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Into The Currency MarketTitle:
Euro Continues the Upside Correctional Move
As the last session approaches the end this week, markets are still rebounding to the upside supported by investors position squaring, where due to the high level of uncertainty in the market investors tend to terminate any open trade ahead of the coming week in order to protect their wealth against any surprise that might hit markets with the opening on Monday. After heavy losses it is only normal for the correction as bears lock in their profits!
The comments from the Italian Premier added to the uncertainty in markets, where Monti called on Germany to respond to mounting pressures and approve the issuance of joint Eurobonds, a thing that was weighed positively by markets as investors believe that if European nations acted in unity, Spain and Italy might skip falling into the debt trap ...
Title:
European Market Update : 25/05/2012
Germany said to be working on growth plan for euro zone
Economic Data
(EU) ECB: €3.8B borrowed in overnight loan facility vs. €3.8B prior; €760.9B parked in deposit facility v €765.9B prior
(RU) Russia Narrow Money Supply w/e May 21st (RUB): 7.00T v 6.93T prior
(SG) Singapore Apr Industrial Production M/M: -3.5% v +06%e; Y/Y: -0.3% v +4.1% prior
(DE) Germany Jun GfK Consumer Confidence: 5.7 v 5.6e
(FR) France May Consumer Confidence: 90 v 88e
(ES) Spain Apr Producer Prices M/M: -0.8% v 0.0%e; Y/Y: 3.1% v 2.7%e
(AT) Austria Mar Industrial Production M/M: +1.6% v -1.4% prior; Y/Y: +0.8% v -0.9% prior
(CH) Swiss Q1 Non-Farm payrolls: 4.049M v 4.044M prior
(DE) Germany May CPI Saxony M/M: -0.2%% v +0.1% prior; Y/Y: 1.9% v 2.0% prior
(IT) Italy Mar Retail Sales M/M: -0.2% V -0.2%e; Y/ ...
Title:
Another Day, Another New Correction Low For EUR/USD
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Hunt for yield
- Following horrible French and German PMI readings, core bonds set new highs. The German 10-yr yield set an all time low at 1.35% and this initiated for the first time a “hunt for yield” trade into Belgian, Austrian and French bonds. The trade was most visible at the longer end of the curve, resulting in a bull flattening.
- Currencies: Another day, another new correction low for EUR/USD
- On Thursday, the decline of EUR/USD was extended. However, given the flood of negative news, the damage could have been worse. EUR/GBP struggles to hold above the 0.8000 barrier. Today, the calendar is thin. However, one can expect investors to stay cautious going into a long weekend. This is no help for the euro
The Sunrise ...
Title:
German Data Leads to Additional Euro Losses
Disappointing German data sent the euro to fresh lows against the USD during European trading yesterday. In a sign that even the euro-zone's biggest economy was not immune from the region's debt crisis, the German Flash Manufacturing PMI and Ifo Business Climate both came in significantly below expectations. As a result, the EUR/USD dropped as low as 1.2515, close to a two-year low. As we close out the week, traders will want to continue monitoring any developments out of the euro-zone. Any new negative developments could send the common currency below $1.2500 before markets close for the week.
Economic News
USD - Safe-Haven USD Sees Additional Gains
The US dollar was able to extend its gains against the euro yesterday, following the release of several disappointing economic indicators ...
Title:
Euro Corrects Some of the Losses as This Week Comes to an End
Another week has almost ended, while all the focus remains on Greece as markets still attempt to weigh the alternatives for Greece and whether the nation might exit the one-currency bloc or not, where uncertainty dominates investors and markets, the thing the weighed sharply on the common currency, which almost shed 2% this week.
The sentiment remains negative, while fears and concerns are mounting, where a poll in Greece showed yesterday that the anti-austerity Syriza Party is leading now as more and more Greeks are joining the anti-austerity campaign.
The Public Issue/Saki TV poll showed that the leftist party gained 30% of the vote, beating that conservative New Democracy Party with 4 points, noting that this party mainly backs the second bailout deal. In the third place the Socialist ...
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What would Greek exit mean for the U.S. economy?
(Reuters) - Uncertainty over the fate of the euro currency is already dampening U.S. economic growth and any significant worsening of the crisis would deal a blow to a recovery that is gradually gathering steam.
Economists estimate that volatile markets and business uncertainty over the fate of Greece and the policy course in Europe is already shaving anywhere from one tenth to one half a percentage point from U.S. 2012 gross domestic product growth.
In a Reuters poll last week, U.S. GDP was forecast on average at 2.3 percent for 2012 and 2.4 percent for 2013.
The direct hit to growth comes through trade. U.S. exports to the European Union account for 19 percent of total exports, and those to the euro zone represent 13 percent of the total. But when calculated in terms of GDP, the share ...
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Western Asset Management sold European bank debt: CIO
(Reuters) - Fixed income money manager Western Asset Management Co slashed its holdings of European bank debt and shifted to borrowings in the United States, which will benefit from stronger economic growth, Chief Investment Officer Stephen Walsh said on Thursday.
Western Asset's biggest concern is the mounting economic challenge facing Europe that is likely to tip the region into recession, Walsh, who helps oversees $446.7 billion, said on a webcast for the firm's fund investors.
The situation is unlikely to be resolved soon, he said, making it a good time to reduce risk by selling European bank debt "and bringing it back to the U.S."
Western, a unit of Baltimore asset manager Legg Mason Inc (LM.N), is just one of a number of major bond managers grappling with how to treat their ...
Title:
Euro Spikes To 2-Month High After Narrow Trade
The 17-nation shared currency rose to the highest level since March 16 against the Swiss Franc on Thursday, as specualtion mounted the Swiss Central Bank may intervene to weaken the currency by discouraging traders from using it as a safe haven.
Rumors horned in markets today about a possible intervention of the Swiss Central Bank and an intoduction of a suprise tax on deposits - new taxes designed to discourage foreign inflows into the country, particularly in the light of looming Greek exit from the euro.
The EUR/CHF printed a 2-month high of 1.2075 from 1.2009 but bounced back to trade around 1.2020.
Title:
Gold prices rise 1 percent as dollar retreats
(Reuters) - Gold rose 1 percent on Thursday, snapping three days of losses to climb towards $1,580 an ounce, as the dollar swung back into negative territory versus the euro after a softer-than-expected U.S. manufacturing report.
Confidence in the single currency remains fragile after it earlier hit a near two-year low against the dollar. Dire German manufacturing and business climate data spooked investors already weighing up the risk of Greece leaving the euro zone.
But gold got a lift from International Monetary Fund data showing another rise in central bank gold holdings in April, after the largest purchase in over four years by the Philippines.
Spot gold rose as high as $1,577.50 an ounce and was up 0.8 percent to $1,573.11 an ounce by 9:50 a.m. EDT (1350 GMT), while U.S. gold ...
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