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Found Resistance On The LowerTitle:
Germany May Have No Choice But To Play Ball
Investors in Asia were not as confident as those in the US and Europe, with most equity markets in Asia trading in negative territory or flat. A lot of investors are likely choosing to stay on the sidelines with so much of their focus on the uncertainty in Europe.
Overnight, Italy’s Monti attempted to reassure the market by stating Eurobonds gained a lot of support at Wednesday’s EU summit, with the obvious exception of Germany.
Monti appears to be suggesting Germany will give in to other EU leaders. Looking at Germany’s alternatives we are inclined to agree with this assumption. The balance of power may be shifting, and Germany may have no other option than to bow to pressure from its fellow EU nations, especially when faced with the prospect of Greece leaving the Eurozone which puts ...
Title:
EUR/USD Cedes The 1.2624 Support
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Risk off pushes German bond yields to new lows
- Risk off sentiment pushed core bonds higher and non-core bond yield spreads re-widened substantially. The Summit didn't bring new information, but another hole found in Spain's regions' budgets might get attention today.
- Currencies EUR/USD cedes the 1.2624 support
- On Wednesday, the EMU debt crisis was again omnipresent. Markets feared that the EU leaders wouldn't be able to take decisive action to address the debt crisis. Extreme risk aversion pushed EUR/USD to a new low for 2012. The losses of EUR/GBP were more contained, as poor UK retail sales and rather soft BoE minutes kept the door open for more policy stimulation.
The Sunrise Headlines
- In the final hour of trading, US ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 24/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Concern about Greece "is a big weight on the market and makes things uncertain"
- Emmanuel Soupre, a fund manager at Neuflize Private Assets
European stocks tumbled on Wednesday, after rising by the most in a month on Tuesday, on speculation Greece may exit the euro zone.
USD
"It’s very clear now that the housing market has turned a corner"
- Richard DeKaser, deputy chief economist at Parthenon Group LLC
Sales of new U.S. homes rose by more than expected in April, Commerce Department data showed on Wednesday. Purchases increased to an annual rate of 343,000, up by 3.3 per cent from a revised 332,000 in March.
GBP
" employment remains fragile and wage growth weak"
- Ross Walker, chief U.K. economist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group
U.K. retails sales declined by ...
Title:
Technical analysis of the AUD/USD parity on May 24th, 2012
Commentary of the AUD/USD parity:
The pair AUD/USD found support yesterday on 0.97 and is currently moving towards a pullback on 0.98 as resistance.
The pair is still moving below the lower band of its bearish channel (purple lines).
All indicators are bearish.
We continue to advise short positions as far as 0.9875 is resistance.
The breakout of 0.97 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 0.96.
In case of return above 0.9875, we will wait the breakout of 0.9950 to advise long positons.
See the previous analysis of the AUD/USD parity of May 23th, 2012
AUD/USD Analysis
Title:
Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)
EUR/USD
The pair comes under increased pressure after recovery attempt stalled just above 1.2800 and renewed risk-off sentiment pushed the price lower to fully retrace recent 1.2641/1.2823 corrective leg. Negative studies keep our short-term target at 1.2622 in focus, with consolidative/corrective action above 1.2641, seen on overextended hourly studies. Immediate resistance lies at 1.2680/1.2900 zone, while only lift above 1.2730/50 would provide near-term relief.
Res: 1.2780, 1.2800, 1.2811, 1.2823
Sup: 1.2657, 1.2641, 1.2622, 1.2622
GBP/USD
Cable flirts with recent low at 1.5731, as mild corrective attempt didn’t show much of action and gains being capped at 1.5840. Reversal to the lows, along with negative short and longer-term studies and yesterday’s close below 200 day MA, ...
Title:
Technical analysis of the EUR/JPY pair on May 23th, 2012
Commentary of the EUR/JPY pair :
The pair EUR/JPY found resistance yesterday on 102 and then felt below the support at 101.
The pair is moving below the lower band of its bearish channel (purple lines).
All indicators are bearish.
We continue to advise short positions as far as 102 is resistance.
A return below 101 below will comfort our bearish feeling.
The breakout of 100.50 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 100.
In case of return above 102, we will wait the breakout of 103 to advise long positions.
See the previous analysis of the EUR/JPY pair of May 22th, 2012
EUR/JPY Analysis
Title:
Gold Falls on Worries in Markets, Before EU Summit
Precious-Gold dropped as worries in markets after Fitch downgrade to Japan and before an awaited informal EU summit tomorrow damped demand on the yellow metal.
Concerns increased after Japan had its credit ranking slashed by Fitch which revealed that Japan`s slackening response to tackling its public debt burden is the key reason behind the downgrade.
On the other hand, worries from the euro area continued amid speculations there would be frictions among European leaders at their meeting in Brussels tomorrow.
While the newly elected French President Francois Hollande will propose introducing Eurobonds to ease the tensions in European bond markets, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said she will not be shy to reject Hollande`s idea of introducing Eurobonds.
Hence, with possible ...
Title:
EUR/USD Rebound On Profit Taking
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: limited profit taking on core bond markets
- Global core bond markets fell prey to some profit taking in a thin, dull trading session. However, given the strength of equities, bond losses were very limited and occurred at the onset of trading. Today, the eco calendar remains thin and the profit taking might go some further in the run-up to tomorrow's informal EU Summit.
- Currencies EUR/USD rebound on profit taking
- The correction in EUR/USD was prolonged, but the euro gains were modest and mostly technical in nature. The UK inflation report is the eye-catcher of the day as it may influence sterling. However, overall trading might again be thin ahead of tomorrow's euro Summit.
The Sunrise Headlines
- US Equities rose for a second ...
Title:
Asia Session: Europe, Europe And More Europe
Nervousness underpinned price action today. Despite voices from throughout Europe attempting to reassure the market that Greece will remain in the euro, stock markets in Asia didn't significantly build on their opening gains and the euro slowly drifted lower throughout the session.
Why is the market behaving like this? In one word – caution. Investors are acutely aware that the talk from Europe may just be that, and when push comes to shove nothing may happen. And, in this case that is a very bad thing considering the fate of so many economies (both in Europe and elsewhere) hang in the balance.
Whilst there are many different views, most economists agree that letting Greece slipe away may prove to be more costly than keeping it in the Eurozone. Thus, the market wants reassurances that ...
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