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Labor Market RecoveryTitle:
Copper up from 4-1/2 month low, EU data weighs
(Reuters) - Copper firmed a little on Thursday after sinking to a 4-1/2 month low in the previous session but remained under pressure as downbeat data from the European Union raised worries that global economic weakness will hit demand for industrial metals.
Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange was trading at $7,589.50 a tonne by 0939 GMT, 0.8 percent up from a close at $7,531 on Wednesday.
The metal, used in power and construction, has dropped on risk aversion triggered by worries about Greece's possible exit from the euro zone.
Business surveys showed Germany's manufacturing sector has been shrinking at the fastest rate in three years in May and the euro zone's private sector has sunk further into the doldrums this month as new orders shrivel, forcing firms to run down ...
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Greek Debt Crisis: Answers to Frequently Asked Questions
Highlights
- An acceleration in deposit withdrawals, combined with the prospect of an anti-austerity party winning the next election, has brought to the fore concerns about a potential Greek exit from the euro zone.
- Our base case assumption is that under the most likely scenario, the Greek election will lead to a government that sticks to an EU/IMF program, even if the terms are renegotiated.
- However, we do believe that Greece needs a further restructuring of its debt and we do think the country will ultimately exit the euro - we're just not convinced that Europe is ready for this to happen at the moment.
- If an accident does occur and Greece does leave the euro in the near term, it would have global financial ramifications that could range from severe to catastrophic. ...
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Existing home sales of the superpower could have climbed in April
U.S existing home sales have most probably climbed up in April since that clear signs of enhancement and stability have been witnessed and detected throughout the housing market lately as stated out by the FOMC members and the Federal Reserve just recently within the last FOMC minutes meeting held.
In fact the FOMC members are convinced and believe strongly that the housing sector is still far from a full healing yet they attested that recently several signs of improvement were detected throughout that sector, having for instance last week only the Commerce department reporting that the country`s housing starts increase cheerfully to 717 thousand; above the market predictions of 685 thousand.
Not forgetting that Douglas Yearly; the chief executive of Toll Brothers Inc., which is the ...
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The Weekly Bottom Line : 19/05/2012
The Weekly Bottom Line : 19/05/2012
HIGHLIGHTS OF THE WEEK
United States
- Global economic concerns ratcheted up this week. Widespread discussion of a Greek exit continued, Spanish banks faced rating downgrades and periphery sovereign debt yields moved higher.
- Financial markets have responded to these global worries with increased risk aversion. The S&P is poised to end the week 3% lower, and 10-year treasuries are yielding just 1.7%.
- U.S. economic data has proved somewhat more encouraging, but growth is still struggling to breakout beyond a moderate pace. This has kept the possibility of additional monetary stimulus alive even if the threshold remains quite high.
Canada
- Recent economic indicators are showing a resurgence of strength in the Canadian economy. Strong ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 05/18/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"Spain, once again, is where the confidence game is played"
- Sebastian Paris Horvitz, strategist at HSBC Private Bank Suisse
Spain sold the maximum targeted amount of debt, 2.5 billion euros, during yesterday’s auction with spiking borrowing costs. The interest rate of three-year bonds rose to 4.373% from April’s figure of 2.89% while interest rate of five-year bonds surged to 5.106% from 3.374 in March.
USD
"What we’re seeing in foreign-exchange markets is strong demand for the U.S. dollar"
- Steven Saywell, head of foreign-exchange strategy for Europe at BNP Paribas SA
Latest US initial unemployment claim data was released yesterday – 370 000 Americans demanded their jobless benefits last week versus a 368 000 consensus forecast. The Labor Department revised ...
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Jobless claims hold steady at 370,000
New claims for unemployment benefits were unchanged last week, according to government data on Thursday that will do little to ease concerns about a recent slowdown in jobs growth.
Initial claims for state unemployment benefits held steady at a seasonally adjusted 370,000, the Labor Department said.
The prior week's figure was revised up to 370,000 from the previously reported 367,000.
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast claims falling to 365,000 last week. The four-week moving average for new claims, considered a better measure of labor market trends, fell 4,750 to 375,000.
The data comes on the heels of three straight months of slowing employment gains. Companies added 115,000 new jobs to their payrolls in April, the fewest in six months.
Thursday's report on claims covered ...
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Spanish Growth in Focus amid the Current Economic Situatio
The focus shifts once again from the United Kingdom and the quarterly inflation report to the highly indebted Spanish economy, where all markets will pay attention now to the final growth data for more details whether recession will be confirmed in Spain or not, while tracking the performance of the debt market as Spain, France and Germany prepare to auction debt today.
With the lack of major fundamentals from the old continent, the focus as mentioned shifts to Spain, which is the potential next victim of the escalating debt crisis, where the fourth largest economy in the euro zone has suffered significantly from the debt crisis and the housing bubble which exploded back in 2008, while the consequences are still clear as the economy is very weak, pressured further by the European crisis ...
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Today`s FOMC Meeting Minutes outline…
Throughout the FOMC minutes meeting, participants have attested once again that the overall recovery tempo of the superpower is on a right gradual and constant pace with better labor conditions along with a stable enhanced demand while that prices pressures remain subdued, yet once more rates will stay exceptionally low at least through late 2014 to support the ongoing recovery.
In fact the world`s leading economy is gaining strength steadily, which was witnessed clearly since last year second half and mainly fourth quarter till this day and accordingly the FOMC members attested and proclaimed once again that the economy is "expanding moderately" with overall sectors activities gaining momentum including the labor market.
However the FOMC members confirmed today that in case that some ...
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Fed keeps bond-buying door open: minutes
Federal Reserve policymakers kept the door open to a fresh round of monetary stimulus, citing downside risks to a moderately expanding economy, according to minutes for the central bank's April meeting.
Several members of the Fed's policy-setting committee "indicated that additional monetary policy accommodation could be necessary if the economic recovery lost momentum or the downside risks to the forecast became great enough," minutes from the April 24-25 meeting said.
Minutes from the Fed's March meeting had said "a couple" members thought more stimulus might be needed.
The Fed remained sober about economic prospects. Members said the economy had been "expanding moderately" and generally agreed the economic outlook was broadly similar to that at the time of their March meeting.
While ...
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