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Ecb Is Also Up On ThursdayTitle:
European Market Update : 23/05/2012
Euro hits fresh 2012 lows ahead of informal summit; More reports of an ECB contingency plan in the works
Economic Data
(GR) Greece Mar Current Account: -€2.1B v €1.1B prior
(NL) Netherlands Mar Consumer Spending Y/Y: % v -1.3% prior
(SE) Sweden Apr Unemployment Rate: % v 7.8%e
(EU) Euro Zone Apr Current Account: +€7.5B v -€5.6B prior; Current Account Seasonally Adj: +€7.5B v -€1.2B prior
(IT) Italy May Consumer Confidence: 86.5 v 89.5e (lowest reading on record after series began in 1996))
(ZA) South Africa Apr CPI (all items) M/M: 0.4% v 0.5%e; Y/Y: % v 6.2%e
(TW) Taiwan Apr Industrial Production Y/Y: -2.3% v -1.7%e; Commercial Sales Y/Y: -2.4% v -0.9% prior
(UK) Apr Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel M/M: -1.0% v -0.7%e; Y/Y: -0.3% v +0.7%e
(UK) Apr Retail Sales with Auto Fuel M/M: -0.8% ...
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EUR/USD Rebound On Profit Taking
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: limited profit taking on core bond markets
- Global core bond markets fell prey to some profit taking in a thin, dull trading session. However, given the strength of equities, bond losses were very limited and occurred at the onset of trading. Today, the eco calendar remains thin and the profit taking might go some further in the run-up to tomorrow's informal EU Summit.
- Currencies EUR/USD rebound on profit taking
- The correction in EUR/USD was prolonged, but the euro gains were modest and mostly technical in nature. The UK inflation report is the eye-catcher of the day as it may influence sterling. However, overall trading might again be thin ahead of tomorrow's euro Summit.
The Sunrise Headlines
- US Equities rose for a second ...
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Treasury prices fall as G8 leaders back Greece in euro zone
(Reuters) - Treasuries prices fell slightly on Monday after world leaders over the weekend backed keeping Greece in the euro zone, easing some demand for safe haven U.S. debt, and as $99 billion in new Treasuries supply scheduled for this week was seen weighing on prices.
A summit of the Group of 8 leading industrialized nations on Saturday said they had an interest in having Greece stay in the euro zone and said they would balance European austerity in the region with U.S. style-stimulus seen as vital to healing ailing euro-zone economies.
Investors are looking to the European Central Bank for signs that the central bank will offer new long-term loans as bank funding stresses in the region again rise, though the ECB is not expected to act unless conditions in the worsen.
"There was a ...
Title:
Euro Succeeds Short Squeeze
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Global core bonds take a breather
- Investors remained mostly sidelined in an uneventful session on Friday. The G-8 meeting stressed the need for growth, besides fiscal consolidation and sees Greece staying inside EMU. This shouldn’t surprise markets today. With a razor thin calendar, trading might start the week in a lackluster mode.
- Currencies: Euro succeeds short squeeze
- On Friday, the decline of the euro halted and EUR/USD succeeded a cautious rebound, even as uncertainty on the EMU debt crisis persisted. Technical considerations will also dominate trading today as the G8 meeting provided no high profile measures to address the debt crisis.
The Sunrise Headlines
- US Equities rose for a second consecutive session on ...
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Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary : 19/05/2012
U.S. Review
To QE3 or Not To QE3: That is the Question
- Some market participants are beginning to speculate about another round of quantitative easing. Although recent growth indicators have not been particularly stellar, the economy is still growing. Moreover, core CPI inflation in the neighborhood of 2 percent means that the threshold for more QE is relatively high.
- Overall, indicators were positive during the week. Housing starts increased by 2.6 percent in April, the Empire Manufacturing index improved to 17.09 in May from a 6.56 print in April and retail sales printed a 0.1 percent increase in April, in line with expectations.
To QE3 or Not To QE3: That is the Question
QE3 seems to have more lives that a cat; it comes back into the forefront of the U.S. economy discussion ...
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Euro zone fears propel dollar, global shares in red for year
The U.S. dollar climbed, world shares fell and German borrowing costs hit record lows on Friday as a deepening Spanish banking crisis, uncertainty about Greece's future in the euro zone and lackluster U.S. data provoked a rush for safe-haven assets.
World stocks, as measured by the MSCI index, .MIWD00000PUS dropped 0.85 percent and are now below where they began the year, having relinquished all their first quarter gains which were fuelled by the European Central Bank's creation of more than a trillion euros of three-year money.
That rally is now a distant memory as an ugly week for stock markets looked likely to end even uglier.
Across the board, riskier assets from commodities such as gold and oil and currencies like the euro and the Australian dollar were all heading for big weekly ...
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European shares drop on worries from Greece and Spain
European shares dropped by midday trading on Thursday as worries from Greece and Spain damped investors` risk appetite.
In Greece, a new caretaker government was sworn on Thursday to lead the country in the current interim period till holding a second parliamentary election on June 17.
Meanwhile, there are speculations Greece may leave the euro bloc which prompted ECB President to announce yesterday that he strongly advocates the stay of Greece in the European monetary union, yet the ECB halted lending to insolvent Greek banks temporarily to limit risk.
As of 06:55 EST, STOXX EUROPE 600 slipped 0.79% to record 242.47 points. Financials led the decline with a drop of 1.98%, followed by Basic Materials which recorded 1.22% slide.
The largest losses were recorded by Bankia as its ...
Title:
Global shares, euro hit as political risks pile up
Uncertainty over the impact of a potential Greek exit from the euro on the debt-laden 17-nation currency bloc drove a rush to safety by investors on Monday, sending the single currency to near four month lows and European shares down 1.5 percent.
Problematic negotiations on forming a new Greek government have increased the chances it will be unable to meet the conditions of its bailout deal, and a worsening fiscal position in Spain has added to the sense of crisis facing the region.
The list of political risks facing the euro area grew on Sunday when German Chancellor Angela Merkel's conservatives suffered a crushing defeat in an election in Germany's most populous state.
"Selling rallies in risk assets seems the best way to make money in most asset classes given the event risk is still ...
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Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 14/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"Equity markets are driven by two things: fundamentals and sentiment."
- Lorne Baring, managing director at B Capital SA
European stocks climbed on Friday after a report showed U.S. consumer confidence increased to the highest level in four years in May.
USD
"Confidence has been boosted by lower gasoline prices."
- Paul Dales, a senior economist at Capital Economics Ltd.
U.S. consumer confidence rose by more than expected in May as consumers became more optimistic on the outlook of the country's economy.
GBP
"The April producer price data … do little overall to reduce the uncertainty as to whether or not the Bank of England will eventually do more Quantitative Easing."
- Howard Archer, an economist at HIS Global Insight
U.K. producer prices rose by more than ...
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