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EuroTitle:
Greek Debt Crisis: Answers to Frequently Asked Questions
Highlights
- An acceleration in deposit withdrawals, combined with the prospect of an anti-austerity party winning the next election, has brought to the fore concerns about a potential Greek exit from the euro zone.
- Our base case assumption is that under the most likely scenario, the Greek election will lead to a government that sticks to an EU/IMF program, even if the terms are renegotiated.
- However, we do believe that Greece needs a further restructuring of its debt and we do think the country will ultimately exit the euro - we're just not convinced that Europe is ready for this to happen at the moment.
- If an accident does occur and Greece does leave the euro in the near term, it would have global financial ramifications that could range from severe to catastrophic. ...
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New home sales, prices rise in April
(Reuters) - New single-family home sales rose solidly in April and prices pushed higher, offering further evidence the housing market was turning the corner.
The Commerce Department said on Wednesday sales increased 3.3 percent to a seasonally adjusted 343,000-unit annual rate after a 332,000-unit pace in March.
The report, whose details were fairly bullish, came on the heels of news on Tuesday that home resales hit a two-year high in April and suggested the housing market recovery was gaining traction.
It also highlighted the economy's underlying strength, even though job growth has slowed in recent months. The weak housing market had been the Achilles heel of the economy's recovery from the 2007-09 recession.
"It's encouraging. These are signs that we might be forming a bottom in ...
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Gold sinks over 2 percent; close to technical support
(Reuters) - Gold fell more than 2 percent on Wednesday as a wave of selling triggered by better-than-expected home sales and heightened by despair surrounding the euro zone sent prices toward key technical support levels and wiped out year-to-date gains.
Spot prices dropped as low as $1,534.25 an ounce, down 2.15 percent, by 12:08 p.m. EDT (1608 GMT), flirting with a bear market with a drop of 20 percent from September record highs.
Market players are watching whether gold can hold key technical support at $1,525 an ounce.
The sell-off took bullion back to December lows hit in last week's rampant selling and reignited concerns that a recovery in recent days was a "dead-cat bounce", slang used to describe a small, temporary rally that follows a significant decline.
U.S. gold futures for ...
Title:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 23/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
German bunds rose on worries that European leaders will struggle to resolve the euro zone debt crisis during tonight's European summit. David Schnautz of Commerzbank AG in London thinks that Europe is unlikely to solve key topics and will probably disappoint the market. The 5-year bund lost 5 bp to 0.47 percent at 10:49 GMT after tumbling to 0.461 percent, the lowest since 1990, when Bloomberg began gathering data.
USD
Crude oil futures declined in Asian session on Wednesday as Iran is ready to invite nuclear inspectors, the move that may ease oil import sanctions. Light, sweet crude oil futures for July delivery traded at 91.27 US Dollars per barrel, retreating by 0.63% from the last session's high of 91.72 US Dollars per barrel.
GBP
Today the minutes of the ...
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Global stocks, euro sag on Greece exit worries
(Reuters) - World stocks stumbled and the euro fell to a 21-month low on Wednesday on worries about Greece's possible exit from the euro zone, which would deepen the region's debt crisis and hurt an already fragile global economic recovery.
Each euro zone country will have to prepare a contingency plan for the eventuality of Greece leaving the bloc's currency, three euro zone sources told Reuters, citing an agreement reached by officials.
A scramble for low-risk investments enabled Germany to pay no interest on 5-billion euro worth of new, two-year debt amid the absence of new measures to tackle the region's debt crisis from a European leaders' summit in Brussels.
"The markets are on edge and sensitive to every possible out-of-control scenario coming out of Europe," said Peter Boockvar, ...
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Euro Tanks as Greece Exit Considered More Likely
Euro is tanking today, heading lower as speculation about a Greek exit of the eurozone increases. Indeed, some think that there is a real threat for Greek withdrawal — and that such a withdrawal could prompt a domino effect that includes Spain and Italy later. Worries about what’s next for the eurozone are sending the 17-nation currency down across the board.
Recently, former Greek Prime Minister Lucas Papademos insisted that a Greek withdrawal from the eurozone is a very real threat, even as he tried to encourage Greek citizens to accept painful austerity measures. Concerns that Greece will be unable to remain in the eurozone are on the rise. Worries are triggering fears of a domino effect as well. Once the first country leaves the eurozone, it becomes easier for other countries to bail ...
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Bank of Japan Inaction Helps Yen
The Bank of Japan decided against taking any more action to ease at this time, and that is helping the Japanese yen. Forex traders had been expecting the Bank of Japan to ease further, in an attempt to keep the yen weak, but the BOJ offered something of a surprise following the recent downgrade by Fitch.
Citing faster economic growth, Bank of Japan officials decided to forgo additional easing measures during the most recent BOJ policy meeting. Leaders insist that public investment has increased, along with private consumption. This situation has resulted in the BOJ deciding that further easing in an attempt to stimulate the economy is not needed.
Without the specter of more easing (at least for now), Forex traders feel a little more confident about buying the yen. The yen has ...
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Gold resumes its drop before EU summit
Gold resumed its drop before the carefully watched EU summit which is expected to show discrepancy between European leaders amid concerns Greece amid exit the euro bloc.
The main highlight of the day is the informal EU summit that will tackle euro area fiscal problems, where probably the meeting would show disagreement between Germany and France over introducing Eurobonds.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel said on Monday she will not be shy to reject Hollande`s idea of introducing Eurobonds to continue its rejection to the common bonds idea which is also favored by Italy, Belgium, Luxembourg and peripheral countries.
Thus, with the debt crisis intensifying gold is predicted to face more downside pressure after losing its safe-have characteristic for the dollar.
Yesterday, the OECD ...
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Risky trade getting hammered
Higher yielders remained under pressure as uncertainty continues to surround markets. The lack of assurance of an Imperative action on Greece from the euro leaders in their informal summit today makes things further vague for the destiny of the risky trade. While markets lack a conclusive expectation for the outcome of the summit majors look skeptical around key support levels.
During a teleconference earlier today, the Eurogroup Working Group (EWG); which consists of the officials preparing the meetings of finance minister, and form the board of the ESF as well, agreed that euro zone countries must consider and prepare for the consequences of a Greece exit. The move could have further negative impact on the common currency.
While Later today, the finance ministers are expected to unveil ...
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