSBC Private Bank Suisse
Spain sold the maximum targeted amount of debt, 2.5 billion euros, during yesterday’s auction with spiking borrowing costs. The interest rate of three-year bonds rose to 4.373% from April’s figure of 2.89% while interest rate of five-year bonds surged to 5.106% from 3.374 in March.
USD
"What we’re seeing in foreign-exchange markets is strong demand for the U.S. dollar"
- Steven Saywell, head of foreign-exchange strategy for Europe at BNP Paribas SA
Latest US initial unemployment claim data was released yesterday – 370 000 Americans demanded their jobless benefits last week versus a 368 000 consensus forecast. The Labor Department revised ...
Title:
YouTradeFX Weekly Market Analysis : 05/18/2012
Fundamental News
Today’s highlights:
· German PPI (MoM) (GER, 07:00 GMT)
· Italian Industrial Sales (MoM) (ITA, 09:00 GMT)
· Spanish Trade Balance (SPAIN, 11:30 GMT)
· Core CPI (MoM) (CAD, 13:30 GMT)
· ECRI Weekly Annualized (WoW) ( U.S, 15:30 GMT)
The Philly Fed Index tumbled to a negative 5.8 in May from a positive 8.5 in April and Conference Board's leading economic index edged down by 0.1 percent in April following a 0.3 percent increase in March, according to an official report released yesterday. While, the Labor Department figures said that the unemployment claims was at a seasonally adjusted level of 370,000 for the week, unchanged from the previous week's revised figure.
Greece’s credit rating was downgraded one level by Fitch ...
Title:
EUR Avoids New 4-Month Low
While the euro remained bearish against its main currency rivals throughout yesterday's trading session, it avoided falling to a new four-month low against the US dollar. The marketplace was unusually calm, as a bank holiday in Europe resulted in limited movements among the most traded currency pairs. As we close out the week, traders will want to note that another slow news day may result in low liquidity in the marketplace. Typically, low liquidity situations can result in exaggerated movements among currency pairs and commodities for seemingly no reason. Any mention of additional euro-zone worries may result in a significant drop for the euro.
Economic News
USD - Manufacturing Data Causes USD to Tumble
The US dollar tumbled vs. the Japanese yen during the afternoon session yesterday, ...
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Crude oil resumes the selloff as the outlook continues to worsen
Crude oil resumes the strong decline and heading to the third consecutive weekly decline as the outlook for global growth and stability in Europe continues to worsen. Oil ended again with losses in NY yesterday for the sixth consecutive session and futures this morning and trading to the downside attempting to breach $92 areas.
The selloff across the board is surely fueled by the fears over the relapse in the global recovery and inevitably influenced by resurfacing debt problems in Europe, where Greece is on the verge of being forced to declare bankruptcy and drop the euro which might pull the footing under wobbling Spain.
Haven demand is keeping the dollar strong and that is further pressure on commodities. The GSCI ended yesterday with losses and was led by energy that dropped 1.10% ...
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Asian stocks returned to losses on collective downgrades including Spanish banks, Greece and China
As Europe’s debt crisis is threatening the global recovery, market participants limited their risk exposure while some inventors locked on to their profits ahead of the weekend, driving the Asian stocks lower where the MSCI Asia Pacific Index dropped 2.2% at 11.28 in Tokyo, and is down 0.8% this year.
Global equity markets lost almost $4 trillion dollars this month as Europe’s debt crisis is worsening threatening the global economic stability. Moody’s downgraded 16 Spanish banks on Thursday after the nation fell into recession during the first quarter while loan losses are mounting.
Meanwhile Fitch Ratings downgraded Greece by one notch to CCC from B- since its political deadlock is pushing the country out of the euro zone, as attempts to form a new government failed, leading to new ...
Title:
Euro zone fears spark rush for dollar, global shares fall
German government bond yields hit record lows on Friday, the U.S. dollar rose and shares fell as the escalating bank crisis in Spain, a ratings downgrade for Greece and sluggish U.S. data spurred investor demand for safe-haven assets.
Across the board, riskier assets from commodities such as gold and oil and currencies - like the euro and the Australian dollar - were all heading for big weekly losses.
The FTSEurofirst 300 .FTEU3 was down 0.9 percent at 972.64, falling for a fifth straight day and taking its weekly loss so far to 4.9 percent.
Benchmark 10-year German bond yields hit a record low of 1.396 percent and two-year yields also fell to their lowest-ever level at 0.028 percent.
"European markets are still in a very fatalistic mood because of Greece and possible contagion," said ...
Title:
Global shares slide amid fears for Spanish banks, growth
Asian shares tumbled on Friday and were set for their worst weekly showing since September, amid political turmoil in Greece and signs of growing instability in Spanish banks, with investors adding the latest weak U.S. data to the list of risk factors.
Assets across the board, from commodities such as oil and gold to riskier currencies such as the euro and the Australian dollar were all heading for their weekly losses.
Financial stocks were hammered after the head of Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ.AX) said volatile conditions in global markets have caused the wholesale funding market for Australian banks to freeze again, a worrying echo of the global financial crisis.
European shares were also set to fall, with financial spreadbetters predicting that major European markets ...
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