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KeyTitle:
EUR/JPY Daily technical analysis - May 2012
The pair EUR/JPY continues to move into its falling wedge. The pair has validated in May a return below 105 and is currently testing the next support at 100.
Resistance 2 :120
Resistance 1 : 115
Key level : 110
Support 1 : 105
Support 2 : 100
Support 3 : 95
Support 4 : 90
On the long term:
The trend is clearly bearish as far as the pair is moving into its falling wedge.
The breakout of 100/95/90 will all give a new sell signal.
We will wait the breakout of 115 to see the trend become bullish.
On the short term:
The trend is now bearish due to the return below 105.
As far as this level is resistance, the trend will remain bearish.
The breakouts of 100/95/90 will all give a new sell signal.
In case of return above 105, we will wait the breakout of 110 to see the return of the bullish ...
Title:
EUR/USD Daily technical analysis - May 2012
The pair EUR/USD has validated the breakout of its long term bullish slant (green line) and is currently testing the support at 1.25.
Resistance 1 : 1.50
Resistance 1 : 1.45
Resistance 2 :1.40
The key point of the pair is at 1.35
Support 1: 1.30
Support 2 : 1.25
Support 3 : 1.20
The breakout of 1.30 gave us a sell signal and the pair is currently testing the support at 1.25.
The bullish slant (green line) could still be considered as tested given the fact that the breakout just occured.
Short and long term trend a bearish.
The breakout of 1.25 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 1.20. A pullback on 1.30 stay possible.
If the pair get back above 1.30, the trend will become neutral. However, if 1.35 is broken, the trend will be bullish.
Previous EUR/USD Daily ...
Title:
USD Softer ahead of Holiday Weekend
The dollar is giving back some of its recent gains as traders cover positions ahead of the holiday weekend and after the market failed to break the 1.25 downside barrier in EUR/USD. Sentiment is relatively stable with global equities trading flat to slightly softer, EU sovereign yield spreads have eased somewhat, and the dollar index is lower and testing the 82.00 figure after making new highs for the current rally. Uncertainty remains high as markets lack clarity on key European issues and barring any new headlines, today's price action may be driven by position squaring ahead of the long weekend.
The Swiss franc was on the move earlier with EUR/CHF rising sharply on speculation of possible fees on SNB deposits. Swiss officials declined to comment and the franc regained ground after the ...
Title:
EURCHF Move Provides Temporary Excitement
Forex News and Events:
Risk appetite has recovery marginally in the Asian session as the lack of Europe-negative headlines allowed risk seekers to pick up bargains. EURUSD was able to rally off the 1.2519 lows trading up to 1.2579. One of the more tangible drivers of today’s renewed positive sentiment has been the optimistic tone out of the Iran nuclear talks. A spokesman for EU foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton, stated "there is a positive atmosphere.” Oil went bid in the European session as WTI traded swiftly to $91.31. Yesterday’s move of the day was in the EURCHF where speculation on exactly what happened is still dominating conversation. After a month of inactivity around the 1.2010 level (vols compressed to nothing), EURCHF jumped suddenly over 60 pips during the European ...
Title:
European Market Update : 25/05/2012
Germany said to be working on growth plan for euro zone
Economic Data
(EU) ECB: €3.8B borrowed in overnight loan facility vs. €3.8B prior; €760.9B parked in deposit facility v €765.9B prior
(RU) Russia Narrow Money Supply w/e May 21st (RUB): 7.00T v 6.93T prior
(SG) Singapore Apr Industrial Production M/M: -3.5% v +06%e; Y/Y: -0.3% v +4.1% prior
(DE) Germany Jun GfK Consumer Confidence: 5.7 v 5.6e
(FR) France May Consumer Confidence: 90 v 88e
(ES) Spain Apr Producer Prices M/M: -0.8% v 0.0%e; Y/Y: 3.1% v 2.7%e
(AT) Austria Mar Industrial Production M/M: +1.6% v -1.4% prior; Y/Y: +0.8% v -0.9% prior
(CH) Swiss Q1 Non-Farm payrolls: 4.049M v 4.044M prior
(DE) Germany May CPI Saxony M/M: -0.2%% v +0.1% prior; Y/Y: 1.9% v 2.0% prior
(IT) Italy Mar Retail Sales M/M: -0.2% V -0.2%e; Y/ ...
Title:
Another Day, Another New Correction Low For EUR/USD
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Hunt for yield
- Following horrible French and German PMI readings, core bonds set new highs. The German 10-yr yield set an all time low at 1.35% and this initiated for the first time a “hunt for yield” trade into Belgian, Austrian and French bonds. The trade was most visible at the longer end of the curve, resulting in a bull flattening.
- Currencies: Another day, another new correction low for EUR/USD
- On Thursday, the decline of EUR/USD was extended. However, given the flood of negative news, the damage could have been worse. EUR/GBP struggles to hold above the 0.8000 barrier. Today, the calendar is thin. However, one can expect investors to stay cautious going into a long weekend. This is no help for the euro
The Sunrise ...
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EU worries keep euro near 2-year lows, shares edge up
(Reuters) - The euro wallowed near two-year lows early on Friday while European shares edged up, as uncertainty over the fate of Greece coupled with this week's disappointing euro-zone and Chinese economic data curbed any appetite for riskier assets.
The euro was down 0.1 percent at $$1.2540, but has lost 1.78 percent this week after on Thursday touching its lowest level since July 2010, at $1.2515. The U.S. dollar index .DXY measured against key currencies benefited from safe-haven demand to touch a fresh 20-month peak of 82.411.
"Markets have priced in a very negative scenario for Greece as well as deteriorating growth prospects in the euro zone, but with them very much focused on the tail risk of Greece leaving the euro bloc, the euro remains highly vulnerable," said Masafumi Yamamoto, ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 25/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"The euro zone is being buffeted by major headwinds."
- Howard Archer, chief European economist at IHS Global Insight
European manufacturing and services industries contracted in May. A composite index based on a survey of purchasing managers in manufacturing and services sectors declined to 45.9 from 46.7 in April, said the Markit Economics on Thursday.
USD
"It looks more and more like businesses are hesitating to invest in the face of worsening uncertainties in the and global economy."
- Pierre Ellis, a senior economist at Decision Economics
The number of Americans claiming for unemployment benefits declined slightly by 2,000 to a seasonally adjusted 370,000 in the week ended May 19 from the week before, said the Department of Labor on Thursday.
GBP
" ...
Title:
Analysis: China's new privatization plan faces push-back risk
(Reuters) - China's new push to open state controlled industries may look bold after a decade of stuttering privatization progress, but Beijing faces stiff resistance from vested interests in its effort to extend its World Trade Organisation dividend.
Beijing's leaders, its top think-tanks, the World Bank and private sector economists all largely agree that for China to build on reform-fired growth after its first decade of WTO membership, state firms must be more competitive and capital better allocated.
The question is whether publication this week of detailed plans to allow private investment in highways, health care and railways will really help dilute state involvement in a range of industries where top executives enjoy ministerial level status and firms get preferential access to ...
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