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YouTradeFX Daily Market Analysis : 24/05/2012
Fundamental News
Today’s highlights:
- German GDP (QoQ) (GER, 07:00 GMT)
- French Manufacturing PMI (FRA, 07:00 GMT)
- German Manufacturing PMI (GER, 08:00 GMT)
- German Ifo Business Climate Index (GER, 09:00 GMT)
- GDP (QoQ) + Business Investment (QoQ) + BBA Mortgage Approvals (GB, 09:30 GMT)
- Initial Jobless Claims + Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (U.S, 13:30 GMT)
- ECB President Draghi Speaks (EUR, 14:00 GMT)
- Treasury Secretary Geithner Speaks (U.S., 19:00 GMT)
Demand for new U.S. homes rose more than forecast in April, indicating residential real estate may contribute to economic growth for the first time in seven years. Purchases rose to a 343,000 annual rate, up 3.3 percent from a revised 332,000 in March, the Commerce Department reported today in ...
Title:
EUR/USD Cedes The 1.2624 Support
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Risk off pushes German bond yields to new lows
- Risk off sentiment pushed core bonds higher and non-core bond yield spreads re-widened substantially. The Summit didn't bring new information, but another hole found in Spain's regions' budgets might get attention today.
- Currencies EUR/USD cedes the 1.2624 support
- On Wednesday, the EMU debt crisis was again omnipresent. Markets feared that the EU leaders wouldn't be able to take decisive action to address the debt crisis. Extreme risk aversion pushed EUR/USD to a new low for 2012. The losses of EUR/GBP were more contained, as poor UK retail sales and rather soft BoE minutes kept the door open for more policy stimulation.
The Sunrise Headlines
- In the final hour of trading, US ...
Title:
European Manufacturing And Services Resume Contraction Amid Worries Of A Greek Exit From The Euro Ar
European manufacturing and services showed contraction in May, adding to concerns the economy is heading towards a recession in the second quarter amid the escalating European debt crisis.
Euro area manufacturing and services remained to record contraction in May as manufacturing posted 45.0 from 45.9 in April while services reported 46.5 from 46.9. Accordingly, the PMI composite index came in at 45.9 from 46.7.
The reading in Germany showed a drop in PMI manufacturing to 45.0 this month, the lowest in 35 months, from 46.2 in April. In France, the manufacturing gauge slipped to 44.4 in May from 46.9 a month earlier.
On the other hand, German services lingered at 52.2 while French services index was unchanged at 45.2.
In fact, the 0.5% expansion recorded by the German economy saved the ...
Title:
EUR/USD breaches the 1,26 level
MORNING BRIEFING: EUR/USD breaches the 1,26 level
What’s new:
Equity: Asian and US equities remain pressured on Greece and softer Chinese HSBC flash PMI
Eurozone: The EU summit wants Greece to stay but no tangible measures as yet
Forex: EUR/USD below key support at 1.2650; 1.25 is now eyed
Rates in Asia and Indices:
EUR/USD 1.2555 1.2599 0.01 %
USD/CHF 0.9533 0.9566 0.03 %
GBP/USD 1.5668 1.5701 -0.03 %
USD/JPY 79.41 79.57 -0.02 %
EUR/CHF 1.2009 1.20117 0.00 %
EUR/JPY 99.72 100.18 -0.04 %
Dow Jones 12311.56 12508.3 -0.05 %
Nasdaq 2499.3 2553.19 0.31 %
S&P 500 1296.53 1320.71 0. ...
Title:
Persistent fears over debt crisis keep the euro near its lowest in 22 months
Investors continue to limit their risk exposure on Thursday, heading towards the safe haven dollar and the Japanese yen, as European leaders failed to adopt concrete actions during yesterday’s summit while manufacturing in China is seen shrinking for a seventh month in May according to HSBC.
With the risk of Greece exiting the euro zone not being eliminated by officials yesterday, the sentiment is seen negative, pushing the euro near the lowest since July 2010, especially after Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti backed French President Francois Hollande’s proposal of jointly underwrite regional bonds that Germany still opposes.
The risk remains subdued and markets trade with volatility today as data may show that Europe’s services and manufacturing industries shrank for a fourth month, ...
Title:
European future equities rise before the opening today
European stock futures signaled a positive start before the opening today timing some of the loses witnessed in the past few days as European decision makers instated that Greece must stick to the austerity measures in order to stay in the euro zone and to prevent major problems.
Spain announced Wednesday evening a 9 billion euro bailout to rescue Bankia, at the same time that the Spanish government is seeking ways to help reform the indebted banking sector that threatens to pull the economy deep into the heart of the debt crisis.
As for FOREX markets, we can see that currencies are performing differently from European stocks as investors see that it`s not time to risk yet since concerns over the European economic growth dominates markets.
The euro slipped during the last two days by ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 24/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Concern about Greece "is a big weight on the market and makes things uncertain"
- Emmanuel Soupre, a fund manager at Neuflize Private Assets
European stocks tumbled on Wednesday, after rising by the most in a month on Tuesday, on speculation Greece may exit the euro zone.
USD
"It’s very clear now that the housing market has turned a corner"
- Richard DeKaser, deputy chief economist at Parthenon Group LLC
Sales of new U.S. homes rose by more than expected in April, Commerce Department data showed on Wednesday. Purchases increased to an annual rate of 343,000, up by 3.3 per cent from a revised 332,000 in March.
GBP
" employment remains fragile and wage growth weak"
- Ross Walker, chief U.K. economist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group
U.K. retails sales declined by ...
Title:
EUR/USD Falls to 21-Month Low
The EUR/USD fell as low as 1.2614 yesterday, a 21-month low, after investors grew increasingly concerned regarding Greece's fate in the euro-zone and shifted their funds to safe-haven assets. The currency pair staged a mild upward correction later in the day, eventually stabilizing around the 1.2655 level. Turning to today, euro traders will want to pay attention to several potentially significant news events. Specifically, the German Manufacturing PMI and Ifo Business Climate may help the euro recoup some of yesterday's losses if they come in above expectations.
Economic News
USD - Dollar Sees Significant Gains amid Risk Aversion
The US dollar moved up against several of its main currency rivals yesterday, as ongoing fears regarding Greece's future in the euro-zone have led to risk ...
Title:
Germany Expands 0.5% in the First Quarter
Germany released growth data for the first quarter ending in March, where the final gross domestic product figures confirmed the expansion in the largest economy in the euro zone, where over quarterly basis the economy expanded in line with projections by 0.5%, recovering from the previous contraction of 0.2%.
Over annual basis, the non-seasonally adjusted indexes confirmed the 1.7% growth rate in the first quarter compared with the previous expansion of 1.5%, while the working-day adjusted index showed that the economy expanded in line with estimates by 1.2% in the relative period.
The German growth was protected by the unexpected expansion in exports and private consumption, where demand for German exports increased in the quarter, supporting the index to expand beyond expectations by ...
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