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ExpectedTitle:
Some frayed nerves as USDA grains data goes 'live'
(Reuters) - CBOT grain traders got their first taste on Thursday of trading without a two-hour cushion between the release of price-sensitive U.S. government data and markets being open, as the new 21-hour trading cycle exposed some frayed nerves.
The U.S. Department of Agriculture issued its weekly export sales report at 7:30 a.m. Central (1230 GMT) when the Chicago Board of Trade grain markets were open for business. The CBOT began a 21-hour trading cycle on Monday.
Rival Intercontinental Exchange (ICE.N) was also open, but its volume was far smaller than that of the world's largest grain exchange, owned by the CME Group (CME.O).
The data moved the corn futures market, with benchmark July slipping slightly lower in a knee-jerk reaction before rebounding after traders dug deeper into ...
Title:
Fed's Dudley eyes costs of more policy easing
(Reuters) - The Federal Reserve would not want to ease policy more - including another round of quantitative easing (QE) - if U.S. economic growth continues to eat into "slack" in the economy including unused labor, an influential Fed official said on Thursday.
New York Fed President William Dudley, a permanent voter on the Fed's policy committee who is closely aligned with Chairman Ben Bernanke, did not tilt his hand on what, if any, steps he wants the central bank to take at its next policy-setting meeting in June. But he sketched out what could lead to more easing - and even tightening - of the Fed's ultra easy policy stance.
"As long as the U.S. economy continues to grow sufficiently fast to cut into the nation's unused economic resources at a meaningful pace, I think the benefits ...
Title:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 24/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
European stocks returned to growth, despite services and manufacturing purchasing managers indices across Europe and German business confidence shrank more than expected. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index added 1.0 percent to 241.81. Cable & Wireless Communications Plc soared 19 percent. Sonova Holding AG gained 2.5 percent. Bayer AG declined 1.1 percent. U.S. futures and Asian stock little changed. S&P 500 futures gained 0.3 percent, MSCI Asia Pacific index added 0.1 percent.
USD
The US Dollar followed bullish trend on Thursday as Germany disapproves issuance of Eurobonds that may help to ease Greek debt burden. Traders are also cautions ahead of Euro Zone's manufacturing data release due later today. The US Dollar index, which tracks the greenback's performance ...
Title:
USD/CHF Daily technical analysis - May 2012
The pair USD/CHF has broken the resistance at 0.9270 and has continued during May its bullish movement. The pair is currently moving towards the resistance at 0.9754 and is moving above the fibonacci retracment 50% at 0.9396.
The trend will remain bullish as far as 0.90 is support. The breakout of 0.9754 will give a new buy signal and open the way towards 0.9946 (level 61.80%). Next resistances are at 1.0250 and 1.05.
If 0.90 is broken, a return on 0.8847 (level 38.20%) is expected. The breakout of this last level will indicate a return of the bearish trend. We will then expect a test of 0.8572.
Previous USD/CHF Daily Analysis - April 2012
Title:
Gold rebounds on the dollar’s drop, yet still faces pressure
Gold managed to rebound after the release of softer than expected U.S. durable goods report which pushed the dollar down and gave an advantage to dollar-denominated commodities.
The report showed that durable goods advanced 0.2% in April from a revised of -3.7%.
Accordingly, the U.S. dollar reversed its earlier gains to drop against a basket of major currencies. The dollar index fell to a low of 81.84 after touching a high of 82.36.
Recently, the inverse relation is becoming stronger and mainly the shiny metal’s direction is relying on the dollar’s movements.
However, gold may once again track the losses in the euro which remains under pressure amid worries the debt crisis is intensifying.
Yesterday, the informal EU summit showed disagreement over introducing Eurobonds as German ...
Title:
U.S. New Orders for Durable Goods Rose 0.2% in April
U.S. New Orders for Durable Goods Rose 0.2% in April; Initial Claims Inched Downward in the Latest Week
- New orders for durable goods inched up 0.2% in April 2012 following a revised 3.7% decline (previously reported as -3.9%) in March. The gain in April matched market expectations.
- Transportation orders unexpectedly rose 2.1% as rising motor vehicle orders offset falling orders for defence aircraft. Excluding the transportation component, orders fell 0.6% following a 0.8% decline (previously was -1.3%) in March and well below market expectations for a 0.8% gain.
- Orders of non-defence capital equipment excluding aircraft, a commonly used proxy for future business investment, fell 1.9% following a revised 2.2% decline (previously was -3.9%) in March. The corresponding ...
Title:
EU Data Deteriorates
The euro remained under pressure against most of the majors after disappointing economic data and as the EU summit concluded without giving markets any indication of significant progress. European leaders debated the topic of eurobonds and whether or not it would contribute to growth. Germany remaining firmly opposed to the joint bonds saying that it would give countries with already large deficits incentive to continue to spend.
Economic data out of Europe added to the deterioration in sentiment as German, French, and Eurozone May PMI figures printed below expectations. Manufacturing PMI's in Germany, France, and the EZ fell to 44.4 (cons. 47.0), 45.0 (cons. 46.8), and 45.0 (cons. 46.0) respectively. The below 50 readings indicated ongoing contractions in manufacturing. Furthermore, ...
Title:
Gold prices rise 1 percent as dollar retreats
(Reuters) - Gold rose 1 percent on Thursday, snapping three days of losses to climb towards $1,580 an ounce, as the dollar swung back into negative territory versus the euro after a softer-than-expected U.S. manufacturing report.
Confidence in the single currency remains fragile after it earlier hit a near two-year low against the dollar. Dire German manufacturing and business climate data spooked investors already weighing up the risk of Greece leaving the euro zone.
But gold got a lift from International Monetary Fund data showing another rise in central bank gold holdings in April, after the largest purchase in over four years by the Philippines.
Spot gold rose as high as $1,577.50 an ounce and was up 0.8 percent to $1,573.11 an ounce by 9:50 a.m. EDT (1350 GMT), while U.S. gold ...
Title:
Oil climbs above $106 as Iran talks stall
(Reuters) - Brent crude oil rose above $106 a barrel on Thursday as reports of a hiccup in talks with Iran over its nuclear program balanced weak economic data from China and Europe.
Iran accused world powers on Thursday of creating "a difficult atmosphere" that hindered negotiations on its atomic energy program, signaling a snag in diplomacy to defuse fears of an Iranian attempt to develop nuclear bombs.
Brent futures rose 90 cents to trade at $106.46 by 1336 GMT after earlier touching a high of $106.90 before weak Chinese and European economic data sparked a bout of selling.
U.S. crude for July rose $1.44 to a high of $91.34 after settling at $89.90 a barrel on Wednesday, its lowest close for front-month U.S. crude since October 21.
Investors are worried that failure to agree a deal ...
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