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Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 22/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Gold extended previous gains in Asian session on Tuesday as concerns over Greek exit from the single currency union eased. At G8 summit leaders of eighth largest economies stated that they would do everything possible to retain Greece in the Euro Zone. COMEX gold June contract traded at 1,592.35 US Dollars per troy ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange, advancing by 0.23%.
USD
The US Senate has passed a bill aimed at tightening sanctions imposed on Iran to force the country to cease its nuclear program. The new sanctions imply investigation of role of Iran's Revolutionary Guard in oil exports as well as obliging the US companies to disclose any business activities with Iranian partners. The move came ahead of negotiations between Iran and six major ...
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EUR Avoids New 4-Month Low
While the euro remained bearish against its main currency rivals throughout yesterday's trading session, it avoided falling to a new four-month low against the US dollar. The marketplace was unusually calm, as a bank holiday in Europe resulted in limited movements among the most traded currency pairs. As we close out the week, traders will want to note that another slow news day may result in low liquidity in the marketplace. Typically, low liquidity situations can result in exaggerated movements among currency pairs and commodities for seemingly no reason. Any mention of additional euro-zone worries may result in a significant drop for the euro.
Economic News
USD - Manufacturing Data Causes USD to Tumble
The US dollar tumbled vs. the Japanese yen during the afternoon session yesterday, ...
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Euro pauses descent, but vulnerable to fresh falls
The euro held above a four-month low on Thursday, taking a breather from a sharp sell-off, although gains are likely to be checked by worries about the solvency of some Greek banks that are adding to fears the country may exit the euro zone.
The common currency was trading at $1.2724, up 0.1 percent on the day, though not far from a four-month low at $1.2681 hit the day before, with stops cited below $1.2680. The euro has already shed 3.9 percent in May, coming close to its 2012 trough of $1.2624 reached in mid-January.
Contagion fears and jitters over political turmoil in Athens, where politicians rejecting harsh austerity measures are likely to win June 17 elections, have sent riskier assets such as the Australian dollar sharply lower over the past three weeks.
Dealing another blow to ...
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Greek Political Impasse Leads to Euro Losses
The euro started off yesterday's trading session on a positive note following a better than expected German Prelim GDP figure which caused the EUR/USD to advance to 1.2868. That being said, the common currency came under pressure later in the day following another failed attempt by Greek politicians to form a new government, virtually guaranteeing new elections will take place next month. As a result, the euro fell as low as $1.2769 during the afternoon sessoin. Turning to today, traders will want to pay attention to the US FOMC Meeting Minutes, set to be released at 18:00 GMT. Any signs that the Federal Reserve is preparing for another round of quantitative easing could result in the greenback turning bearish.
Economic News
USD - US Manufacturing Data Sends USD/JPY Over 80.00
The ...
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EUR/USD Continues to Tumble
The euro continued to tumble vs. its main currency rivals yesterday, as traders remained cautious about investing in riskier assets due to political uncertainty in the euro-zone. The EUR/USD fell to a fresh three-month low during the afternoon session at 1.2929. Turning to today, traders should be prepared for market volatility, as significant indicators from the UK and US are scheduled to be released. Attention should be given to the UK MPC Rate Statement, followed by the US Trade Balance figure and a speech from Fed Chairman Bernanke. Should any of the news lead to additional pessimism in the global economic recovery, riskier currencies like the euro may fall further.
Economic News
USD - Safe Haven Dollar Extends Gains amid Euro-Zone Worries
A lack of news events yesterday helped the ...
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Gold falls below $1,600 on euro zone uncertainty
Gold dropped below $1,600 an ounce in heavy trading on Wednesday, nearly wiping out gains for 2012 as political uncertainty in Greece and Spanish bank worries prompted investors to sell bullion for a third straight daily decline.
The precious metal was down more than 3 percent so far this week on European debt fears due to a change in the French presidency, the frail state of Spanish banks and political gridlock in Greece.
This week's turmoil in Europe prompted investors to unwind long positions in gold built on optimism that followed a 130-billion euro bailout deal between the EU, the IMF and Greece.
"With the fate of the euro once again hanging in the balance, investors may have also soured on gold, perhaps questioning whether they are now going to be seeing sufficient amounts of ' ...
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YouTradeFX Daily Market Analysis : 07/05/2012
Fundamental News
The new Euro-zone politics will dominate markets throughout this week, as anti-austerity political parties take hold in Europe. The confirmation of Hollande’s victory in France marks the end of the Merkel-Sarkozy dominance at the political heart of Europe. Investors are acutely aware of the new leader's distain for austerity measures and some elements of the EU's new fiscal treaty. Mr Hollande has vowed not to ratify the new EU treaty unless new growth promoting measures are added, which is going to significantly draw-out the process of fiscal integration, if not stop it altogether. While in Athens, both mainstream political parties saw a dramatic collapse in support with anti-austerity groups seizing the opportunity to bolster their support. The head of the Syriza party, ...
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French, Greek Elections Set to Impact Euro
A disappointing US jobs report resulted in the safe-haven US dollar sliding against the Japanese yen while rallying against riskier currencies like the AUD and EUR to close out last week's trading session. Turning to today, elections held in France and Greece over the weekend are forecasted to generate significant market volatility. Any indication that Greece could back away from recent austerity measures as a result of the election could result in the euro extending its current bearish trend.
Economic News
USD - US Jobs Report Causes USD/JPY to Tumble
Last Friday's US Non-Farm Payrolls figure came in at 115K, well below the forecasted 173K. The news represented the third month in a row of declining hiring in the US, and resulted in renewed speculation that the Fed may initiate a new ...
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USD Remains Bearish During Slow Trading Day
The US dollar extended its bearish trend during yesterday's trading session, as investors continued to digest the disappointing US Advance GDP figure released last week. The greenback hit a two month low against the Japanese yen while the GBP/USD rose to an eight-month high. Turning to today, most European markets are closed for the May Day holiday. That being said, traders will want to pay attention to news out of the US. Specifically, the US ISM Manufacturing PMI is forecasted to generate significant market volatility. A better than expected result could help the dollar recoup some of its recent losses.
Economic News
USD - US Manufacturing PMI May Help Dollar
The dollar largely remained bearish against its main currency rivals yesterday, following disappointing US news last week which ...
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