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Day In Europe Is The MinimumTitle:
EUR/USD Breaks 1.26 Level, Traders Running from Euro
The euro fell below the 1.26 level against the US dollar, reaching lowest level since July 2010. That level was considered to provide strong support to the shared 17-nation currency and, now that the support line is broken, traders are afraid that the currency would spiral down to even lower price.
The members of the European Union are meeting at summit today, but most analysts and traders are pessimistic about the outcome of the meeting. Germany still rejects the implementation of eurobonds even as other countries, including France, support the idea. Herman Van Rompuy, President of the European Council, claimed that the European financial crisis will be discussed at tonight’s meeting in Brussels only “at the very end”.
The Bundesbank stated that a Greek exit “would be significant but ...
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U.S. Stock Futures Slip on CBO Warning, Greek-Exit Fears
Wall Street may stretch the slide that started at the final hour of trading yesterday, as worries grew that Greece will soon leave the shared currency and the Congressional Budget Office warned the economy would tip back into recession if needed budget measures aren`t taken before year-end.
As of 16:12 a.m. in New York time, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures expiring June 12 lost 0.65 percent to 12,395, Standard & Poor`s 500 Index futures fell 0.72 percent, and NASDAQ 100 futures decreased 0.77 percent to 2,515.50.
The CBO yesterday warned the U.S. economy would be pulled back into recession next year if Congress fails to address a so-called "fiscal cliff" - a series of policies set to take effect in January that would take more than $500 billion out of the economy in 2013 alone.
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Pound Drops After BoE Releases Minutes of Monetary Policy Meeting
The Great Britain pound dropped today, reaching the lowest level in a month against the US dollar and the lowest in two months versus the Japanese yen, after the minutes of the central bank’s monetary policy meeting were released.
The minutes showed that the policy makers of the Bank of England were considering additional stimulus. They cited risks associated with the European crisis as threats to the economy. Additionally, uncertain prospects for economic growth were also considered a danger:
Output remained significantly below its pre-crisis trend and persistently weak growth might impair the future supply capacity of the economy through hysteretic effects: that risk could be attenuated by a more aggressive loosening of policy in the near term.
Most members of the Monetary Policy ...
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Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 05/18/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Moody's reduced credit rating of 16 Span's banks, citing a rise in bad debts in the country's financial sector and overall deterioration of the economic environment. The decision came after shares of Bankia lost another 14%. The largest banks such as Banco Santander and BBVA were downgraded while ten out of 17 banks were put on negative watch, implying that further credit rating cuts are possible.
USD
As the U.S. dollar gets stronger, investors are concerned that aggravating debt crisis in Europe will reduce demand for oil. Therefore, oil shows decline for a third week. Crude oil lost 25 cents yesterday and reached the 6-month low of $92.56. Brent oil for July delivery slid 0.5 percent to finish at $106.99.
GBP
Following a downgrade of 16 Spanish banks, ...
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Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 05/17/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Mario Draghi, the ECB President, insisted on Greece to stay in the Euro bloc during his public speech on Wednesday regarding the possibility of Greece withdrawal from the Eurozone. Nevertheless, according to him, the ECB will stick to its anti-inflation mandate. The ECB President's comments came after Irish and Belgian central banks reported that Greek exit would not be disastrous for the Eurozone.
USD
Jobless claims in the U.S. didn't live up to the expectations that it will decrease by 5K and remained unchanged, at 370K level, in the week from 6th to 12th of May. Amount of people on rolling unemployment claims increased by around 18K while the number of people on prolonged payments decreased by around 45K. 31 out of 52 states or territory's reported ...
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Brazilian Real Rises, Stays Near 2 per Dollar
The Brazilian real rose today, but stayed near the 2 per dollar level as the impact of the European crisis on currencies of emerging markets sapped strength of the Brazilian currency.
The real is suffering from risk aversion sentiment among speculators and Brazilian policy makers are not likely to support the currency. On the contrary, the government may be glad to see a weaker currency as President Dilma Rousseff said that he considers the real “extremely overvalued”. Alfredo Barbutti, an economist at Liquidez DTVM Ltda., summarized:
Everything is favoring the depreciation of the real. The government supports it, and there’s an environment of crisis abroad.
USD/BRL fell from 2.0015 to 1.9967 as of 14:52 GMT today. The daily minimum was 1.9930 and the maximum was 2.0064.
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NZ Dollar Near This Year’s Low
The New Zealand dollar erased its earlier gains today as the potential Greece’s exit from the eurozone continued to spoil mood of Forex market participants. The currency traded near the lowest level this year.
Greece faces a new election on June 17 and traders are worried that it may result in the country leaving the euro-union. The announcement of the European Central Bank that it stopped lending to some Greek banks was not helping market’s mood either. Earlier, the kiwi rallied on speculations that recent losses were excessive. ANZ National Bank reported that the number of job advertisements fell 2 percent in April, following the March’s 0.9 percent decline.
NZD/USD fell from 0.7642 to 0.7634 as of 12:27 GMT today, near yesterday’s low of 0.7623, which was the lowest level since ...
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Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 05/16/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Stoxx Europe 600 index have dropped for third consecutive day and reached the lowest level since the start of this year as specialists speculate that elections in Greece could take place as early as 10 of June. The index lost 0.5% of its value by noon in London and around 10% from its peak this year in mid-March.
USD
Facebook increases the share offering by 25% to 421.2M shares to collect near $16B. At the offering's price of $34-$38 per share Facebook is rushing towards the largest technology IPO in the history. Production of utilities, mines and factory's in the U.S. surpassed expected 0.6% level and increased by 1.1% in April.
GBP
The number of unemployed people for January-March decreased to 2.63 million, 45,000 down on the quarter, the Office for ...
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Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 05/15/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Investors battered European stocks, dumped the bonds of Spain and Italy, and bid the euro down against the dollar Monday after the collapse of weekend coalition talks in Greece edged that country closer to an exit from the euro zone.
USD
Retail sales in the U.S. rose in April at the slowest pace of the year, showing unseasonably mild weather and pre-Easter shopping may have pulled consumers to stores the prior month.
GBP
Governor Mervyn King looks set to leave the door open to more support for the struggling economy when he presents the Bank of England's new economic outlook on Wednesday, which is likely to show a tricky mix of lower growth and higher inflation ahead.
CHF
Swiss stocks lost ground on Monday on concern Greece will exit the Eurozone.
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