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Dollar On Increasing GrowthTitle:
YouTradeFX Weekly Market Analysis : 14/05/2012
Consumer sentiment in the U.S. rose to 77.8 in May from the final April reading of 76.4, according to a report released by Reuters and the University of Michigan on Friday. While, the Labor Department said on Friday that its producer price index fell by 0.2 percent in April. According to Bloomberg news, Sales at U.S. retailers probably slowed in April as the weather turned more seasonable and consumers took a breather following a pre-Easter holiday buying spree, economists said before a report this week. The projected 0.2 percent gain in purchases would follow a 0.8 percent advance in March, according to the median forecast of 68 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News ahead of Commerce Department figures on May 15. Events in the U.S, likely to affect the markets this week are: Monday; a ...
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The Bank of England's Next Move
The Week Ahead
■The Bank of England's next move
■Is this the beginning of the end for the Eurozone?
■Fed officials reluctant to signal more easing
■Broader risk environment outweighs Japanese rhetoric
The Bank of England's next move
The BOE kept rates on hold when it concluded its May meeting last week; it also allowed the asset purchase program to come to an end. Since the UK slipped back into recession in Q1 2012 and the growth figures at the start of the second quarter have continued to look weak, the decision to hold interest rates was mostly down to the sticky outlook for inflation. The attention now turns to Wednesday's Inflation Report.
The focus will be on the Bank's growth and inflation forecasts. The growth forecasts are likely to be revised lower. Even ...
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Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 11/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"The overall manufacturing trend remains weak."
- Pierre-Olivier Beffy, chief economist at Exane BNP Paribas
French industrial production fell in March, said the national statistics office Insee on Thursday. Output contracted 0.9 per cent from February, when it gained 0.2 per cent.
USD
"It’s hard to get nervous that imports are rising."
- Dean Maki, chief U.S. economist at Barclays Capital Inc.
The number of Americans claiming for unemployment benefits fell to 367,000 in the week ended May 5 from 368,000 the week before, said the Department of Labor on Thursday.
GBP
"Our forecast is that they are done with QE, but you can’t rule out more later this year."
- Ross Walker, an economist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc
The Bank of England kept rates on hold ...
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JP Morgan and China’s inflation data led major currencies’ movements
Major currencies witnessed a significant decline before the start of the Asian session today after JP Morgan (the largest investment bank in the United States by assets) announced a of $ 2 billion loss, which drove investors to abandon higher risky assets pushing the major currencies down verses the greenback.
Australian dollar has lost most of its previous against the US dollar on Thursday after JP Morgan earnings announcement to start the Asian session with a limited trading; the AUD/USD pair is currently trading at 1.0064 level, recording its highest level at 1.0081 and the lowest at 1.0042.
The EUR/USD pair completed its downside movement, as the euro seemed to be the most affected currency by the news to fell during the Asian session recording its lowest level at 1.2904 after ...
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Gold gains as euro lifts from 3-1/2 month low
Gold rose on Thursday after touching a four-month low in the previous session, as an uptick in the euro after Spain moved to clean up its banks and Europe's bailout fund approved a key payment to Greece took some pressure off prices.
While the euro zone debt crisis simmers, moves to address some of its problems temporarily improve investor appetite for assets seen as higher risk, like stocks and commodities, as well as the single currency.
Spot gold was up 0.4 percent at $1,597.33 an ounce at 09.42 a.m. EDT, after falling as low as $1,579.30 an ounce on Wednesday, its weakest since early January. U.S. gold futures for June delivery were up $3.80 an ounce at $1,597.90.
Prices have fallen 3 percent this week as concerns over the euro zone debt crisis pressured the euro and other risk ...
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Gold steadies as euro lifts from 3-1/2 month low
(Reuters) - Gold steadied in Europe on Thursday after falling to a four-month low in the previous session, as an uptick in the euro after Spain moved to clean up its banks and Europe's bailout fund approved a key payment to Greece took some pressure off prices.
While the euro zone debt crisis is continuing to simmer, moves to address some of its problems are improving appetite for assets seen as higher risk, like stocks and commodities, as well as the single currency.
Spot gold was at $1,589.40 an ounce at 05.26 a.m. EDT against $1,590.45 late on Wednesday, when it fell as low as $1,579.30 an ounce, its weakest since early January.
Prices have fallen 3 percent this week as concerns over the euro zone debt crisis pressured the euro and other risk assets. While investors bought gold as a ...
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Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 10/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"The real concern isn’t about Greece, it’s about the euro and whether it breaks up -- that is key."
- Mark Tinker, a fund manager at AXA Framlington Investment EUR Management
European stocks declined on Wednesday as investors awaited resolution of Greek coalition talks and yields on Spanish 10-year bonds rose above 6 per cent.
USD
"Certainly as a result of the elections in Greece, the odds of a default and an exit from the euro have increased."
- James Dunigan, chief investment officer for PNC Wealth Management
U.S. wholesale inventories rose in March at a slowest pace since November, Commerce Department data showed on Wednesday.
GBP
"Consumers, struggling to balance their household budgets, remain reluctant to spend..."
- Stephen Robertson, BRC director ...
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Job-creating foreign investment in U.S. lags
(Reuters) - Foreign investment in the United States is ebbing and beefing it up is critical for economic growth as each job at a foreign company's U.S. unit supports three others, the Organization for International Investment said on Thursday.
A complex U.S. tax code and increasing global competition are curbing business development here by foreign companies. That trend is worrisome because foreign firms generally pay salaries to U.S. workers that exceed the industry average. This type of foreign investment, in turn, drives up employment and consumer spending.
"The global investment pie around the world has been getting larger, but our slice of that pie has been getting smaller as well as the share of GDP that foreign investment in the U.S. represents," Nancy McLernon, president and ...
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Risk Aversion Boosts the USD, JPY
USD trading broadly higher (except against the JPY) as the Greek political impasse is raises concerns and increases risk aversion. The IMF remained firm saying that Greece must deliver necessary economic reforms and that it is not acceptable for the country to seek laxer loan terms. German officials are speaking out as well calling the latest developments ‘very worrying' and saying that Greeks must decide whether or not they want to stay in the euro. It is another light day for economic data in the US with weekly mortgage applications rising by +1.7% and March wholesale inventories due out at 1000ET. UST yields continues their descent across the curve with the 10-year yield falling below the 1.80% level as a result of both increased risk aversion and increased speculation of QE3. The ...
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