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If A PullbackTitle:
Goldman expects lower equity volatility for 2011
(Reuters) - Equity volatility is expected to be moderate for 2011 and stay below last year's levels as the U.S. and global economy improves, Goldman Sachs Group said.
Realized volatility for the S&P 500 index .SPX is expected to be 15 percent this year, based on Goldman's bullish views on growth, employment and consumer spending, Goldman Sachs equity derivative strategists wrote in a report released on Friday.
"As we move through 2011, the combination of solid U.S.
GDP growth, robust industrial activity, low inflation, and a Fed on hold should help keep volatility near long-run averages and below levels realized in 2010," the strategists said.
While the drop is a step toward normalization, realized volatility, which measures the past daily moves of the S&P 500, is still slightly high ...
Title:
Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:30 GMT)
EUR/USD
Recovery attempt from 1.4050, yesterday’s low, failed to clear 1.4213 barrier, followed by subsequent easing to 1.41 zone. This has turned immediate tone negative, but while 1.4080/1.4050, 55 day MA / higher low holds, scope exists for fresh attack at 1.4213, then 1.4280, on a break. Downside loss of 1.4050, however, would confirm lower high at 1.4213 and open way for further easing towards 1.4012, 61.8% retracement and 1.3980, 18 Mar low.
Res: 1.4174, 1.4192, 1.4213, 1.4218
Sup: 1.4105, 1.4094, 1.4052, 1.4040
http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/eurusd_20110325143804.gif
GBP/USD
Continues to trend lower on reversal from fresh high at 1.6400, losing 61.8% retracement level of 1.5959/1.6400, to test 1.6059, 18 Mar low so far. Clear ...
Title:
Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)
EUR/USD
Returns to strength after pullback from 1.4247 was contained at 1.4050/40 support zone, 17 Mar high/18 Mar lows, also near 50% retracement of 1.3867/1.4247 upleg. Key near-term barrier at 1.4213, 23 Mar lower top has been tested, ahead of the latest consolidation just under 1.42 level. Break above 1.4213/18 is now required for retest of 1.4247, above which will look for test of key barriers at 1.4280, 04 Nov 2010 high / major bear trendline connecting 1.6039 and 1.5140 peaks. However, risk of failure to clear 1.4213 still exists, with possible return to 1.4100/1.4050 not ruled out.
Res: 1.4213, 1.4218, 1.4247, 1.4280
Sup: 1.4150, 1.4105, 1.4094, 1.4052
http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/eurusd_20110325080839.gif
GBP/USD
Continues to ...
Title:
Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:30 GMT)
EUR/USD
Reversal off 1.4247 peak has found a temporary support at 1.4052, near 50% retracement of 1.3867/1.4247 upleg, ahead of recovery attempt. This was so far capped by 1.4150, with upside break above 1.4213 required to confirm higher low at 1.4052 and open way for fresh attempt through 1.4247, towards 1.4280/1.4300 zone. Upside failure, however, risks higher low and extension of near-term downtrend and below 1.4052 opens 1.4030/12.
Res: 1.4150, 1.4161, 1.4213, 1.4247
Sup: 1.4105, 1.4094, 1.4052, 1.4040
http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/325f5b3f-7a7d-4768-8193-afec3573778f/eurusd_20110324143458.gif
GBP/USD
Extends retreat from 1.6400 peak after consolidation attempt above 1.6230 failed, with loss of 1.6200, 21 Mar higher platform approaching 1.6128, 61.8% retracement of 1. ...
Title:
Technical analysis of the EUR/GBP pair on March 24th, 2011
Commentary of the EUR/GBP pair:
The pair EUR/GBP rebounded yesterday on 0.8650 for a pullback on 0.87 as resistance. The pair is still moving between these two levels and so we stay neutral. The pair is still moving into its bullish channel but indicators are getting bearish. We advise to wait an exit of this range to take position:
- Long if 0.87 is broken. The breakout of 0.8750 will give a new buy signal
- Short if 0.8650 is broken. The breakout of 0.86 will give a new sell signal.
See the previous analysis of the EUR/GBP pair of March 23th, 2011
Title:
Technical analysis of the USD/CAD pair on March 24th, 2011
Commentary of the USD/CAD pair :
The pair USD/CAD made a correction and is currently testing a pullback on 0.9820 (level 50%). We maintain to trade only short positions as far as this level is resistance. A return below 0.9784 (level 61.80%) will comfort our bearish feeling and the breakout of 0.9750 will give a new sell signal. However, if 0.9820 is broken, a buy signal will be given. So, this level is our pivot point.
See the previous analysis of the USD/CAD pair of March 23th, 2011
Title:
RTFX Daily Market Comments: 03/24/2011
EUR – USD
Market should not go lower than 1.4087 - 1.4044. After this move down it should go up to 1.4156 - 1.4182 area.
USD – CHF
It looks set for gains to 0.9118. Supports at 0.9029 and 0.9009. A break of 0.8939 will damage this bullish structure.
USD – JPY
Market should hold major support at 80.68 before rising towards 81.11 or even 81.28 limit.
USD – CAD
Resistances lie around 0.9828 and 0.9840. It should test lower towards 0.9788 zone. A clear break of 0.9800 would be bearish.
NZD – USD
Currently uptrend should end around 0.7447 - 0.7448 area. A correction down to below 0.7390 is expected. A rise above 0.7469 will abort the expected correction.
AUD – USD
Current upmove should end around 1.0149 - 1.0171 area. A correction down to 1.0079 or even
1.0025 is ...
Title:
Technical analysis of the NZD/USD pair on March 23th, 2011
Commentary of the NZD/USD pair :
The pair NZD/USD validated the breakout of the resistance at 0.74, giving us a new buy signal. The pair also filled in the bearish gap which occured on March 11th on the upper band of the bearish channel. Currently, the price is testing a pullback on 0.74. We maintain to trade only long positions as far as 0.7350 is support. The breakout of 0.7471 will give a new buy signal. However, if 0.7350 is broken, we will be neutral between this level and 0.73.
See the previous analysis of the NZD/USD pair of March 22th, 2011
Title:
Technical analysis of the USD/CAD pair on March 23th, 2011
Commentary of the USD/CAD pair :
The pair USD/CAD made a correction and is currently testing a pullback on 0.9820 (level 50%). We maintain to trade only short positions as far as this level is resistance. A return below 0.9784 (level 61.80%) will comfort our bearish feeling and the breakout of 0.9750 will give a new sell signal. However, if 0.9820 is broken, a buy signal will be given. So, this level is our pivot point.
See the previous analysis of the USD/CAD pair of March 22th, 2011
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