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European Market Update : 22/05/2012
Fitch cuts Japan's sovereign rating two notches
Economic Data
(JP) Japan Apr Supermarket Sales Y/Y: --1.9% v -2.4% prior
(FI) Finland Apr Unemployment Rate: 8.4% v 8.4%e
(DK) Denmark May Consumer Confidence Indicator: 0.4 v 0.6 prior
(ZA) South Africa Mar Leading Indicator: 134.5 v 134.4 prior
(NL) Netherlands May Consumer Confidence: -38 v -32 prior
(NO) Norway Q1 GDP Q/Q: 1.4% v 0.9%e; GDP Mainland Norway Q/Q: 1.1% v 0.9%e
(UK) Mar ONS UK House Prices Y/Y: -0.4% v +1.0% prior
(UK) Apr Public Finances (PSNCR): -£23.2B v -£6.0Be; Public Sector Net Borrowing: -£18.8B v -£22.8Be; PSNB ex Interventions: -£16.5B v -£20.0Be
(UK) Apr CPI M/M: 0.6% v 0.6%e; Y/Y: 3.0% v 3.1%e; Core CPI Y/Y: 2.1% v 2.0%e
(UK) Apr RPI M/M: 0.7% v 0.6%e; Y/Y: 3.5% v 3.4%e; Core RPI- Ex Mortgages Y/Y: 3.5% ...
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Copper falls as dollar firms, debt crisis weighs
(Reuters) - Copper fell on Tuesday as the dollar firmed and uncertainty about Europe's ability to resolve its debt crisis outweighed reports that top metals consumer China will fast-track infrastructure investment.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange touched a week-high of $7,816 a metric ton (1.1 ton) in the session, before erasing gains to $7,712 at 5:37 a.m. EDT (0937 GMT), down 0.2 percent from Monday's $7,731 close.
One of the price supports for copper on Tuesday was a report in the state-backed China Securities Journal that Beijing will fast track its approval of infrastructure investments to combat slowing growth and a sluggish property sector. Copper is used extensively in construction.
Premier Wen Jiabao has also called for additional efforts to support growth, ...
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EUR/USD Rebound On Profit Taking
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: limited profit taking on core bond markets
- Global core bond markets fell prey to some profit taking in a thin, dull trading session. However, given the strength of equities, bond losses were very limited and occurred at the onset of trading. Today, the eco calendar remains thin and the profit taking might go some further in the run-up to tomorrow's informal EU Summit.
- Currencies EUR/USD rebound on profit taking
- The correction in EUR/USD was prolonged, but the euro gains were modest and mostly technical in nature. The UK inflation report is the eye-catcher of the day as it may influence sterling. However, overall trading might again be thin ahead of tomorrow's euro Summit.
The Sunrise Headlines
- US Equities rose for a second ...
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News Of Secret Support To Greek Banks By ECB Baking
News reports have suggested that ailing Greek banks that are suffering under the crisis with fears of the nation going bankrupt and dropping out of the euro have attained emergency support from the central bank.
Reports by Financial Times suggested that about 100 billion euros of emergency liquidity have been provided by the central bank in Greece to support banks after attaining approval from the European Central Bank (ECB) which comes as a surprise after the ECB itself withdrew some liquidity operations from Greek banks.
There are no confirmations or official comments on the news still, but the possibility that this has been approved downplays the expected euro-exit for Greece and surely means the ECB is willing to take more action to keep the nation afloat, especially that already ...
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Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 22/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"Inevitably there is going to be an element of bargain hunting as investors look to top up their holdings on the basis of slightly lower prices"
- Richard Hunter, head of equities at Hargreaves Lansdown Stockbrokers
European stocks edged higher on Monday on China’s pledge to boost growth.
USD
"Equity prices have gotten oversold"
- Mark Luschini, chief investment strategist for Janney Montgomery Scott LLC
U.S. equity market edged higher on Monday on China stimulus hopes and after German and French officials said they would cooperate to keep Greece in the monetary union.
GBP
"Obviously, as the euro depreciates, the U.K. gets slightly more expensive"
- Miles Shipside, Rightmove commercial director
U.K. national house prices stagnated in March, announced the ...
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Technical analysis of the XAU/USD (Gold) pair on May 22th, 2012
Commentary of the XAU/USD (Gold) pair:
The gold found resistance yesterday on 1600 points.
The pair is in the middle of its bearish channel (purple lines).
Indicators are globaly bullish.
We are neutral between 1580 and 1600 points.
We advise to wait an exit of this range to take position:
- Long above 1600 points. The breakout of 1620 points will give a new buy signal and open the way towards 1650 points.
- Short below 1580 points. The breakout of 1560 points will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 1540 points.
See the previous analysis of the XAU/USD pair of May 21th, 2012
XAU/USD Analysis
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Technical analysis of the EUR/GBP pair on May 22th, 2012
Commentary of the EUR/GBP pair:
The pair EUR/GBP just found resistance on 0.81.
Indicators are globaly bullish.
The pair is still moving into a bearish channel (purple paralell lines).
We are neutral between 0.8050 and 0.81.
We advise to wait an exit of this range to take position:
- Long above 0.81. The breakout of 0.8150 will give a new buy signal.
- Short below 0.8050. The breakout of 0.80 will give a new sell signal.
See the previous analysis of the EUR/GBP pair of May 21th, 2012
EUR/GBP Analysis
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EUR Resumes Bearish Trend
After steadily gaining on the dollar and yen yesterday in overnight trading, the euro once again turned bearish during the European session. Renewed concerns regarding the political situation in Greece triggered the bearish correction. Still, the common currency was able to avoid dropping to the four-month low hit last week. Turning to today, traders will want to pay attention to a batch of British and US economic indicators. Both the British CPI and Public Sector Net Borrowing figures are forecasted to come in well below last month's figures. If true, the GBP could take losses during mid-day trading. Later in the day, analysts are predicting that the US Existing Home Sales figure will show improvements in the American Real Estate sector. If true, the dollar could move up as a result.
...
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Shares gain on hopes of action over EU crisis
(Reuters) - European shares joined a global rally in riskier assets on Tuesday and German bond prices fell as hopes grew that European leaders would agree on fresh action to tackle the debt crisis while promoting growth.
Sentiment also improved after reports emerged from China that Beijing will accelerate infrastructure investment to combat slowing growth.
The FTSE Eurofirst .FTEU3 index of top European shares opened up 0.5 percent at 979.55 points, extending a recovery from five-month lows hit on Monday. MSCI's global equity index .MIWD00000PUS rose 0.5 percent to 302.89 and back into positive territory for the year.
But while market participants were using the improved tone to hunt for bargains, sentiment remained fragile due to concerns about the impact of a possible exit by Greece ...
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