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Data And The Market Is CurrentlyTitle:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 24/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
European stocks returned to growth, despite services and manufacturing purchasing managers indices across Europe and German business confidence shrank more than expected. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index added 1.0 percent to 241.81. Cable & Wireless Communications Plc soared 19 percent. Sonova Holding AG gained 2.5 percent. Bayer AG declined 1.1 percent. U.S. futures and Asian stock little changed. S&P 500 futures gained 0.3 percent, MSCI Asia Pacific index added 0.1 percent.
USD
The US Dollar followed bullish trend on Thursday as Germany disapproves issuance of Eurobonds that may help to ease Greek debt burden. Traders are also cautions ahead of Euro Zone's manufacturing data release due later today. The US Dollar index, which tracks the greenback's performance ...
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EU Data Deteriorates
The euro remained under pressure against most of the majors after disappointing economic data and as the EU summit concluded without giving markets any indication of significant progress. European leaders debated the topic of eurobonds and whether or not it would contribute to growth. Germany remaining firmly opposed to the joint bonds saying that it would give countries with already large deficits incentive to continue to spend.
Economic data out of Europe added to the deterioration in sentiment as German, French, and Eurozone May PMI figures printed below expectations. Manufacturing PMI's in Germany, France, and the EZ fell to 44.4 (cons. 47.0), 45.0 (cons. 46.8), and 45.0 (cons. 46.0) respectively. The below 50 readings indicated ongoing contractions in manufacturing. Furthermore, ...
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A dead cat bounce?
After a bunch of creepy economic figures starting from the euro zone manufacturing and services numbers which showed the sectors extended contraction last month and confidence among business within germany dropped to 106.9 from 109.4, that was followed by the GDP figure from the U.K which confirmed further contraction as the country’s economy contracted more than expected. While from the U.S; core durable goods orders dropped by 0.6% while markets were expecting a 1.1% expansion.
Although the overall picture remains clearly uncertain, however markets were well supported after being extensively oversold today, rebounding slightly this morning, and currently extending the recovery after the Greek central bank chief said that Greece’s four largest banks are to be recapitalized by an 18 ...
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Markets Ignore Pessimistic Data after China Commits to Boost Growth
After the huge selloff seen through the week, markets returned once again to correct some of the losses incurred supported by the Chinese commitment to support growth and revive the recovery, where investors ignore the heavy load of pessimistic data as Greece still the highlight in markets amid the disappointing informal European Summit yesterday.
Surely, the sentiment is still negative and markets are to resume the bearish wave, but currently markets react to the positive Chinese announcement as the nation pledged to implement more and more measures to boost growth and revive the slowing pace of recovery, noting that China used to lead the pace of recovery worldwide.
Another bullish fact for markets today is the durable goods report from the world`s largest economy, where the critical ...
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Persistent fears over debt crisis keep the euro near its lowest in 22 months
Investors continue to limit their risk exposure on Thursday, heading towards the safe haven dollar and the Japanese yen, as European leaders failed to adopt concrete actions during yesterday’s summit while manufacturing in China is seen shrinking for a seventh month in May according to HSBC.
With the risk of Greece exiting the euro zone not being eliminated by officials yesterday, the sentiment is seen negative, pushing the euro near the lowest since July 2010, especially after Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti backed French President Francois Hollande’s proposal of jointly underwrite regional bonds that Germany still opposes.
The risk remains subdued and markets trade with volatility today as data may show that Europe’s services and manufacturing industries shrank for a fourth month, ...
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Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 24/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Concern about Greece "is a big weight on the market and makes things uncertain"
- Emmanuel Soupre, a fund manager at Neuflize Private Assets
European stocks tumbled on Wednesday, after rising by the most in a month on Tuesday, on speculation Greece may exit the euro zone.
USD
"It’s very clear now that the housing market has turned a corner"
- Richard DeKaser, deputy chief economist at Parthenon Group LLC
Sales of new U.S. homes rose by more than expected in April, Commerce Department data showed on Wednesday. Purchases increased to an annual rate of 343,000, up by 3.3 per cent from a revised 332,000 in March.
GBP
" employment remains fragile and wage growth weak"
- Ross Walker, chief U.K. economist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group
U.K. retails sales declined by ...
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Continued Fears Over Europe's Debt Crisis Keep The Euro Near Its Lowest In 22 Months
Investors continued to limit their risk exposure on Thursday, heading towards the safe haven USD and the Japanese yen, as European leaders failed to adopt concrete actions during yesterday's summit while manufacturing in China is seen shrinking for a seventh month in May.
With the risk of Greece exiting the euro zone not being eliminated by officials yesterday, sentiment is seen subdued, pushing the euro near the lowest since July 2010, especially after Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti backed French President Francois Hollande's proposal of jointly underwrite regional bonds.
Sentiment may continue to be subdued and markets volatile today as data may show that Europe's services and manufacturing industries shrank for a fourth month, while Germany`s IFO business climate index, a key ...
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Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 23/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
German bunds rose on worries that European leaders will struggle to resolve the euro zone debt crisis during tonight's European summit. David Schnautz of Commerzbank AG in London thinks that Europe is unlikely to solve key topics and will probably disappoint the market. The 5-year bund lost 5 bp to 0.47 percent at 10:49 GMT after tumbling to 0.461 percent, the lowest since 1990, when Bloomberg began gathering data.
USD
Crude oil futures declined in Asian session on Wednesday as Iran is ready to invite nuclear inspectors, the move that may ease oil import sanctions. Light, sweet crude oil futures for July delivery traded at 91.27 US Dollars per barrel, retreating by 0.63% from the last session's high of 91.72 US Dollars per barrel.
GBP
Today the minutes of the ...
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Asia Session: Japan Is Thrust Into The Spotlight
Japan was in focus today, with the BOJ ending its two day meeting, yesterday’s downgrade by Fitch and some weak trade data. Overall, the data and announcements proved to be yen positive, pushing USDJPY back below 80.00 early in the session.
As expected, the BOJ board unanimously voted to leave policy unchanged at is two day meeting. However, there were some whispers in the market of a possible reduction in the interest rate on reserves and an extension of the JGB maturity guidelines, thus the decision not to move on policy contributed a substantial USDJPY pullback. Yet, the pair managed to regain its footing later in the session and the collapse was stopped around 79.50.
Whilst the better than expected Q1 growth figures and the wait-and-see attitude of the BOJ was the main contributor to ...
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