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ExpectedTitle:
Investors driven by rumors as they wait for concrete solutions
MORNING BRIEFING: Investors driven by rumors as they wait for concrete solutions
What’s new:
Equity: Asian and US equities down on fears of a Greek euro exit
JPY: Fitch downgrade Japan’s long term rating to “A+” with a negative outlook
Forex: USD/JPY lower after BoJ stated it would keep its interest rate unchanged and made no changes to its QE.
Forex: EUR/USD was sold-off in the US session after some rumors of a Greece’s contingency plan
Rates in Asia and Indices:
EUR/USD 1.2645 1.2689 -0.03 %
USD/CHF 0.9466 0.9498 -0.02 %
GBP/USD 1.5743 1.5772 -0.01 %
USD/JPY 79.45 80.08 0.50 %
EUR/CHF 1.2009 1.20135 0.02 %
EUR/JPY 100.61 101.48 0.54 %
Dow Jones 12447.33 12575.96 -0.01 %
Nasdaq 2524.11 ...
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SunBirdFX Daily Market Analysis : 05/23/2012
www.sunbirdfx.com
Dramatic finishing in the US stock markets yesterday caused mixed closing by the main indices. The trading was on the green side most of the day but massive selling during the last half hour erased most of the bullish movement, but strong 10 minutes before the closing bell prevented sharper declines. The indices are now facing important test and if they slide under yesterday's low, the sharp declines from last week might return. On the other hand, if they cross above yesterday's high, it will be a strong bullish signal for the markets. On the fundamental aspect, the existing home sales data came out as analysts expected and today the investors will focus on the new home sales data.
EUR/GBP
All of the major pairs resumed weakening against the USD yesterday due to the ...
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USD Moves Up vs. JPY Following Japanese Credit Downgrade
The JPY took losses against the US dollar during European trading yesterday, following a downgrade of Japan's credit rating. The USD/JPY advanced close to 60 pips over the course of the day, eventually peaking at 79.93. Today, dollar traders will want to pay attention to US New Home Sales figure, set to be released at 14:00 GMT. Analysts are forecasting the figure to show improvements in the US real estate sector, which if true, could help the greenback extend yesterday's gains. In addition to the news out of the US, traders will want to pay attention to any announcements out of the euro-zone. An informal meeting of euro-zone leaders is set to conclude today. Any signs of a new strategy to combat the region's debt crisis could lead to market volatility.
Economic News
USD - Dollar Sees ...
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Japan Policy On Hold, Eyes On BoE Minutes
The euro (EUR) dropped near a 21-month low falling to 1.2645 from 1.2814 against the US dollar as risk aversion dominates the markets. Comments from former Greek Prime Minister Lucas Papademos raised concerns after he said that Greece has two options, stick to a painful austerity program or face a damaging default and a messy exit from the eurozone. Focus now turns to today’s informal EU summit where France is expected to push a proposal of joint eurozone bonds. The idea of joint bonds can help with funding difficulties for some heavily-indebted eurozone countries but that policy has been rejected by Germany before. EU leaders are also expected to focus more on growth and ways to help Greece stay in the euro.
The US dollar (USD) strengthened against a basket of currencies as fears of a ...
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Asia Session: Japan Is Thrust Into The Spotlight
Japan was in focus today, with the BOJ ending its two day meeting, yesterday’s downgrade by Fitch and some weak trade data. Overall, the data and announcements proved to be yen positive, pushing USDJPY back below 80.00 early in the session.
As expected, the BOJ board unanimously voted to leave policy unchanged at is two day meeting. However, there were some whispers in the market of a possible reduction in the interest rate on reserves and an extension of the JGB maturity guidelines, thus the decision not to move on policy contributed a substantial USDJPY pullback. Yet, the pair managed to regain its footing later in the session and the collapse was stopped around 79.50.
Whilst the better than expected Q1 growth figures and the wait-and-see attitude of the BOJ was the main contributor to ...
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Bank of Japan kept interest rates at zero levels
Bank of Japan decided to keep the interest rates unchanged at zero levels between 0.0% and 0.10%, matching analysts’ expectations especially amid the current challenges that face the Japanese economy.
On the other hand, BOJ kept the credit lending program at 30 trillion yen, and kept the asset purchase program unchanged at 40 trillion yen, disappointing markets as officials intend to save such actions for the upcoming months if conditions get worse due to Europe’s debt crisis.
However pressures are increasing on policy makers after Fitch downgraded Japan’s sovereign debt on Tuesday due to the rising debt-to-GDP ratio, and pointed to the importance of raising taxes.
Japan must keep its pledge to start raising sales taxes by 2014 to control its public debt which is expected to exceed 220% ...
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Analysis: World wheat bounty at risk as dry spell spooks market
(Reuters) - A damaging global dry spell is wilting wheat crops in Kansas, threatening exports from Russia and slowing sowing in Australia, serving a timely reminder to hedge funds that a new era of surplus grain is far from assured.
In their biggest surge since 1996, Chicago wheat prices jumped by more than 17 percent last week and reached a nearly 9-month high of more than $7 a bushel on Monday, a rally stoked by short-covering among big speculators -- a group that had amassed a near-record short position betting on falling prices.
By Tuesday, six days of buying subsided as analysts said the immediate weather-induced panic yielded to a more considered view: conditions are not as dire - at least not yet - as they were in 2010, when world trade in wheat was sharply curtailed as growing ...
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Brent slips 0.4 percent on potential Iran deal, economy concerns
(Reuters) - Brent crude slipped around 0.4 percent on Wednesday as a potential deal between Iran and the U.N. nuclear watchdog eased fears of oil supply disruptions, while concerns over the debt crisis in the euro zone and a slowing Chinese economy weighed on demand.
The U.N.'s International Atomic Energy Agency expects to sign a deal with Iran soon to unblock investigations into suspected work on atom bombs in the oil-producing country, increasing the prospect of a resolution to a conflict over the issue.
Brent crude had dropped 46 cents to $107.95 a barrel by 0402 GMT and U.S. July crude had fallen 56 cents to $91.29, with economic concerns weighing as the World Bank cut its economic growth forecast for China, the world's second-largest oil consumer.
Nagging fears of a messy Greek ...
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Cautious markets retreat before EU summit
(Reuters) - Riskier assets retreated broadly on Wednesday as hopes for fresh measures to tackle the euro zone debt crisis faded and caution set in ahead of a meeting of European leaders, with sentiment hurt by renewed fears Greece would leave the euro bloc.
European shares also looked likely to slump, with financial spreadbetters predicting major European markets .FTSE .FCHI .GDAXI would open as much as 1.5 percent lower. U.S. stock futures were down 0.5 percent. .EU .L .N
Shares, commodities, commodity-linked currencies and the euro all slid, while safe-haven demand lifted the dollar index .DXY measured against major currencies up to 81.830, its highest since September 2010.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS slumped 2.0 percent. It had risen 1.1 ...
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