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Labor Market TrendTitle:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 25/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"The euro zone is being buffeted by major headwinds."
- Howard Archer, chief European economist at IHS Global Insight
European manufacturing and services industries contracted in May. A composite index based on a survey of purchasing managers in manufacturing and services sectors declined to 45.9 from 46.7 in April, said the Markit Economics on Thursday.
USD
"It looks more and more like businesses are hesitating to invest in the face of worsening uncertainties in the and global economy."
- Pierre Ellis, a senior economist at Decision Economics
The number of Americans claiming for unemployment benefits declined slightly by 2,000 to a seasonally adjusted 370,000 in the week ended May 19 from the week before, said the Department of Labor on Thursday.
GBP
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YouTradeFX Daily Market Analysis : 25/05/2012
Fundamental News
Today’s highlights
- GfK German Consumer Climate (GER, 07:00 GMT)
- French Consumer Confidence (FRA, 07:45 GMT)
- Spanish PPI (YoY) (SPAIN, 08:00 GMT)
- Employment Level (SUI, 08:15 GMT)
- Michigan Consumer Sentiment (U.S., 14:55 GMT)
According to the Labor Department, new unemployment claims in the U.S came in at a seasonally adjusted level of 370,000, a slight decline from the previous week's revised level of 372,000. While, U.S durable goods orders edged up by 0.2 percent in April after tumbling by 3.7 percent in March, the Commerce Department said in a report on Thursday.
According to Bloomberg, China’s biggest banks may fall short of loan targets for the first time in at least seven years as an economic slowdown crimps demand for credit, three ...
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Jobless claims little changed last week
(Reuters) - New claims for unemployment benefits fell slightly last week, government data on Thursday showed, suggesting the labor market continues to expand at a moderate pace.
Initial claims for state unemployment benefits slipped 2,000 to a seasonally adjusted 370,000, the Labor Department said. The prior week's figure was revised up to 372,000 from the previously reported 370,000.
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast claims unchanged last week. The four-week moving average for new claims, considered a better measure of labor market trends, dropped 5,500 to 370,000.
Claims have barely budged in the past four weeks indicating a marginal improvement in the pace of job creation after April's disappointing 115,000 gain in nonfarm payrolls.
A Labor Department official said there was ...
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Copper up from 4-1/2 month low, EU data weighs
(Reuters) - Copper firmed a little on Thursday after sinking to a 4-1/2 month low in the previous session but remained under pressure as downbeat data from the European Union raised worries that global economic weakness will hit demand for industrial metals.
Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange was trading at $7,589.50 a tonne by 0939 GMT, 0.8 percent up from a close at $7,531 on Wednesday.
The metal, used in power and construction, has dropped on risk aversion triggered by worries about Greece's possible exit from the euro zone.
Business surveys showed Germany's manufacturing sector has been shrinking at the fastest rate in three years in May and the euro zone's private sector has sunk further into the doldrums this month as new orders shrivel, forcing firms to run down ...
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YouTradeFX Daily Market Analysis : 22/05/2012
Fundamental News
Today’s highlights:
· CPI (MoM) (GB, 09:30 GMT)
· BOE Inflation Letter (GB, Tentative)
· Existing Home Sales (U.S., 15 :00 GMT)
The U.S. labor market is set to strengthen this year, a survey published by the National Association for Business Economics said Monday. The survey of 54 economists said non-farm payroll increases will average 188,000 per month this year, up from the prior projection of 170,000. The jobless rate is expected to fall to 8 percent by the fourth quarter of 2012.
Japan’s foreign investments and assets grew to the second-highest level on record as companies used the high yen to make acquisitions abroad, a trend that may help them cope with stagnant demand at home. Investments abroad grew 3.3 percent to 582 trillion yen ($7. ...
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The Weekly Bottom Line : 19/05/2012
The Weekly Bottom Line : 19/05/2012
HIGHLIGHTS OF THE WEEK
United States
- Global economic concerns ratcheted up this week. Widespread discussion of a Greek exit continued, Spanish banks faced rating downgrades and periphery sovereign debt yields moved higher.
- Financial markets have responded to these global worries with increased risk aversion. The S&P is poised to end the week 3% lower, and 10-year treasuries are yielding just 1.7%.
- U.S. economic data has proved somewhat more encouraging, but growth is still struggling to breakout beyond a moderate pace. This has kept the possibility of additional monetary stimulus alive even if the threshold remains quite high.
Canada
- Recent economic indicators are showing a resurgence of strength in the Canadian economy. Strong ...
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Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 05/18/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"Spain, once again, is where the confidence game is played"
- Sebastian Paris Horvitz, strategist at HSBC Private Bank Suisse
Spain sold the maximum targeted amount of debt, 2.5 billion euros, during yesterday’s auction with spiking borrowing costs. The interest rate of three-year bonds rose to 4.373% from April’s figure of 2.89% while interest rate of five-year bonds surged to 5.106% from 3.374 in March.
USD
"What we’re seeing in foreign-exchange markets is strong demand for the U.S. dollar"
- Steven Saywell, head of foreign-exchange strategy for Europe at BNP Paribas SA
Latest US initial unemployment claim data was released yesterday – 370 000 Americans demanded their jobless benefits last week versus a 368 000 consensus forecast. The Labor Department revised ...
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YouTradeFX Weekly Market Analysis : 05/18/2012
Fundamental News
Today’s highlights:
· German PPI (MoM) (GER, 07:00 GMT)
· Italian Industrial Sales (MoM) (ITA, 09:00 GMT)
· Spanish Trade Balance (SPAIN, 11:30 GMT)
· Core CPI (MoM) (CAD, 13:30 GMT)
· ECRI Weekly Annualized (WoW) ( U.S, 15:30 GMT)
The Philly Fed Index tumbled to a negative 5.8 in May from a positive 8.5 in April and Conference Board's leading economic index edged down by 0.1 percent in April following a 0.3 percent increase in March, according to an official report released yesterday. While, the Labor Department figures said that the unemployment claims was at a seasonally adjusted level of 370,000 for the week, unchanged from the previous week's revised figure.
Greece’s credit rating was downgraded one level by Fitch ...
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EUR/USD closes in on key support at 1.2625
MORNING BRIEFING: EUR/USD closes in on key support at 1.2625
What’s new:
Asia: Risk aversion continues overnight in Asia on back of global concerns. EUR/JPY approaching 100 and MSCI Asia Pacific has erased its 2012 gains.
United States: Philly Fed showed a massive negative surprise, increasing speculation for QE. USD continues to be bid. EUR/USD closing in on key support. S&P 500 in 4-month lows.
Europe: Indices all in negative as EU debt crisis and Spanish rates escalates. Greece downgraded by Fitch and Moody’s downgraded 16 Spanish banks.
Comments:
The Euro continued on the offer for the ninth day in a row against the USD as the worries of a Greek exit from the Euro zone is increasing. Since the beginning of May, the EUR/USD has fallen more than 4% and should the trend continue, we ...
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