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Euro Supported By GreekTitle:
A dead cat bounce?
After a bunch of creepy economic figures starting from the euro zone manufacturing and services numbers which showed the sectors extended contraction last month and confidence among business within germany dropped to 106.9 from 109.4, that was followed by the GDP figure from the U.K which confirmed further contraction as the country’s economy contracted more than expected. While from the U.S; core durable goods orders dropped by 0.6% while markets were expecting a 1.1% expansion.
Although the overall picture remains clearly uncertain, however markets were well supported after being extensively oversold today, rebounding slightly this morning, and currently extending the recovery after the Greek central bank chief said that Greece’s four largest banks are to be recapitalized by an 18 ...
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Asia Session: Policy Easing From Beijing May Not Save China If Greece Exits The Euro
Despite another below 50 print for Chinese flash manufacturing PMI and the release of NZ’s annual budget, market action was largely subdued during the session following the sell-off in the euro overnight which pushed it below 1.2600 against the dollar. The budget out of NZ was largely a non-event as it didn’t differ from market expectations, but the flash PMI figure out of China is somewhat worrying.
HSBC’s flash manufacturing PMI figure printed at 48.7 for May, modestly down from the prior 49.3. Thus, HSBC believes manufacturing in China may contract for the seventh straight month in row, which, if turn, raises concerns about the overall health of the Chinese economy.
Yet, we did not see commodities currencies and equities sink significantly after the data, but this may be because the ...
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EU Summit to no surprise disappoints pushing euro below $1.26 ahead of PMI
The EU informal summit on Wednesday again failed to address the heightened tension across global markets over the outlook for euro stability, no decisions were taken and only disagreement emerged out of the introductory dinner for Hollande to European procrastination and not unity!
Heavy downward pressure is still seen on the euro as it slumped against its major peers and trading just above a two-year low this morning versus the dollar after it slumped to the lowest since July 2010 on Wednesday at $1.2545 as the leaders added nothing new and further pinned the fears of a Greek collapse out of the euro.
Although former Greek Prime Minister said that there are no preparations in place for a Greek euro exit that he is aware of; news reports yesterday proclaimed the opposite based and ...
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Euro falls to almost two-year low on Greek fears
(Reuters) - The euro slumped to its weakest level against the dollar in nearly two years on Wednesday on doubts a meeting of European leaders would calm fears of a disorderly Greek exit from the euro zone.
Investors piled money into safe-haven instruments, driving the U.S. dollar index to its strongest since September 2010. The yen, which also tends to perform well during times of stress, hit its highest level since February against the euro.
Euro zone officials have told members of the currency area to prepare contingency plans in case Greece quits the bloc, an eventuality which Germany's central bank said would be testing but "manageable," three officials told Reuters.
An informal summit of European Union leaders on Wednesday is expected to discuss growth-boosting measures and the ...
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Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 23/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
German bunds rose on worries that European leaders will struggle to resolve the euro zone debt crisis during tonight's European summit. David Schnautz of Commerzbank AG in London thinks that Europe is unlikely to solve key topics and will probably disappoint the market. The 5-year bund lost 5 bp to 0.47 percent at 10:49 GMT after tumbling to 0.461 percent, the lowest since 1990, when Bloomberg began gathering data.
USD
Crude oil futures declined in Asian session on Wednesday as Iran is ready to invite nuclear inspectors, the move that may ease oil import sanctions. Light, sweet crude oil futures for July delivery traded at 91.27 US Dollars per barrel, retreating by 0.63% from the last session's high of 91.72 US Dollars per barrel.
GBP
Today the minutes of the ...
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Euro sinks to 21-month low as Greek exit fears rise
(Reuters) - The euro plunged to a 21-month low against the dollar on Wednesday as investors dumped the currency on growing fears of a Greek euro zone exit and widespread doubts about the outcome of an EU summit later in the day.
EU leaders are expected to discuss growth-boosting measures but are not expected to produce any plan that would restore optimism among investors, especially given Germany's strong opposition to joint euro bonds.
Investors are doubtful that the leaders will come up with any measures to calm fears that have grown since an inconclusive Greek election earlier this month left the country on the path to bankruptcy and a possible exit from the euro zone.
"The whole problem of Greece, of fiscal retrenchment in the euro zone, the lack of growth across the region, and the ...
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Euro drops to 21-month low as break up risks mount
(Reuters) - The euro fell to a 21-month low against the dollar on Wednesday as investors added to bearish bets on growing concerns about a chaotic Greek exit and widespread skepticism about the outcome of an EU summit due later in the day.
EU leaders are expected to discuss growth-boosting measures but are not expected to produce any plan that would restore optimism among investors, especially given Germany remains strongly opposed to joint euro bonds.
Investors are doubtful that the leaders will come up with any measures to calm fears that have grown since an inconclusive Greek election earlier this month left the country on the path to bankruptcy and a possible exit from the euro zone.
The euro fell to $1.2615 on trading platform EBS, dropping below the 2012 low of $1.2624 set in ...
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JPY Underperforms Amid Downgrade, Ahead of BoJ
USD stronger today against most of the majors amid higher global equities and higher U.S. treasury yields. A ratings downgrade in Japan, dampened EU Summit expectations and low growth projections in Europe, and slowing inflation in the UK are benefitting the USD. The dollar index rebounded from the 81.00 figure but remains below the double top around the 81.75 level and the dollar is currently strongest against the JPY as UST yields advance. On the data front, the May Richmond Fed manufacturing index (expected to soften to 11 from 14) and April existing home sales (forecast to increase 2.9% m/m to 4.61M) are set for release at the top of the hour.
EUR is weaker against most of the G10 currencies amid growth concerns and low expectations of the upcoming EU Summit. The OECD released update ...
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The Endgame of the Greek Crisis
Forex News and Events:
It has taken two-and-a-half years, and nearly USD 300bn of IMF/EU funds for markets to finally weigh in a more probable than not exit of the debt-laden country. Greece’s EMU exit is imminent for the second time in the last six months. Surprisingly though, the trigger for the recent gloomy expectations for Greece was not exclusively of an economic nature but also politics. During May 6 elections, the Greeks expressed their unwillingness to abide by the agreed-upon austerity measures. It wouldn’t have been a very dangerous position had Greece been solvent, but regardless of EU officials’ reassurance of continued help for Greece throughout the process, the country would run out of funds for the next installments due end of June and early July. In addition to markets ...
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