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Moody`s Says Spanish Banks are Vulnerable
Spain has previously attempted to restore confidence in the market by tightening rules for banks; however, the measures taken seem to be insufficient as Spanish banks are vulnerable according to Moody`s Investor Services.
Moody’s said in a weekly credit report that “the government acknowledges that additional public fund injections will be required to provide a credible solution to the banking sector’s woes. This will likely further increase Spain’s already elevated public debt burden, a credit negative for the sovereign.”
The agency added that “however, there is a risk that further provisioning and recapitalization will be required, thereby increasing the government’s already high debt burden further. Including our base-case estimate, the general government debt ratio would surpass 90% ...
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Aussie Struggles on the Forex Market
Australian dollar is struggling on the Forex market, especially against the US dollar. Concerns about what’s happening in Europe are affecting risk appetite, and sending Forex traders away from riskier assets like the Aussie and to low beta currencies like the US dollar and the Japanese yen.
Risk appetite is playing a big role in the Australian dollar’s performance today. Concerns that the Greece might actually leave the eurozone are increasing, and there are worries that Spain can’t handle its debt. This risk appetite is leading to losses by high beta currencies like the Australian dollar against low beta currencies like the US dollar and the Japanese yen. Australian dollar is, however, higher against the euro, since the euro is in such a bad state.
The Aussie’s case isn’t being helped ...
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Euro hits near 4-month trough on Greek deadlock
The euro fell to a near four-month low on Monday as political turmoil gripped Greece, highlighting the risk the country may exit the euro zone, while worries about slowing Chinese and global growth drove down higher-yielding currencies.
Safe-haven currencies including the dollar and the Japanese yen rose as coalition talks in Greece hit an impasse on Sunday, increasing the chance of another election.
Euro zone industrial production unexpectedly fell in March, adding to signs the bloc is heading into recession and further fuelling bearish sentiment, while Spain's short-term debt costs rose at auction and its 10-year yields soared.
The common currency fell to $1.2861 on trading platform EBS, its lowest level since January 23. It has lost 2.7 percent so far this month after losing 0.8 ...
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Riskier assets hit as Euro zone worries grow
The euro hit four month lows and shares fell on Monday as the increasing likelihood of a new election in Greece worsened the sense of crisis in the euro zone and China's latest move to loosen monetary policy only added to investor risk aversion.
The refusal of a major leftist party to join a new Greek government has brought the prospect of its exit from the euro a step closer. The region's finance ministers, gathering in Brussels, also face a worsening fiscal position in Spain.
Adding to the negative tone for the higher risk sector, German Chancellor Angela Merkel's conservatives suffered a crushing defeat on Sunday in an election in Germany's most populous state.
"Selling rallies in risk assets seems the best way to make money in most asset classes given the event risk is still very ...
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Greek woes drag euro to near 4-months lows; Aussie dips
The euro fell to a near four-month low on Monday as political uncertainty in Greece deepened, keeping alive the risk of the country exiting the euro zone while worries about slowing Chinese and global growth drove down higher-yielding currencies.
Safe-haven currencies like the U.S. dollar and the Japanese yen advanced as coalition talks in Greece hit an impasse on Sunday and Greece's radical leftist leader spurned an invitation from the president for a final round of talks on Monday, all but ensuring another election next month.
Adding to the bearish tone, German Chancellor Angela Merkel's conservatives suffered a crushing defeat on Sunday in an election in Germany's most populous state, a result which could embolden the left opposition to step up attacks on her European austerity ...
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Euro hits 4-months low on Greece jitters; Aussie dips
The euro hit its lowest level in nearly four months on Monday after Greek political leaders failed in their latest efforts to form a ruling coalition, keeping investors on edge over the risk of the country exiting the euro zone.
Coalition talks in Greece hit an impasse on Sunday and Greece's radical leftist leader spurned an invitation from the president for a final round of talks on Monday, all but ensuring a new election.
Adding to the negative tone, German Chancellor Angela Merkel's conservatives suffered a crushing defeat on Sunday in an election in Germany's most populous state, a result which could embolden the left opposition to step up attacks on her European austerity policies.
The euro seems likely to head lower in coming weeks, especially since the European Central Bank may ...
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YouTradeFX Weekly Market Analysis : 14/05/2012
Consumer sentiment in the U.S. rose to 77.8 in May from the final April reading of 76.4, according to a report released by Reuters and the University of Michigan on Friday. While, the Labor Department said on Friday that its producer price index fell by 0.2 percent in April. According to Bloomberg news, Sales at U.S. retailers probably slowed in April as the weather turned more seasonable and consumers took a breather following a pre-Easter holiday buying spree, economists said before a report this week. The projected 0.2 percent gain in purchases would follow a 0.8 percent advance in March, according to the median forecast of 68 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News ahead of Commerce Department figures on May 15. Events in the U.S, likely to affect the markets this week are: Monday; a ...
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New Zealand’s retail sales fall the most in three years
New Zealand’s economy witnessed an unexpected fall in its retail sales during the first quarter of the year, where the fall was caused by the slump in grocery stores purchases, increasing the expectations for an extended period of low interest rates during the upcoming months.
New Zealand’s economy released its retail sales excluding inflation which fell to -1.5% during this year’s first quarter, compared with a previous reading of 2.2% revised to 1.8%, while expectations were of -0.5%
Today’s fall is considered the biggest in three years, then it was followed by a surge in sales during the second half of 2011 supported by the Rugby World Cup that rebounded tourism in the nation.
Supermarket and grocery stores sales that make up a quarter of the total, slumped by 7.4% which is ...
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The Bank of England's Next Move
The Week Ahead
■The Bank of England's next move
■Is this the beginning of the end for the Eurozone?
■Fed officials reluctant to signal more easing
■Broader risk environment outweighs Japanese rhetoric
The Bank of England's next move
The BOE kept rates on hold when it concluded its May meeting last week; it also allowed the asset purchase program to come to an end. Since the UK slipped back into recession in Q1 2012 and the growth figures at the start of the second quarter have continued to look weak, the decision to hold interest rates was mostly down to the sticky outlook for inflation. The attention now turns to Wednesday's Inflation Report.
The focus will be on the Bank's growth and inflation forecasts. The growth forecasts are likely to be revised lower. Even ...
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