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Technical analysis of the USD/CHF pair on May 22th, 2012
Commentary of the USD/CHF pair :
The pair USD/CHF has continued its correction and got back below the support at 0.94.
The pair made a pullback on its former bullish slant (black line).
All indicators are bearish.
We are neutral between 0.9350 and 0.94.
We advise to wait an exit of this range to take positon:
- Long above 0.94. The breakout of 0.9450 and 0.95 will both give a new buy signal
- Short below 0.9350. The breakout of 0.93 will give a new sell signal.
See the previous analysis of the USD/CHF pair of May 21th, 2012
USD/CHF Analysis
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Eyes on U.K. inflation as slowing pressures support QE expectations
The tension remains across the board and the focus shifted to leaders and central bankers to end the uncertainty over the outlook from slowing growth to a Greek exit. The U.K. is one of the biggest economies in harm’s way and Cameron expressed this fear in the G8 and the BoE is stuck between a rock and a hard place amid a frail recovery and elevated inflation.
Since April conditions took a strong turn in the UK progress. One of the arch MPC doves Adam Posen shifted stance and stopped the calls for more QE amid the general view that inflation might be more persistent; the economy unexpectedly entered recession, and the debt crisis in the euro area resurfaced with a vengeance.
The latest May Inflation Report reflected the tough task ahead of the policy makers to balance to risk between ...
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Markets extend gains on value hunt, hopes for EU summit
(Reuters) - Markets extended gains in Asia on Tuesday with investors hunting for bargains in shares beaten down to 2012 lows late last week, as hopes grew that Europe could agree on fresh action to tackle its debt crisis while promoting growth.
A Chinese media report saying Beijing will accelerate infrastructure investments to combat slowing growth lifted Hong Kong and Chinese shares by 1.2 percent .HSI and 0.6 percent .SSEC respectively.
European shares looked likely to extend gains, with financial spreadbetters predicting that major European markets .FTSE .FCHI .GDAXI would open as much as 1.0 percent higher. U.S. stock futures were up 0.1 percent. .EU .L .N
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS climbed 1.4 percent, having recovered on Monday from a ...
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Brent steady near $109 ahead of EU summit, Iran talks
(Reuters) - Brent crude held steady near $109 on Tuesday, awaiting the results of two meetings to tackle Europe's debt crisis and Iran's nuclear programme, which could determine the future of global oil demand and supply.
EU leaders may introduce new measures to tackle the euro zone's worsening debt crisis during Wednesday's informal meeting to seek solutions to the Greek political crisis mired in conflict over debt and austerity policies.
Major powers will also meet Iran on Wednesday to discuss its nuclear programme, but tensions with the West remain high as the U.S. Senate unanimously approved a package of new economic sanctions on Iran's oil sector on Monday.
Brent crude edged up 7 cents to $108.88 a barrel by 0448 GMT, but is still about $20 down from March's high. U.S. crude for ...
Title:
Inertia Will Sink The Euro Again
The G8 Summit achieved very little in public which was no real surprise, but there was also an apparent lack of urgency surrounding the Euro-zone situation which was a much greater surprise given a sharp deterioration in the financial sector last week. Where was the urgency for fresh action to help support the Euro banking sector? The absence must surely indicate that Euro-zone and G8 leaders, while paying lip-service to the current strategy, have effectively moved on and are actively planning the next stage of the crisis.
Fear is likely to dominate in the short term and this is likely to keep strong defensive demand for the dollar and yen. In these circumstances, there is no real chance of a sustained Euro rally with 2012 lows likely to be seen. Bond markets will be watched very closely ...
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Oil turns upwards, Greece still weighs
(Reuters) - Oil prices rose back towards $108 per barrel on Monday, after last week's falls, supported by tension between Western countries and Iran as talks were resuming this week and further lifted by the possibility of growth stimulus in China.
Fears of a Greek exit from the euro continued to weigh, however.
A summit of the Group of Eight major economies at the weekend failed to deliver any signal Europe would act quickly to address the risk of a chaotic Greek exit from the euro, leaving investors on alert and curb an upturn in oil prices.
"Gains may be short-lived as EU politicians as usual are having a hard time agreeing on anything. However (there is) an interesting week ahead with the European debt crisis posing a risk on the downside and the potential for nuclear talks with ...
Title:
Greek Chaos Continues But Solution Ultimately Found
- While waiting for the Greek election on 17 June we are likely to see continued high uncertainty and continued high stress in the markets. Things are likely to get worse before they get better.
- Amid this uncertainty, Greek citizens are likely to withdraw more money from their banks and this could escalate into a real bank run.
- A major game of chicken has started between the EU on the one hand and Greek politicians on the other.
- The EU is likely to stand firm on its demands for Greece to deliver austerity and give only a few concessions. The rethoric from the left coalition party Syriza is likely to continue to be fiercely against the EU as it is aiming to become the biggest party and get 50 bonus mandates for this.
- We look at three different post-election scenarios. ...
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Gold advances slightly, investors to remain cautious
Precious-Gold continued its rebound on Monday after China has pledged to bolster growth while Group of Eight leaders have urged Greece in the euro area.
Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao said he will give utmost determination to boost growth, while in Japan the BoJ is predicted to raise stimulus when policy makers meet this week.
On the other hand, in the G8 meeting, world leaders focused on bolstering both and fiscal discipline while called for Greece to stay in the euro zone.
Today, German and French Finance Ministers will meet before an EU Summit on May 23.
Despite the rise for the third consecutive session for the yellow metal, it may come once again under pressure amid political uncertainty in Greece and fiscal woes in Span, especially as G8 leaders to did not reveal how they can prevent ...
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US Dollar Index Starts Week Stronger
US dollar index is starting out another week stronger, thanks in large part to difficulties plaguing the eurozone. While the Facebook IPO last week distracted Forex traders and investors from the crisis in the eurozone for a short period of time, focus is back on Europe, and what’s happening (or not happening).
Concerns about the eurozone continue to make the US dollar attractive as a safe haven. Even as concerns about Greece’s exit from the eurozone grow, the US dollar remains backed by the world’s most stable taxpayer base. On top of that, there is an expectation that other central banks — especially the ECB and the BOE — are more likely to ease monetary policies before the Federal Reserve does.
That said, there is still a chance that the Fed, led by Ben Bernanke, will engage in ...
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