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Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 24/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
European stocks returned to growth, despite services and manufacturing purchasing managers indices across Europe and German business confidence shrank more than expected. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index added 1.0 percent to 241.81. Cable & Wireless Communications Plc soared 19 percent. Sonova Holding AG gained 2.5 percent. Bayer AG declined 1.1 percent. U.S. futures and Asian stock little changed. S&P 500 futures gained 0.3 percent, MSCI Asia Pacific index added 0.1 percent.
USD
The US Dollar followed bullish trend on Thursday as Germany disapproves issuance of Eurobonds that may help to ease Greek debt burden. Traders are also cautions ahead of Euro Zone's manufacturing data release due later today. The US Dollar index, which tracks the greenback's performance ...
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U.S shares fluctuated in the opening
The world`s leading economy saw its shares fluctuating throughout the opening session as mixed sentiments; fears and hopes, were spread on a local scale with on one hand orders for business equipment dropped for a second month and on the other hand Hewlett-Packard Co. gained significantly.
In fact Hewlett-Packard climbed 4.8 percent as the personal-computer maker announced plans to slice its workforce by 27,000 and reported quarterly sales and profit that topped estimates.
Facebook Inc. rose 1.9 percent, poised for a second day of gains, after tumbling 19 percent earlier this week. While that Tiffany & Co. dropped 7.6 percent as the worlds second-largest luxury jewelry retailer cut its full-year profit and sales forecasts.
The Dollar index which measures the performance of the U.S. ...
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Weaker euro zone economy sends dollar higher
(Reuters) - The U.S. dollar climbed to a 20-month high and safe-haven German bonds set record low yields, after data showed Europe's economic woes intensifying as business confidence is undercut by talk of a Greek exit and slow progress in tackling the debt crisis.
Private-sector factory activity in China also faltered in May as demand for exports fell, in a worrying sign the impact of the euro zone crisis could be undermining the global economic recovery. Europe is China's largest export market.
But U.S. stock index futures have edged higher as investors remain hopeful that pending data on durable goods orders and initial jobless claims will show the world's largest economy is staying on track for recovery.
The slowdown in economic activity in Europe's powerhouse Germany sent the euro ...
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EUR/USD Falls to 21-Month Low
The EUR/USD fell as low as 1.2614 yesterday, a 21-month low, after investors grew increasingly concerned regarding Greece's fate in the euro-zone and shifted their funds to safe-haven assets. The currency pair staged a mild upward correction later in the day, eventually stabilizing around the 1.2655 level. Turning to today, euro traders will want to pay attention to several potentially significant news events. Specifically, the German Manufacturing PMI and Ifo Business Climate may help the euro recoup some of yesterday's losses if they come in above expectations.
Economic News
USD - Dollar Sees Significant Gains amid Risk Aversion
The US dollar moved up against several of its main currency rivals yesterday, as ongoing fears regarding Greece's future in the euro-zone have led to risk ...
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Gold hovers about $1,560 an ounce; Greece fear persists
(Reuters) - Gold hovered around $1,560 an ounce on Thursday, and remained on shaky ground as worries about Greece and the euro zone still dominated market sentiment after a European Union summit yielded few practical steps to manage the debt crisis.
FUNDAMENTALS
* Spot gold edged down 0.1 percent to $1,559.30 an ounce by 0049 GMT, after dropping to $1,533.41 in the previous session.
* U.S. gold gained 0.7 percent to $1,559.30.
* European Union leaders, advised by senior officials to prepare contingency plans in case Greece decides to quit the single currency, urged the country to stay the course on austerity and complete the reforms demanded under its bailout program.
* Spain announced a 9-billion-euro ($11 billion) bailout for troubled lender Bankia on Wednesday, while also seeking ...
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CAD Reaches Four-Month Low vs. USD
The Canadian dollar slipped to the four-month low against its US counterpart and the three-month low versus the Japanese yen. The currency gained against the euro and the Australian dollar.
Interestingly enough, traders were scared by the meeting of European chief in Brussels tonight. Previously, the European Union summits were a source of optimism for market participants, but it looks like now people just get tired from empty promises and do not believe that anything good would come out from the meeting. Speculators are still worried that Greek elections on June 17 may result in an exit of the country from the eurozone.
Commodities taken a beating and fell on negative market sentiment. The Standard & Poors GSCI Index, which tracks 24 commodities, fell 1.9 percent. It is not a surprise ...
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Euro falls to almost two-year low on Greek fears
(Reuters) - The euro slumped to its weakest level against the dollar in nearly two years on Wednesday on doubts a meeting of European leaders would calm fears of a disorderly Greek exit from the euro zone.
Investors piled money into safe-haven instruments, driving the U.S. dollar index to its strongest since September 2010. The yen, which also tends to perform well during times of stress, hit its highest level since February against the euro.
Euro zone officials have told members of the currency area to prepare contingency plans in case Greece quits the bloc, an eventuality which Germany's central bank said would be testing but "manageable," three officials told Reuters.
An informal summit of European Union leaders on Wednesday is expected to discuss growth-boosting measures and the ...
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Greek Debt Crisis: Answers to Frequently Asked Questions
Highlights
- An acceleration in deposit withdrawals, combined with the prospect of an anti-austerity party winning the next election, has brought to the fore concerns about a potential Greek exit from the euro zone.
- Our base case assumption is that under the most likely scenario, the Greek election will lead to a government that sticks to an EU/IMF program, even if the terms are renegotiated.
- However, we do believe that Greece needs a further restructuring of its debt and we do think the country will ultimately exit the euro - we're just not convinced that Europe is ready for this to happen at the moment.
- If an accident does occur and Greece does leave the euro in the near term, it would have global financial ramifications that could range from severe to catastrophic. ...
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European Market Update : 23/05/2012
Euro hits fresh 2012 lows ahead of informal summit; More reports of an ECB contingency plan in the works
Economic Data
(GR) Greece Mar Current Account: -2.1B v 1.1B prior
(NL) Netherlands Mar Consumer Spending Y/Y: % v -1.3% prior
(SE) Sweden Apr Unemployment Rate: % v 7.8%e
(EU) Euro Zone Apr Current Account: +7.5B v -5.6B prior; Current Account Seasonally Adj: +7.5B v -1.2B prior
(IT) Italy May Consumer Confidence: 86.5 v 89.5e (lowest reading on record after series began in 1996))
(ZA) South Africa Apr CPI (all items) M/M: 0.4% v 0.5%e; Y/Y: % v 6.2%e
(TW) Taiwan Apr Industrial Production Y/Y: -2.3% v -1.7%e; Commercial Sales Y/Y: -2.4% v -0.9% prior
(UK) Apr Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel M/M: -1.0% v -0.7%e; Y/Y: -0.3% v +0.7%e
(UK) Apr Retail Sales with Auto Fuel M/M: -0.8% ...
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