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European Market Update : 25/05/2012
Germany said to be working on growth plan for euro zone
Economic Data
(EU) ECB: 3.8B borrowed in overnight loan facility vs. 3.8B prior; 760.9B parked in deposit facility v 765.9B prior
(RU) Russia Narrow Money Supply w/e May 21st (RUB): 7.00T v 6.93T prior
(SG) Singapore Apr Industrial Production M/M: -3.5% v +06%e; Y/Y: -0.3% v +4.1% prior
(DE) Germany Jun GfK Consumer Confidence: 5.7 v 5.6e
(FR) France May Consumer Confidence: 90 v 88e
(ES) Spain Apr Producer Prices M/M: -0.8% v 0.0%e; Y/Y: 3.1% v 2.7%e
(AT) Austria Mar Industrial Production M/M: +1.6% v -1.4% prior; Y/Y: +0.8% v -0.9% prior
(CH) Swiss Q1 Non-Farm payrolls: 4.049M v 4.044M prior
(DE) Germany May CPI Saxony M/M: -0.2%% v +0.1% prior; Y/Y: 1.9% v 2.0% prior
(IT) Italy Mar Retail Sales M/M: -0.2% V -0.2%e; Y/ ...
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Analysis: Deeper metals price falls needed to spark closures
(Reuters) - A rout in commodity markets has pushed prices of aluminum, zinc and nickel down to levels where many high-cost producers are starting to suffer, although the pain threshold may have to increase before widespread closures help balance markets.
High cash premiums in aluminum and zinc along with recent weakening in commodity currencies are providing a cushion to some producers, who otherwise might be forced to halt loss-making output in markets burdened with surpluses.
"It becomes a question of how long you can hold your breath under water, if you can hold breath just a moment longer, then it may be your rival who makes the cuts," said Nick Moore, head of commodity research at RBS in London.
"If they don't cut, then prices will be the grim reaper. They will go down to a level ...
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Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 25/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"The euro zone is being buffeted by major headwinds."
- Howard Archer, chief European economist at IHS Global Insight
European manufacturing and services industries contracted in May. A composite index based on a survey of purchasing managers in manufacturing and services sectors declined to 45.9 from 46.7 in April, said the Markit Economics on Thursday.
USD
"It looks more and more like businesses are hesitating to invest in the face of worsening uncertainties in the and global economy."
- Pierre Ellis, a senior economist at Decision Economics
The number of Americans claiming for unemployment benefits declined slightly by 2,000 to a seasonally adjusted 370,000 in the week ended May 19 from the week before, said the Department of Labor on Thursday.
GBP
" ...
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SunBirdFX Daily Market Analysis : 05/25/2012
www.sunbirdfx.com
The US indices closed yesterday on mixed territory, as NASDAQ appears to be the weakest index among the three majors. Nevertheless, the daily charts of the indices show that we might see a bullish correction, as Wednesday low were higher than the previous low, which indicates for a strong supports. The real test for the stock markets is whether they will be able to break-through the weekly high or not, and we will find it out today.
USD/CAD
Yesterday we mentioned that many pairs were oversold or overbought and that the correction was getting close in most of them. The USD completed over 220 pips since it broke-up the 200 SMA two weeks ago and reached the resistance at 1.03. Those who implemented the trade-idea that we brought before the break-up can now take profits ...
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Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 24/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
European stocks returned to growth, despite services and manufacturing purchasing managers indices across Europe and German business confidence shrank more than expected. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index added 1.0 percent to 241.81. Cable & Wireless Communications Plc soared 19 percent. Sonova Holding AG gained 2.5 percent. Bayer AG declined 1.1 percent. U.S. futures and Asian stock little changed. S&P 500 futures gained 0.3 percent, MSCI Asia Pacific index added 0.1 percent.
USD
The US Dollar followed bullish trend on Thursday as Germany disapproves issuance of Eurobonds that may help to ease Greek debt burden. Traders are also cautions ahead of Euro Zone's manufacturing data release due later today. The US Dollar index, which tracks the greenback's performance ...
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EUR/USD Cedes The 1.2624 Support
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Risk off pushes German bond yields to new lows
- Risk off sentiment pushed core bonds higher and non-core bond yield spreads re-widened substantially. The Summit didn't bring new information, but another hole found in Spain's regions' budgets might get attention today.
- Currencies EUR/USD cedes the 1.2624 support
- On Wednesday, the EMU debt crisis was again omnipresent. Markets feared that the EU leaders wouldn't be able to take decisive action to address the debt crisis. Extreme risk aversion pushed EUR/USD to a new low for 2012. The losses of EUR/GBP were more contained, as poor UK retail sales and rather soft BoE minutes kept the door open for more policy stimulation.
The Sunrise Headlines
- In the final hour of trading, US ...
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SunBirdFX Daily Market Analysis : 05/24/2012
www.sunbirdfx.com
Another day of battle between the sellers and the buyers in Wall Street has passed by, as the sellers are still on the upper hand. In fact, the continuation of the bearish momentum was expected after the indices made bearish reversal patterns on Tuesday. The new home sales data came out better than expected but this did not help the stock to rise, as today's main data is the continuing jobless claims.
The declines of the stocks caused sharp weakening of most of the major currencies, except the USD. Therefore, we see many oversold/overbought pairs and we see less accurate patterns in the daily chart. What you should do in these kinds of situations is to wait for corrections or trade in the intraday charts and look for quick trades, although it can be more dangerous.
EUR/ ...
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Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 24/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Concern about Greece "is a big weight on the market and makes things uncertain"
- Emmanuel Soupre, a fund manager at Neuflize Private Assets
European stocks tumbled on Wednesday, after rising by the most in a month on Tuesday, on speculation Greece may exit the euro zone.
USD
"Its very clear now that the housing market has turned a corner"
- Richard DeKaser, deputy chief economist at Parthenon Group LLC
Sales of new U.S. homes rose by more than expected in April, Commerce Department data showed on Wednesday. Purchases increased to an annual rate of 343,000, up by 3.3 per cent from a revised 332,000 in March.
GBP
" employment remains fragile and wage growth weak"
- Ross Walker, chief U.K. economist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group
U.K. retails sales declined by ...
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Asia shares ease as weak China PMI, Greece risks weigh
(Reuters) - Asian shares eased on Thursday as markets were vulnerable to faltering factory orders in China and lack of concrete measures shown by European leaders to tackle the risk of Greece leaving the currency bloc.
European Union leaders, at an informal meeting on Wednesday, said they wanted Greece to stay in the euro zone while respecting commitments it had made in return for its bailout, but have been advised by senior officials to prepare contingency plans in case Greece exits.
The murky outlook for the euro zone and fears that the crisis could derail the global economy have prompted investors to park money in safe-haven assets such as U.S. and German government bonds, the U.S. dollar or cash.
Implications of a retreat in China's HSBC Flash Purchasing Managers Index, the earliest ...
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