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DataTitle:
European Market Update : 23/05/2012
Euro hits fresh 2012 lows ahead of informal summit; More reports of an ECB contingency plan in the works
Economic Data
(GR) Greece Mar Current Account: -€2.1B v €1.1B prior
(NL) Netherlands Mar Consumer Spending Y/Y: % v -1.3% prior
(SE) Sweden Apr Unemployment Rate: % v 7.8%e
(EU) Euro Zone Apr Current Account: +€7.5B v -€5.6B prior; Current Account Seasonally Adj: +€7.5B v -€1.2B prior
(IT) Italy May Consumer Confidence: 86.5 v 89.5e (lowest reading on record after series began in 1996))
(ZA) South Africa Apr CPI (all items) M/M: 0.4% v 0.5%e; Y/Y: % v 6.2%e
(TW) Taiwan Apr Industrial Production Y/Y: -2.3% v -1.7%e; Commercial Sales Y/Y: -2.4% v -0.9% prior
(UK) Apr Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel M/M: -1.0% v -0.7%e; Y/Y: -0.3% v +0.7%e
(UK) Apr Retail Sales with Auto Fuel M/M: -0.8% ...
Title:
Euro Rebound Short-Lived
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Profit taking continued, but now concluded?
- The profit taking on global core bond markets continued in the run-up to tonight's informal EU-Summit. Spanish and Italian spreads decreased significantly but yields remain at elevated levels. Today, the eco calendar is again thin and trading will again be driven by sentiment.
- Currencies: Euro rebound short-lived On
- Tuesday, the euro came again under pressure even as the global context was not that negative. Sentiment on risk was constructive and intra-EMU spreads narrowed, but all this didn't prevent investors to use any upticks in the single currency to further reduce exposure. The key 1.2642/24 support is again coming within reach.
The Sunrise Headlines
- In the final hour of ...
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Oil falls on potential Iran deal, economy concerns
(Reuters) - Oil fell on Wednesday on growing hopes of a deal between Iran and the U.N. nuclear watchdog, which eased fears of oil supply disruption, while concerns over the debt crisis in the euro zone and a slowing Chinese economy weighed on demand.
The U.N.'s International Atomic Energy Agency expects to sign a deal with Iran soon to unblock investigations into suspected work on nuclear bombs in the oil-producing country.
This improved the prospects for talks with Tehran to stop a drift towards conflict.
Brent crude fell $1.39 to $107.02 per barrel. U.S. July crude fell $1.08 to $90.77.
Brent crude oil has fallen from a peak of $128.40 at the start of May and is down 12.9 percent this quarter, its biggest such drop since the fourth quarter of 2008.
Analysts said they believe there ...
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YouTradeFX Daily Market Analysis : 23/05/2012
Fundamental News
Today’s highlights:
BoJ Press Conference (JAP, Tentative)
Retail Sales (MoM) + MPC Meeting Minutes (GB, 09.30 GMT)
Industrial New Orders (MoM) (EUR, Tentative)
CBI Industrial Trends Orders (GB, 11:00 GMT)
Core Retail Sales (MoM) (CAD, 13:30 GMT)
New Home Sales (U.S., 15:00 GMT)
The National Association of Realtors released a report on Tuesday showing a rebound in U.S. existing home sales in the month of April following a decrease in the previous month, sales rose by less than economists had anticipated. NAR said existing home sales rose 3.4 percent to an annual rate of 4.62 million in April from a downwardly revised 4.47 million in March.
Japan’s exports increased by a less-than- estimated 7.9 percent in April from a year earlier, underscoring ...
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SunBirdFX Daily Market Analysis : 05/23/2012
www.sunbirdfx.com
Dramatic finishing in the US stock markets yesterday caused mixed closing by the main indices. The trading was on the green side most of the day but massive selling during the last half hour erased most of the bullish movement, but strong 10 minutes before the closing bell prevented sharper declines. The indices are now facing important test and if they slide under yesterday's low, the sharp declines from last week might return. On the other hand, if they cross above yesterday's high, it will be a strong bullish signal for the markets. On the fundamental aspect, the existing home sales data came out as analysts expected and today the investors will focus on the new home sales data.
EUR/GBP
All of the major pairs resumed weakening against the USD yesterday due to the ...
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USD Moves Up vs. JPY Following Japanese Credit Downgrade
The JPY took losses against the US dollar during European trading yesterday, following a downgrade of Japan's credit rating. The USD/JPY advanced close to 60 pips over the course of the day, eventually peaking at 79.93. Today, dollar traders will want to pay attention to US New Home Sales figure, set to be released at 14:00 GMT. Analysts are forecasting the figure to show improvements in the US real estate sector, which if true, could help the greenback extend yesterday's gains. In addition to the news out of the US, traders will want to pay attention to any announcements out of the euro-zone. An informal meeting of euro-zone leaders is set to conclude today. Any signs of a new strategy to combat the region's debt crisis could lead to market volatility.
Economic News
USD - Dollar Sees ...
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Asia Session: Japan Is Thrust Into The Spotlight
Japan was in focus today, with the BOJ ending its two day meeting, yesterday’s downgrade by Fitch and some weak trade data. Overall, the data and announcements proved to be yen positive, pushing USDJPY back below 80.00 early in the session.
As expected, the BOJ board unanimously voted to leave policy unchanged at is two day meeting. However, there were some whispers in the market of a possible reduction in the interest rate on reserves and an extension of the JGB maturity guidelines, thus the decision not to move on policy contributed a substantial USDJPY pullback. Yet, the pair managed to regain its footing later in the session and the collapse was stopped around 79.50.
Whilst the better than expected Q1 growth figures and the wait-and-see attitude of the BOJ was the main contributor to ...
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Analysis: World wheat bounty at risk as dry spell spooks market
(Reuters) - A damaging global dry spell is wilting wheat crops in Kansas, threatening exports from Russia and slowing sowing in Australia, serving a timely reminder to hedge funds that a new era of surplus grain is far from assured.
In their biggest surge since 1996, Chicago wheat prices jumped by more than 17 percent last week and reached a nearly 9-month high of more than $7 a bushel on Monday, a rally stoked by short-covering among big speculators -- a group that had amassed a near-record short position betting on falling prices.
By Tuesday, six days of buying subsided as analysts said the immediate weather-induced panic yielded to a more considered view: conditions are not as dire - at least not yet - as they were in 2010, when world trade in wheat was sharply curtailed as growing ...
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Cautious markets retreat before EU summit
(Reuters) - Riskier assets retreated broadly on Wednesday as hopes for fresh measures to tackle the euro zone debt crisis faded and caution set in ahead of a meeting of European leaders, with sentiment hurt by renewed fears Greece would leave the euro bloc.
European shares also looked likely to slump, with financial spreadbetters predicting major European markets .FTSE .FCHI .GDAXI would open as much as 1.5 percent lower. U.S. stock futures were down 0.5 percent. .EU .L .N
Shares, commodities, commodity-linked currencies and the euro all slid, while safe-haven demand lifted the dollar index .DXY measured against major currencies up to 81.830, its highest since September 2010.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS slumped 2.0 percent. It had risen 1.1 ...
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