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Earnings Hit From The EuroTitle:
European Market Update : 21/05/2012
Spain's banking sector said to be calling on market regulator for renewed ban on short-selling
Economic Data
(EU) ECB: €809M borrowed in overnight loan facility €839M prior; €762.4B parked in deposit facility v €785.1B prior
(JP) Japan Apr Nationwide Dept. Sales Y/Y: 1.3% v 14.1% prior; Tokyo Dept. Store Sales Y/Y: 6.7% v 26.7% prior
(IN) India Apr CPI Y/Y: 10.4% v 9.4% prior
(DE) Germany Apr Producer Prices M/M: 0.2% v 0.3%e; Y/Y: 2.4% v 2.5%e
(HU) Hungary Mar Avg Gross Wages Y/Y: 2.7% v 6.5%e v 6.9% prior
(RU) Russia Narrow Money Supply w/e May 14th (RUB): 6.93T v 6.88T prior
(ES) Spain Central Bank (BOS): Mar Bad Loan Ratio at 8.37% v 8.16% prior; - Lending -3.1% y/ym, Deposits -4.2% y/y
(IT) Italy Mar Industrial Orders M/M: 3.5% v 1.0%e; Y/Y: -14.3% v -13.2% prior
(IT) Italy ...
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Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary : 19/05/2012
U.S. Review
To QE3 or Not To QE3: That is the Question
- Some market participants are beginning to speculate about another round of quantitative easing. Although recent growth indicators have not been particularly stellar, the economy is still growing. Moreover, core CPI inflation in the neighborhood of 2 percent means that the threshold for more QE is relatively high.
- Overall, indicators were positive during the week. Housing starts increased by 2.6 percent in April, the Empire Manufacturing index improved to 17.09 in May from a 6.56 print in April and retail sales printed a 0.1 percent increase in April, in line with expectations.
To QE3 or Not To QE3: That is the Question
QE3 seems to have more lives that a cat; it comes back into the forefront of the U.S. economy discussion ...
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Anxious investors send S&P lower for fifth day
U.S. stocks hit a four-month low on Thursday as rising Spanish bond yields increased investor anxiety over that country's banks and another round of weak data undermined hopes for U.S. economic recovery.
Growing worries over developments in the euro zone and lackluster economic data pushed the S&P's losing streak to five consecutive days. The index, which closed at a level not seen since mid-January, has now relinquished more than half of its gains from the first quarter.
"There is not a lot of interest in the equity market," said Jason Weisberg, managing director at Seaport Securities Corp in New York. "The overhang with Europe is so heavy, people are tired of playing whack-a-mole, and their portfolios are the mole."
The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI dropped 156.06 points, or 1.24 ...
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S&P on track for 5th straight day of losses
Stocks fell on Thursday, with the S&P on track for a fifth straight day of declines as weak economic data spooked investors already concerned about the ongoing situation in Europe.
Both the S&P and the Nasdaq fell as much as 1 percent, with the Nasdaq's losses wider as large-cap tech shares fell.
A gauge of future U.S. economic activity fell in April for the first time in seven months and the Philadelphia Fed business conditions index hit its lowest since September, compounding worries about a struggling economic recovery.
Spain's El Mundo newspaper reported that customers at troubled Spanish lender Bankia had withdrawn more than 1 billion euros over the past week, though the Spanish government denied the report. Bankia shares (BKIA.MC) fell 14 percent after sliding as much as 30 ...
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Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 05/17/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"We expect euro-region inflation to normalize in 2013"
- Michael Schubert, an economist at Commerzbank AG
Inflation in the seventeen nation bloc eased to 2.6 per cent in March from 2.7 per cent the previous month, said the European Union’s statistics office in Luxembourg on Wednesday.
USD
"Uncertainty about Greece and the effects a potential exit out of the euro would have on Europe, the global economy and the financial system in general is driving investors out of stocks into safe havens"
- Markus Huber, head of German sales trading at ETX Capital
The Standard & Poor's 500 lost 0.44%, or 5.86 points, to 1,324.80. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined by 0.26%, or 33.45 points, to 12,598.55.
GBP
Unemployment figures are a "welcome step in the right ...
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BHP chairman sees commodity markets cooling further
BHP Billiton, the world's biggest miner, said it expects commodity markets to cool further and that investors had lost confidence in the longer-term health of the global economy.
The Reuters-Jefferies CRB index .CRB, a closely followed indicator for commodities, has slid more than 11 percent since hitting a five-month peak in late February amid a broader sell-off in financial markets driven by concerns about the European debt crisis.
"The tail winds of high commodity prices have contributed to record growth in the sector. Now we have a period where those tail winds are moderating and we expect further easing over time," Chairman Jacques Nasser said in a speech to a business lunch in Sydney.
The sell-off has not yet knocked the confidence or spending plans of BHP, which is less than one ...
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Weak Outlook for Australia
Forex News and Events:
The S&P GSCI Index reversed its 2011 gains in the last six consecutive trading sessions. As a matter of fact, the index tracking 24 commodities broke down 7.6% from a high of 684.15 on April 30th to a more than four-month low low of 634.25 during yesterday’s trade session. This downturn in commodity prices can be explained on the one hand by headlines from the Euro area, as markets seem to be pricing in a second round of elections in Greece as well as a probable EU exit. On the other hand, the marked slowdown of commodity-intensive economies such as China -see Newsletter May 14- pushed prices lower in light of atrophied demand and lower infrastructure investments. From the foreign exchange perspective, the Australian dollar having experienced a 34% appreciation ...
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Stock index futures signal lower start
U.S. stock index futures pointed to a lower open on Wall Street on Monday, with S&P 500 futures down 1 percent and contracts for the Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 down 0.9 percent at 04:53 a.m. EDT (0853 GMT).
European shares hit new four-month lows on Monday as Greece's failure to form a government heightened fears it could quit the euro zone, while signs that China was struggling to shore up its economy cast a shadow on global growth prospects.
Japan's Nikkei .N225 share average inched higher on Monday to end a three-day losing streak.
JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N) lost $15 billion in market value and a notch in its credit ratings on Friday while a chorus of regulators and politicians reacted to its surprise $2 billion trading loss by demanding stiffer oversight for the banking industry.
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Wall Street rises at the end of a soft week
Stocks rose on Friday after a strong outlook from chipmaker Nvidia and surprisingly robust consumer confidence offset a slide in bank shares after disclosures of huge trading losses at JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPMorgan (JPM.N) said it lost at least $2 billion from a failed hedging strategy. The Dow component was down 7.3 percent at $37.77 and weighed on the entire sector.
Nvidia Corp (NVDA.O) rose 8.4 percent to $13.46 after reporting adjusted first-quarter earnings that beat expectations. The stock boosted the Nasdaq and was the S&P 500's top percentage gainer.
U.S. consumer sentiment rose to its highest in more than four years in early May as Americans remained upbeat about the job market. The survey was a welcome sign amid worries that the economic recovery may be slowing down.
"It sort ...
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