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Expectation The Euro ContinuesTitle:
U.K. GDP expected unrevised as recession keeps weight on BoE
The United Kingdom today continues to release more important fundamentals that only reassure the lingering hurdles ahead of policy makers` next decision. The second reading for the first quarter GDP is expected unrevised today as the economy contracts with slowing capital investment and exports that were hit by weak global growth.
The ONS is expected to report the unrevised quarterly contraction of 0.2% in the first three months of the year and hold flat on the year as the BoE suffers to support growth. With the deterioration in the jobs market and high inflation Britons remain under pressure and so far policy makers.
As the MPC said it, we are against a tough task, especially after they raised short term inflation expectations and revised lower growth estimates in the May inflation ...
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Risky trade getting hammered
Higher yielders remained under pressure as uncertainty continues to surround markets. The lack of assurance of an Imperative action on Greece from the euro leaders in their informal summit today makes things further vague for the destiny of the risky trade. While markets lack a conclusive expectation for the outcome of the summit majors look skeptical around key support levels.
During a teleconference earlier today, the Eurogroup Working Group (EWG); which consists of the officials preparing the meetings of finance minister, and form the board of the ESF as well, agreed that euro zone countries must consider and prepare for the consequences of a Greece exit. The move could have further negative impact on the common currency.
While Later today, the finance ministers are expected to unveil ...
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European Market Update : 23/05/2012
Euro hits fresh 2012 lows ahead of informal summit; More reports of an ECB contingency plan in the works
Economic Data
(GR) Greece Mar Current Account: -€2.1B v €1.1B prior
(NL) Netherlands Mar Consumer Spending Y/Y: % v -1.3% prior
(SE) Sweden Apr Unemployment Rate: % v 7.8%e
(EU) Euro Zone Apr Current Account: +€7.5B v -€5.6B prior; Current Account Seasonally Adj: +€7.5B v -€1.2B prior
(IT) Italy May Consumer Confidence: 86.5 v 89.5e (lowest reading on record after series began in 1996))
(ZA) South Africa Apr CPI (all items) M/M: 0.4% v 0.5%e; Y/Y: % v 6.2%e
(TW) Taiwan Apr Industrial Production Y/Y: -2.3% v -1.7%e; Commercial Sales Y/Y: -2.4% v -0.9% prior
(UK) Apr Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel M/M: -1.0% v -0.7%e; Y/Y: -0.3% v +0.7%e
(UK) Apr Retail Sales with Auto Fuel M/M: -0.8% ...
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YouTradeFX Daily Market Analysis : 23/05/2012
Fundamental News
Today’s highlights:
BoJ Press Conference (JAP, Tentative)
Retail Sales (MoM) + MPC Meeting Minutes (GB, 09.30 GMT)
Industrial New Orders (MoM) (EUR, Tentative)
CBI Industrial Trends Orders (GB, 11:00 GMT)
Core Retail Sales (MoM) (CAD, 13:30 GMT)
New Home Sales (U.S., 15:00 GMT)
The National Association of Realtors released a report on Tuesday showing a rebound in U.S. existing home sales in the month of April following a decrease in the previous month, sales rose by less than economists had anticipated. NAR said existing home sales rose 3.4 percent to an annual rate of 4.62 million in April from a downwardly revised 4.47 million in March.
Japan’s exports increased by a less-than- estimated 7.9 percent in April from a year earlier, underscoring ...
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European markets single lower, while eyes are on the EU summit
The tension is evident as the sell-off wave swept the currency market including high yielding currencies, and the European stock futures are back once again to trade lower before the opening today.
The risks of Greece leaving the euro area have become very influential on the markets lately with the expectations that anti-austerity parties will win the elections held on the seventeenth of June.
Investors will be focusing today on the European summit held in Brussels with Greece being the main theme in addition to Spain`s Budget deficit.
The euro drooped from the opining levels that were near the highest levels reached today at $1.2687 and is currently trading at $1.2664. The EUR/USD reached the lowest level today at $1.2643 while it opened at $1.2643.
As for the Great British Pound, the ...
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Euro slides vs. dollar as EU summit hopes wane
(Reuters) - The euro fell against the dollar on Tuesday after two days of gains as investors pared back expectations that an informal meeting of European leaders this week would yield much progress in tackling the region's debt crisis.
However, given the market's stretched bearish positioning and oversold signals on the technical charts, the euro could see a short-term squeeze higher ahead of the European summit.
The yen, meanwhile, tumbled after Fitch downgraded Japan's ratings and although the currency posted the biggest loss versus the dollar, investors remained focused on the euro.
While there have been hopes in some quarters that Wednesday's summit may lead to agreement on measures to boost euro zone growth, investors were not confident of a breakthrough given apparent differences ...
Title:
Euro falls vs. dollar as EU summit hopes dim
(Reuters) - The euro fell against the dollar on Tuesday after two days of gains as investors pared back expectations that an informal meeting of European leaders would yield much progress in tackling the region's debt crisis.
However, given the market's stretched bearish positioning and oversold signals on the technical charts, the euro could see a short-term squeeze higher ahead of the European summit.
While there have been hopes in some quarters that Wednesday's summit may lead to agreement on measures to boost growth, investors were not confident of a breakthrough given apparent differences in opinion between Germany and France.
French President Francois Hollande is expected to push for a joint euro zone bond, a measure backed by Italy, Spain and the European Commission.
However ...
Title:
Asian Market Update : 22/05/2012
Short-covering momentum builds on China infrastructure spending hopes
Economic Data
(NZ) NEW ZEALAND Q2 RBNZ 2-YR INFLATION EXPECTATIONS: 2.4% V 2.5% PRIOR (11-quarter low and 4th consecutive quarter of decline)
(CN) CHINA APR CONFERENCE BOARD LEADING ECONOMIC INDEX M/M: 0.8% V 0.8% PRIOR
(TW) TAIWAN APR UNEMPLOYMENT RATE: 4.2% V 4.1%E
(KR) SOUTH KOREA Q1 EXTERNAL SHORT TERM DEBT: $136.3B V $136.1B PRIOR
Markets Snapshot (as of 04:15GMT)
Nikkei225 +1.0%
S&P/ASX +0.8%
Kospi +1.2%
Shanghai Composite +0.5%
Hang Seng +0.8%
June S&P Futures flat at 1,315
June gold flat at $1,589/oz
July Crude +0.1% at $92.96
Overview/Top Headlines
Asian equity markets have extended the overnight rally with another session of moderate gains, as hopes for progress in European talks took a back- ...
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Eyes on U.K. inflation as slowing pressures support QE expectations
The tension remains across the board and the focus shifted to leaders and central bankers to end the uncertainty over the outlook from slowing growth to a Greek exit. The U.K. is one of the biggest economies in harm’s way and Cameron expressed this fear in the G8 and the BoE is stuck between a rock and a hard place amid a frail recovery and elevated inflation.
Since April conditions took a strong turn in the UK progress. One of the arch MPC doves Adam Posen shifted stance and stopped the calls for more QE amid the general view that inflation might be more persistent; the economy unexpectedly entered recession, and the debt crisis in the euro area resurfaced with a vengeance.
The latest May Inflation Report reflected the tough task ahead of the policy makers to balance to risk between ...
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