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EcbTitle:
Better Data Drives Risk On, Fed QE3 Off
The Week Ahead
Highlights
Better data drives risk on, Fed QE3 off
Still waiting on a Greek debt deal
Central banks' decisions on tap
Better data drives risk on, Fed QE3 off
The past week ended with a string of better-than-expected data releases from key major economies, suggesting the global recovery may avoid a more worrisome downturn. Mostly better than expected PMI's from Europe, UK, China and the US were supplemented on Friday by a much stronger US employment report than was ...
Title:
Central Banks - Still Easing for Now
Economic Data Analysis
Central Banks - Still Easing for Now
Ongoing negotiations over Greek bail out, with ECB standing pat ahead of next LTRO.
MPC likely to continue QE with further £50bn, but difficult judgements lie ahead.
RBA to cut rates this week; easing Chinese inflation pressures could herald PBoC loosening.
Another week closes with the promise of a deal on the Greek PSI debt swap. The urgency for such a deal is rising with a hard deadline of 13 February approaching. The ...
Title:
Weekly Focus: The Clouds are Lifting a Bit
Market movers ahead
Following a week of improved economic indicators, we are headed for a light data calendar, with consumer confidence the most interesting data in the US in the coming week.
However, we expect a Greek PSI deal to be struck very soon, so we might know more about the losses that investors will suffer on their holdings of Greek debt as early as Monday.
The ECB will probably take some comfort from the slightly brighter economic outlook but leave rates as they are.
...
Title:
Central bank liquidity tap to stay open
After a blockbuster January for both equities and bonds - rallies that caught many in the market by surprise - investors will be paying keen attention to the world's central banks in the coming week for signs of continued easy money.
They will also be closely watching negotiations over a second bailout deal for Greece, while Chinese data on trade and inflation and a heavy week of corporate earnings all lie ahead.
Investors are having to adjust quickly to signs that global economic growth, ...
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"Vultures" identify Portuguese debt as next target
Investors known for snapping up distressed debt on the cheap have identified Portugal as their next target but some of these so-called "vultures" say they will wait until a Greek bond swap deal is completed before striking.
Many traditional bond investors, such as funds that follow ratings benchmarks, were forced to sell Portuguese debt after it was downgraded to "junk" by Standard & Poor's last month.
Others, including some banks, simply fled the volatile market fearing a debt restructuring ...
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Nervous markets eye U.S. jobs report, Greece
Caution ahead of U.S. jobs numbers kept a lid on gains for stock markets on Friday after an optimistic start to the year that has added more than 7 percent to global company values.
Sentiment was underpinned by data that hinted the euro zone may yet avoid recession, boosting European shares, and that China has room to ease monetary policy.
The U.S. nonfarm payrolls report will be a key catalyst as strong data would fuel growing hopes the global economy is on a firm recovery path, while ...
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Interest in USDJPY is intensifying
FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK at 0800 GMT (EDT +0400)
USD
Radio silence out of Europe has kept investors in wait-and-see mode for yet another overnight session. However, interest in USDJPY is intensifying given the pair is hovering above key levels and US payrolls is just hours away. As far as economic data goes, the yen shows greatest sensitivity to the US employment situation, and a weak report later would likely give the yen another push higher. Extremely weak data might even be enough to trigger a ...
Title:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 02/02/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
EUR
The ECB is expected to reject helping to lessen Greek debt load until private creditors and government reach an agreement. Greek investors are boosting pressure on ECB to support the debt swap, however, the bank's officials are awaiting for the final agreement before disclosing ECB strategy which may contain sacrificing profits from Greece's bonds.
USD
Head of Fed Ben Bernanke claims that the US economy is on the path towards recovery while still remaining ...
Title:
Analysis: Bond benchmarks put investors in undue danger
Investors are needlessly exposing themselves to huge potential losses by defying two golden rules for making money through bonds - lend more to those who will pay on time in full and less to those already saturated in debt.
Traditional fixed income benchmarks that allocate investment weight based on the volume of a country's debts have nurtured what some see as a dangerous conviction that sovereign borrowers who owe the most are the safest to lend to.
In a clarion call to investors the same ...
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